Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Dodge City, KS

778 
WWUS53 KDDC 071447
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
947 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

KSC051-195-071456-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-100607T1515Z/
TREGO KS-ELLIS KS-
947 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN ELLIS AND
SOUTHEASTERN TREGO COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED ACROSS 
THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3869 9902 3845 9902 3850 9973 3865 9973
      3869 9944 3870 9903
TIME...MOT...LOC 1446Z 293DEG 49KT 3865 9879 3855 9917
          3856 9923

$$

KSC135-165-071515-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-100607T1515Z/
NESS KS-RUSH KS-
947 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN RUSH
AND NORTHEASTERN NESS COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 AM CDT...

AT 942 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH
WELL AHEAD OF A LINE OF STORMS.  THE LEADING EDGE OF THESE DAMAGING
WINDS WAS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTH OF
HOISINGTON TO BISON TO LA CROSSE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE DAMAGING WINDS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LA CROSSE...
  TIMKEN...
  SHAFFER...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN NESS AND NORTHERN RUSH COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE
SEEK A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3869 9902 3845 9902 3850 9973 3865 9973
      3869 9944 3870 9903
TIME...MOT...LOC 1446Z 293DEG 49KT 3865 9879 3855 9917
          3856 9923
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 0.88IN

$$

KRUSE

511 
WWUS53 KDDC 071510
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1010 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

KSC135-165-071520-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-100607T1515Z/
NESS KS-RUSH KS-
1010 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN RUSH AND NORTHEASTERN
NESS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1015 AM CDT/915 AM MDT/...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3869 9902 3845 9902 3850 9973 3865 9973
      3869 9944 3870 9903
TIME...MOT...LOC 1510Z 293DEG 49KT 3852 9841 3842 9879
          3843 9885

$$

KRUSE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
135 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

ONGOING CONVECTION SPREADING INTO PORTIONS OF OUR NRN CWA EARLIER
THIS MORNING. RADAR TRENDS HAVE BEEN GOING DOWN AS THESE STORMS
SPREAD INTO A MORE STABLE AIR MASS AND APPEAR TO BE BECOMING MORE
ELEVATED IN NATURE. FOR THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO FOLLOW RADAR
TRENDS AND ATTEMPT TO TRACK PCPN AS IT EXITS THE CWA LATER THIS
MORNING. GIVEN THIS PCPN WILL BE FAVORING THE NAM THIS MORNING
WITH THE FURTHER SOUTH SOLUTION OF THE SFC-85H BOUNDARY/BAROCLINIC
ZONE. AS A RESULT EXPECT TO SEE A BOUNDARY IN/NEAR OUR NRN CWA BY
LATE DAY DURING MAX HEATING. GRANTED THERE WILL BE SOME VERY WARM
AIR IN PLACE IN THE MID LVLS ACROSS SW KS LATE IN THE DAY BUT
GIVEN THE PROGGED CAPE/SHEAR ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY HAVE
OPTED TO INSERT SOME SMALL LATE DAY/EARLY EVENING POPS IN OUR
N/NW. WILL THEN CONTINUE WITH CHC POPS IN OUR NRN CWA THROUGH AT
LEAST MIDNIGHT BEFORE TAPERING PCPN OFF FROM NW TO SE. ALSO JUST
WEST OF THE CO BORDER NEAR EHA BOTH THE NAM AND GFS AT 00Z TUE WERE
HINTING AT SOME CONVECTION ATTEMPTING TO DEVELOP HERE. AT THIS
TIME MUCH LESS OPTIMISTIC WITH PCPN DEVELOPING HERE GIVEN THE 7H
TEMPS BUT SINCE BOTH MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST SOMETHING TRYING
TO DEVELOP WENT AHEAD AND INSERTED SMALL SLT CHC POPS FOR A FEW
COUNTIES IN OUR SE CWA.

AS THIS CONVECTION MOVES E/NE OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT OUR NEXT
COLD WILL SLIDE SOUTH ACROSS WRN KS. MUCH OF THE DAY ON TUESDAY
APPEARS DRY BUT AS THE MID LVLS COOL AND LIFT IMPROVES JUST NORTH
OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL REINTRODUCE PCPN TO MUCH OF SW/SC KS BY
EARLY EVENING.

ON TUESDAY NIGHT UPSLOPE FLOW AND I310 ISENTROPIC LIFT BEGINS TO
IMPROVE AS A 5H VORT LOBE STARTS TO MOVE ACROSS ERN CO. A LITTLE
SURPRISED AT THE LACK OF MOISTURE ON THE ISENTROPIC SFC BUT GIVEN
THIS LIFT DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE 5H WAVE WILL GO AHEAD AND
INCREASE POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA TUESDAY NIGHT.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES TODAY 85H-7H TEMPS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A HOT
FORECAST SO WILL KEEP TEMPS AROUND 100 FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. DID
HOWEVER LEAN TOWARDS THE SLIGHTLY COOLER MET IN THE NORTH. HIGHS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE CLOSE TO 10F COOLER THAN
THOSE THIS AFTERNOON NORTH OF THE FRONT WHICH IS PROGGED TO EXTEND
ACROSS OUR SE CWA LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTH OF THE FRONT
TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN LIKELY TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE 90S.

