Severe Thunderstorm Warning 94, NWS Dodge City, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
135 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

ONGOING CONVECTION SPREADING INTO PORTIONS OF OUR NRN CWA EARLIER
THIS MORNING. RADAR TRENDS HAVE BEEN GOING DOWN AS THESE STORMS
SPREAD INTO A MORE STABLE AIR MASS AND APPEAR TO BE BECOMING MORE
ELEVATED IN NATURE. FOR THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO FOLLOW RADAR
TRENDS AND ATTEMPT TO TRACK PCPN AS IT EXITS THE CWA LATER THIS
MORNING. GIVEN THIS PCPN WILL BE FAVORING THE NAM THIS MORNING
WITH THE FURTHER SOUTH SOLUTION OF THE SFC-85H BOUNDARY/BAROCLINIC
ZONE. AS A RESULT EXPECT TO SEE A BOUNDARY IN/NEAR OUR NRN CWA BY
LATE DAY DURING MAX HEATING. GRANTED THERE WILL BE SOME VERY WARM
AIR IN PLACE IN THE MID LVLS ACROSS SW KS LATE IN THE DAY BUT
GIVEN THE PROGGED CAPE/SHEAR ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY HAVE
OPTED TO INSERT SOME SMALL LATE DAY/EARLY EVENING POPS IN OUR
N/NW. WILL THEN CONTINUE WITH CHC POPS IN OUR NRN CWA THROUGH AT
LEAST MIDNIGHT BEFORE TAPERING PCPN OFF FROM NW TO SE. ALSO JUST
WEST OF THE CO BORDER NEAR EHA BOTH THE NAM AND GFS AT 00Z TUE WERE
HINTING AT SOME CONVECTION ATTEMPTING TO DEVELOP HERE. AT THIS
TIME MUCH LESS OPTIMISTIC WITH PCPN DEVELOPING HERE GIVEN THE 7H
TEMPS BUT SINCE BOTH MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST SOMETHING TRYING
TO DEVELOP WENT AHEAD AND INSERTED SMALL SLT CHC POPS FOR A FEW
COUNTIES IN OUR SE CWA.

AS THIS CONVECTION MOVES E/NE OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT OUR NEXT
COLD WILL SLIDE SOUTH ACROSS WRN KS. MUCH OF THE DAY ON TUESDAY
APPEARS DRY BUT AS THE MID LVLS COOL AND LIFT IMPROVES JUST NORTH
OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL REINTRODUCE PCPN TO MUCH OF SW/SC KS BY
EARLY EVENING.

ON TUESDAY NIGHT UPSLOPE FLOW AND I310 ISENTROPIC LIFT BEGINS TO
IMPROVE AS A 5H VORT LOBE STARTS TO MOVE ACROSS ERN CO. A LITTLE
SURPRISED AT THE LACK OF MOISTURE ON THE ISENTROPIC SFC BUT GIVEN
THIS LIFT DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE 5H WAVE WILL GO AHEAD AND
INCREASE POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA TUESDAY NIGHT.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES TODAY 85H-7H TEMPS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A HOT
FORECAST SO WILL KEEP TEMPS AROUND 100 FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. DID
HOWEVER LEAN TOWARDS THE SLIGHTLY COOLER MET IN THE NORTH. HIGHS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE CLOSE TO 10F COOLER THAN
THOSE THIS AFTERNOON NORTH OF THE FRONT WHICH IS PROGGED TO EXTEND
ACROSS OUR SE CWA LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTH OF THE FRONT
TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN LIKELY TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE 90S.

DAYS 3-7...

WE WILL LIKELY HAVE SOME RESIDUAL PRECIP AROUND EARLY WEDNESDAY AS
UPSLOPE FLOW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. IT IS STARTING TO LOOK LIKE WED COULD BE MUCH COOLER THAN
WHAT WE HAVE GOING. WILL TREND DOWN BUT WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT TAKE
ANOTHER LOOK AT THAT BEFORE MAKING ANY MAJOR CHANGES. THE THU-SAT
PERIOD CONTINUES TO LOOK QUITE WARM WITH VERY LOW TO NO CHANCE OF
PRECIP AS A RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY AND A LARGE
TROF DIGS IN OVER THE WEST. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH HOW
AND WHEN TO KICK OUT THE BIG WESTERN TROF. THE EC IS NOW THE FASTER
MODEL WITH A STRONG FROPA SAT AND THE GFS HAS SLOWED THE SYSTEM
DOWN. PREVIOUS SHIFT INTRODUCED POPS FOR NEXT WEEKEND, ESP SUNDAY,
AND SEE NO REASON TO CHANGE THAT NOW. -WRIGHT

&&

.AVIATION...

