Gale Warning 877, NWS Anchorage, AK

304 
FZAK51 PAFC 190723 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1025 PM AKST FRI NOV 18 2011

AMENDED ZONE 130 

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191500-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 18 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1008 MB LOW 150 NM EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE 140 NM
SOUTH OF YAKUTAT FRI NIGHT. A 989 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 70 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SITKINAK ISLAND SAT EVENING THEN MOVE TO 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF
KODIAK CITY AT 976 MB SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-191500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
935 PM AKST FRI NOV 18 2011

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CHANNELED AREAS. SEAS
4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-191500-
RESURRECTION BAY
935 PM AKST FRI NOV 18 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT GUSTING TO 50 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT GUSTING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-191500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 18 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3
FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-191500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 18 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-191500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
1025 PM AKST FRI NOV 18 2011

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.REMAINDER OF TONIGHT...EAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NW WIND 40 KT
DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. BARREN
ISLANDS WESTWARD...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY
WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-191500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 18 2011

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-191500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 18 2011

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-191500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 18 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 4 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-191500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 18 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

873 
FZAK51 PAFC 191230
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200300-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 1007 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL DISSIPATE
NEAR THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS TONIGHT. A 995 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP
90 NM WEST OF SITKINAK THIS AFTERNOON THEN STRENGTHEN TO 966 MB AND
MOVE TO 150 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND SUN NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ120-200300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. N WINDS GUSTING TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES THIS MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COASTS THIS
MORNING.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT EXCEPT E 30 KT N OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS
BUILDING TO 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...HIGHER SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES THIS
MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55
KT NEAR WHITTIER THIS MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-200300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT EXCEPT 3 FT N OF
KALGIN ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
10 FT EXCEPT 5 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT N 20 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 10 FT
EXCEPT 5 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

732 
FZAK51 PAFC 200002
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201500-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 994 MB LOW NEAR CHIGNIK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 978 MB 100 SOUTHEAST OF
KODIAK CITY SUN AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 970
MB MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-201500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-201500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-201500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 30
KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-201500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 40 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-201500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-201500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. WINDS BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT SOUTH
OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-201500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
$$

PKZ140-201500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
10 FT EXCEPT 5 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT N 30 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT
EXCEPT 7 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-201500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 PM AKST FRI NOV 18 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LOW LIES OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND IS MOVING NORTH INTO
THE BERING SEA. AN UPPER RIDGE SITS OVER THE EASTERN BERING AND
EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST TOWARD MAINLAND ALASKA.
A MODERATE 300 MB JET CONTINUES TO FLOW SOUTHEAST FROM NEAR CAPE
LISBURNE TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND BEFORE IT MERGES WITH THE MAIN
SUBTROPICAL JET OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA. THIS JET IS
SUPPORTING THE STRONG WINDS OVER THE SOUND AND THROUGH THE COPPER
RIVER DELTA.

A BROAD MULTI-CENTERED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA
CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. A WEAK WEATHER FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN BERING
SEA AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA BROUGHT AREAS OF SNOW TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
AND TO BRISTOL BAY. A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS INTO SOUTHWEST INTERIOR
FROM THE BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN ALASKA. ANOTHER
RIDGE LIES ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS
SIMILAR TO THE UPPER RIDGE. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM CENTERED NEAR KISKA
HAS BROUGHT RAIN AND VERY STRONG WINDS TO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS IS
THE PREFERRED MODEL BECAUSE IT HAS THE BEST CONSISTENCY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL MOVE EAST
THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA TONIGHT AND INTO THE GULF SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT AND INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA SUNDAY. THIS WILL KEEP THE
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND COLD TEMPERATURES OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE UPPER JET OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL INTERIOR
AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE IT SHIFTS EAST INTO WESTERN CANADA SATURDAY NIGHT. THE STRONG
WINDS THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS AROUND THE SOUND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY THEN DIMINISH SATURDAY NIGHT.

THE WEAK WEATHER FRONT OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND BRISTOL BAY WILL
REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. AREAS OF SNOW
MAINLY WEST AND SOUTH OF KING SALMON AND ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
COAST WILL BECOME ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT.

THE LARGE STORM OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL
BERING SEA SATURDAY THEN TURN SOUTHEAST AND MOVE ACROSS UNIMAK ISLAND
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING EAST AND
SOUTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE  NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AND INTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
COAST, BRISTOL BAY AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA SATURDAY. VERY STRONG
WINDS AND RAIN OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE INTO
THE EASTERN BERING AND THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH ALONG THE FRONT AS IT SPREADS SNOW INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

A SECONDARY LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND
SATURDAY EVENING THEN DRIFT INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF SUNDAY. RAIN
AND SNOW WILL MOVE INTO KODIAK ISLAND SATURDAY AND SNOW WILL MOVE
ONTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE MID RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT INNTO
THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. THE LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY AND BECOME THE DOMINANT LOW AS THE OLD LOW SOUTH OF
THE ALASKA PENINSULA CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTH AND DISSIPATES OVER THE
NORTH PACIFIC.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS.
MARINE...GALE 120 132 150 155 160 165 170 179 180
         STORM 185
         HURRICANE FORCE 172 175 176
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM NOV 11

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
800 PM AKST FRI NOV 18 2011

AKZ101-111-121-192100-

...SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER COLD WEATHER OUTBREAK...

A COLD AIRMASS HAS SETTLED ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE WITH RECORD
BREAKING TEMPERATURES IN THE NORTHERN INTERIOR WHILE SOUTH CENTRAL
EXPERIENCES THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON SO FAR. THE CLEAR
SKIES AND CALM WINDS WILL NOT LAST LONG AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEAR KODIAK ISLAND LATE SATURDAY.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING CLOUDS BACK TO THE REGION SUNDAY AS WELL AS
TEMPERATURES CONSIDERED NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

MONDAY A VERY COLD AIRMASS ORIGINATING FROM THE FAR NORTH ARCTIC
OCEAN WILL SETTLE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA RESULTING IN TEMPERATURES
AGAIN PLUMMETING BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE AIRMASS WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE WEEK. MOST AREAS WILL SEE
LIGHT SNOW DURING THE WEEK AS WELL AS BRISK WINDS...PARTICULARLY
THROUGH THE MATANUSKA VALLEY AND ALONG COOK INLET.

AB NOV 11