DAYS 3-7...

WE WILL LIKELY HAVE SOME RESIDUAL PRECIP AROUND EARLY WEDNESDAY AS
UPSLOPE FLOW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. IT IS STARTING TO LOOK LIKE WED COULD BE MUCH COOLER THAN
WHAT WE HAVE GOING. WILL TREND DOWN BUT WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT TAKE
ANOTHER LOOK AT THAT BEFORE MAKING ANY MAJOR CHANGES. THE THU-SAT
PERIOD CONTINUES TO LOOK QUITE WARM WITH VERY LOW TO NO CHANCE OF
PRECIP AS A RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY AND A LARGE
TROF DIGS IN OVER THE WEST. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH HOW
AND WHEN TO KICK OUT THE BIG WESTERN TROF. THE EC IS NOW THE FASTER
MODEL WITH A STRONG FROPA SAT AND THE GFS HAS SLOWED THE SYSTEM
DOWN. PREVIOUS SHIFT INTRODUCED POPS FOR NEXT WEEKEND, ESP SUNDAY,
AND SEE NO REASON TO CHANGE THAT NOW. -WRIGHT

&&

.AVIATION...

AM TRACKING A LARGE MCS MOVING ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA ATM. THIS
CLUSTER OF STORMS WILL AFFECT ALL TERMINALS WITH MVFR (POSSIBLY AS
LOW AS VFR) CIGS AND VIS THROUGH APPROX 07/12Z. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
INTO OK THEREAFTER WITH CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR AND REMAINING THAT
WAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD. BREEZY SOUTH FLOW IS
EXPECTING TO DEVELOP AFTER 07/18Z AT ALL TERMINALS. WE MAY SEE A FEW
STORMS DEVELOP OVER COLORADO LATER TODAY WHICH COULD AFFECT KGCK AND
WILL ADDRESS THAT IN SUBSEQUENT TAFS. -WRIGHT

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  98  72  91  65 /  20  10  10  20
GCK 100  71  90  63 /  10  10  10  20
EHA 101  70  93  62 /  10  10  10  10
LBL 102  70  94  65 /  10  10  10  20
HYS  93  71  88  64 /  20  20  20  30
P28  98  76  94  68 /  30  10  20  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

FN18/34/34

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
457 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-081000-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-
457 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010 /357 AM MDT MON JUN 7 2010/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR SCOTT CITY TO RUSH CENTER BUT THE
BETTER CHANCE FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE
AFTER SUNSET. SOME OF THESE STORMS LATE TODAY AND OVERNIGHT WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME THE PRIMARY
HAZARD FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS AFTER SUNSET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON BUT ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY NIGHT. SOME STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN, HAIL THE SIZE
OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

IN ADDITION...AN CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA STARTING LATE FRIDAY AND PERSISTING
THROUGH SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF ANY OF
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED AFTER 5 PM ALONG AND NORTH OF A
SCOTT CITY TO RUSH CENTER LINE.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

KSZ074>081-084>090-081000-
STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-PRATT-MORTON-
STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
457 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 8 AM
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR SUBLETTE TO MINNEOLA
TO JUST SOUTH OF MEDICINE LODGE. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS THIS
MORNING WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF
GOLF BALLS, WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH AND PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON BUT ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY NIGHT. SOME STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN, HAIL THE SIZE
OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

IN ADDITION...AN CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA STARTING LATE FRIDAY AND PERSISTING
THROUGH SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF ANY OF
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED BEFORE 8 AM ALONG AND SOUTH OF
A SUBLETTE TO MEDICINE LODGE LINE.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
852 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0842 AM     HAIL             1 W GREENSBURG          37.61N 99.31W
06/07/2010  E0.75 INCH       KIOWA              KS   PUBLIC

&&

18

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
853 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 AM     HAIL             6 S HARGRAVE            38.47N 99.41W
06/07/2010  M0.75 INCH       RUSH               KS   PUBLIC

&&

06

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
900 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     HAIL             4 SE ELLIS              38.90N 99.50W
06/07/2010  M0.75 INCH       ELLIS              KS   PUBLIC

&&

06

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
907 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 AM     HAIL             4 ESE ELLIS             38.91N 99.49W
06/07/2010  M0.88 INCH       ELLIS              KS   PUBLIC

&&

06

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
912 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HAIL             6 NNW HAYS              38.95N 99.37W
06/07/2010  M0.88 INCH       ELLIS              KS   PUBLIC

&&

06

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
923 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E ELLIS               38.94N 99.54W
06/07/2010                   ELLIS              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A SEMI TRACTOR AND TRAILER WAS BLOWN OFF OF INTERSTATE
            I-70.

&&

06