Small Craft Advisory 41, NWS Anchorage, AK

218 
FZAK52 PAFC 151234 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

CORRECTED ZONE 179

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-160300-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 994 MB LOW 240 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL DISSIPATE 300 NM
NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA SAT EVENING. A 1006 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 240 NM
NORTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR SAT EVENING THEN DISSIPATE 210 NM NORTH OF
ATKA SUN AFTERNOON. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS SUN NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ150-160300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-160300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-160300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-160300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-160300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-160300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT BERING SIDE. SEAS 6 FT BERING
SIDE...14 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-160300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-160300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 28 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-160300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-160300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 35 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-160300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT.
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 22 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-160300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

372 
FZAK52 PAFC 160031
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-161500-
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1003 MB TROUGH OVER ST PAUL ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE SUN. A 945 MB LOW
675 NM SOUTHWEST OF ATTU SUN MORNING WILL MOVE TO 450 NM SOUTH OF
ATTU MON AFTERNOON AT 935 MB. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUN NIGHT AND INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MON
MORNING.
$$

PKZ150-161500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
$$

PKZ155-161500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-161500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-161500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-161500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-161500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT BERING SIDE...12 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT BERING SIDE...14 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT BERING SIDE...15 FT PACIFIC
SIDE.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-161500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ172-161500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  
$$

PKZ175-161500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-161500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-161500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 35 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 20 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 19 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-161500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

203 
FZAK52 PAFC 161223
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-170300-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 998 MB LOW 80 NM NORTH OF ADAK SUN AFTERNOON WILL WEAKEN AND 
DISSIPATE MON MORNING. A STRONG LOW IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC WILL
DEEPEN TO 936 MB SUN AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES TO 450 NM SSW OF SHEMYA.
IT WILL MOVE DUE EAST SUN NIGHT AND MON...ENDING UP 350 NM SSE OF
SHEMYA TUE MORNING AT 944 MB. THE ASSOCIATED STRONG WEATHER FRONT
MOVES OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUN NIGHT AND OVER THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS MON.

$$

PKZ150-170300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND TO 10 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-170300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE TO 10 KT E OF THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-170300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-170300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-170300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-170300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT BERING SIDE...11 FT
PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT BERING SIDE...14 FT 
PACIFIC SIDE.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-170300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ172-170300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-170300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-170300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-170300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 35 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 35 KT W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT.
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 21 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-170300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKST FRI JAN 14 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODEL INITIALIZATIONS ARE REASONABLE AND FORECAST
TRENDS THROUGH ABOUT 36 HRS SEEM ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT. IT APPEARS
THE NAM BECOMES THE OUTLIER AFTER THIS WHERE THE GFS/ECMWF HAVE THE
MORE CONSISTENT SOLUTIONS.

.UPPER LEVELS...
THE FEATURE OF NOTE IS THE 500 MB LOW CENTER OVER CANADA WHICH MOVES
WEST ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT AND OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA SAT.
STRONG EASTERLY FLOW NORTH OF THIS CENTER INCREASES ACROSS THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN AND MATANUSKA AND SUSITNA VALLEYS TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...
STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION SPREADS IN FROM WESTERN CANADA TONIGHT AND
SAT. THE LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA CONTINUES WEST AND NORTH
WHILE A SECONDARY CENTER FORMS OVER BRISTOL BAY SAT NIGHT...THEN
MOVES ALONG THE NORTH GULF SUN NIGHT.

.SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTHCENTRAL...COLD AND LOCALLY BRISK WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. COLD ADVECTION SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT COMBINED
WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE WIND CHILL ADVISORIES IN THOMPSON PASS
THROUGH SAT MORNING AND OVER THE NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY TONIGHT AND
SAT MORNING. MAY HAVE TO EXTEND WIND CHILL ADVISORIES THROUGH SAT
NIGHT AS COLD AIR AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS MAY CONTINUE. THERE IS
POTENTIAL FOR HIGH WINDS THIS EVENING AND SAT MORNING IN THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY. AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL
TONIGHT...EARLY FLOW INCREASING ALOFT...COLD ADVECTION SPREADS IN AT
LOWER LEVELS...AND SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS INCREASE. THE NET
RESULT WILL BE TO ENHANCE THE ALREADY GUSTY WINDS ACROSS AND
POTENTIALLY PUSH TO WARNING LEVELS. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH AGAIN SAT.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA...GENERALLY DRY OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. MAY SEE A FEW SNOW SHOWERS OVER BRISTOL BAY MARINE AREA
AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE AK PEN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...WEAK WAVES WILL HOLD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. STRONG EASTERLY TO
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE LIKELY LATE SUN NIGHT AS A WEATHER FRONT
APPROACHES THE ALEUTIANS FROM THE SOUTH. THIS FRONT WILL BRING
WARMING TEMPERATURES AND RAIN TO THE ALEUTIANS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
SIGNIFICANT PATTERN CHANGE EXPECTED STARTING MONDAY. STRONG FRONT
POISED TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.
FRONT SHOULD MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND MOVE INTO KODIAK
ISLAND AND WESTERN ALASKA ON TUESDAY. STRONG WINDS AND PLENTY OF WARM
AIR ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH ZONE 111. WIND CHILL ADVISORIES 131 AND 145.
MARINE...GALES 126 127 128 130 132 140 150 185
         HEAVY SPRAY 121 126 127 128 130 140 141 160 165 179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC JAN 11