AM TRACKING A LARGE MCS MOVING ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA ATM. THIS
CLUSTER OF STORMS WILL AFFECT ALL TERMINALS WITH MVFR (POSSIBLY AS
LOW AS VFR) CIGS AND VIS THROUGH APPROX 07/12Z. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
INTO OK THEREAFTER WITH CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR AND REMAINING THAT
WAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD. BREEZY SOUTH FLOW IS
EXPECTING TO DEVELOP AFTER 07/18Z AT ALL TERMINALS. WE MAY SEE A FEW
STORMS DEVELOP OVER COLORADO LATER TODAY WHICH COULD AFFECT KGCK AND
WILL ADDRESS THAT IN SUBSEQUENT TAFS. -WRIGHT

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  98  72  91  65 /  20  10  10  20
GCK 100  71  90  63 /  10  10  10  20
EHA 101  70  93  62 /  10  10  10  10
LBL 102  70  94  65 /  10  10  10  20
HYS  93  71  88  64 /  20  20  20  30
P28  98  76  94  68 /  30  10  20  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

FN18/34/34

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
457 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-081000-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-
457 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010 /357 AM MDT MON JUN 7 2010/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR SCOTT CITY TO RUSH CENTER BUT THE
BETTER CHANCE FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE
AFTER SUNSET. SOME OF THESE STORMS LATE TODAY AND OVERNIGHT WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME THE PRIMARY
HAZARD FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS AFTER SUNSET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON BUT ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY NIGHT. SOME STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN, HAIL THE SIZE
OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

IN ADDITION...AN CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA STARTING LATE FRIDAY AND PERSISTING
THROUGH SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF ANY OF
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED AFTER 5 PM ALONG AND NORTH OF A
SCOTT CITY TO RUSH CENTER LINE.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

KSZ074>081-084>090-081000-
STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-PRATT-MORTON-
STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
457 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 8 AM
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR SUBLETTE TO MINNEOLA
TO JUST SOUTH OF MEDICINE LODGE. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS THIS
MORNING WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF
GOLF BALLS, WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH AND PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON BUT ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY NIGHT. SOME STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN, HAIL THE SIZE
OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

IN ADDITION...AN CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA STARTING LATE FRIDAY AND PERSISTING
THROUGH SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF ANY OF
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED BEFORE 8 AM ALONG AND SOUTH OF
A SUBLETTE TO MEDICINE LODGE LINE.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
729 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0727 AM     HAIL             DODGE CITY              37.76N 100.01W
06/07/2010  E0.50 INCH       FORD               KS   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

DWOLFE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
744 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 AM     HAIL             SSW SATANTA             37.43N 100.99W
06/07/2010  E1.75 INCH       HASKELL            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0726 AM     HAIL             2 NE DODGE CITY         37.78N 99.98W
06/07/2010  E1.00 INCH       FORD               KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

18

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
758 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 AM     TSTM WND DMG     9 S ALEXANDER           38.34N 99.58W
06/07/2010                   RUSH               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            5 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. ESTIMATED 60-70
            MPH WINDS.

&&

DWOLFE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
828 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 AM     HAIL             6 S RIGA                38.85N 99.65W
06/07/2010  M1.00 INCH       TREGO              KS   PUBLIC

&&

06

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
830 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

KSZ080-081-071415-
KIOWA-PRATT-
830 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN KIOWA AND
SOUTHWESTERN PRATT COUNTIES...

AT 827 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GREENSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3772 9888 3748 9889 3750 9941 3772 9937
TIME...MOT...LOC 1330Z 269DEG 17KT 3759 9932

18

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>