Severe Thunderstorm Warning 82, NWS Dodge City, KS

897 
WWUS53 KDDC 070845
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
345 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

KSC185-070855-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0082.000000T0000Z-100607T0915Z/
STAFFORD KS-
345 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN STAFFORD COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3731 9973 3746 9910 3769 9846 3739 9845
      3738 9834 3700 9835 3699 9975
TIME...MOT...LOC 0845Z 308DEG 35KT 3771 9815 3746 9838
          3731 9873 3721 9902 3711 9961

$$

KSC007-025-033-097-151-070915-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0082.000000T0000Z-100607T0915Z/
PRATT KS-KIOWA KS-CLARK KS-BARBER KS-COMANCHE KS-
345 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COMANCHE...
BARBER...SOUTHEASTERN CLARK...SOUTHEASTERN KIOWA AND SOUTHERN PRATT
COUNTIES UNTIL 415 AM CDT...

AT 343 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THE LEADING EDGE OF THESE DAMAGING WINDS WAS
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES EAST OF CUNNINGHAM TO
NASHVILLE TO LAKE CITY TO 11 MILES NORTH OF AETNA TO SITKA...AND
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LAKE CITY...
  BUTTERMILK...
  MEDICINE LODGE...
  SHARON...
  HARDTNER...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF BARBER...COMANCHE...SOUTHEASTERN CLARK...
  SOUTHEASTERN KIOWA AND SOUTHERN PRATT COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE
SEEK A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3731 9973 3746 9910 3769 9846 3739 9845
      3738 9834 3700 9835 3699 9975
TIME...MOT...LOC 0845Z 308DEG 35KT 3771 9815 3746 9838
          3731 9873 3721 9902 3711 9961
WIND...HAIL 60MPH <.50IN

$$

WRIGHT

287 
WWUS53 KDDC 070915
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
415 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

KSC007-025-033-097-151-070925-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0082.000000T0000Z-100607T0915Z/
PRATT KS-KIOWA KS-CLARK KS-BARBER KS-COMANCHE KS-
415 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR COMANCHE...BARBER...
SOUTHEASTERN CLARK...SOUTHEASTERN KIOWA AND SOUTHERN PRATT COUNTIES
HAS EXPIRED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3731 9973 3746 9910 3769 9846 3739 9845
      3738 9834 3700 9835 3699 9975
TIME...MOT...LOC 0845Z 308DEG 35KT 3771 9815 3746 9838
          3731 9873 3721 9902 3711 9961

$$

WRIGHT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
135 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

ONGOING CONVECTION SPREADING INTO PORTIONS OF OUR NRN CWA EARLIER
THIS MORNING. RADAR TRENDS HAVE BEEN GOING DOWN AS THESE STORMS
SPREAD INTO A MORE STABLE AIR MASS AND APPEAR TO BE BECOMING MORE
ELEVATED IN NATURE. FOR THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO FOLLOW RADAR
TRENDS AND ATTEMPT TO TRACK PCPN AS IT EXITS THE CWA LATER THIS
MORNING. GIVEN THIS PCPN WILL BE FAVORING THE NAM THIS MORNING
WITH THE FURTHER SOUTH SOLUTION OF THE SFC-85H BOUNDARY/BAROCLINIC
ZONE. AS A RESULT EXPECT TO SEE A BOUNDARY IN/NEAR OUR NRN CWA BY
LATE DAY DURING MAX HEATING. GRANTED THERE WILL BE SOME VERY WARM
AIR IN PLACE IN THE MID LVLS ACROSS SW KS LATE IN THE DAY BUT
GIVEN THE PROGGED CAPE/SHEAR ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY HAVE
OPTED TO INSERT SOME SMALL LATE DAY/EARLY EVENING POPS IN OUR
N/NW. WILL THEN CONTINUE WITH CHC POPS IN OUR NRN CWA THROUGH AT
LEAST MIDNIGHT BEFORE TAPERING PCPN OFF FROM NW TO SE. ALSO JUST
WEST OF THE CO BORDER NEAR EHA BOTH THE NAM AND GFS AT 00Z TUE WERE
HINTING AT SOME CONVECTION ATTEMPTING TO DEVELOP HERE. AT THIS
TIME MUCH LESS OPTIMISTIC WITH PCPN DEVELOPING HERE GIVEN THE 7H
TEMPS BUT SINCE BOTH MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST SOMETHING TRYING
TO DEVELOP WENT AHEAD AND INSERTED SMALL SLT CHC POPS FOR A FEW
COUNTIES IN OUR SE CWA.

AS THIS CONVECTION MOVES E/NE OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT OUR NEXT
COLD WILL SLIDE SOUTH ACROSS WRN KS. MUCH OF THE DAY ON TUESDAY
APPEARS DRY BUT AS THE MID LVLS COOL AND LIFT IMPROVES JUST NORTH
OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL REINTRODUCE PCPN TO MUCH OF SW/SC KS BY
EARLY EVENING.

ON TUESDAY NIGHT UPSLOPE FLOW AND I310 ISENTROPIC LIFT BEGINS TO
IMPROVE AS A 5H VORT LOBE STARTS TO MOVE ACROSS ERN CO. A LITTLE
SURPRISED AT THE LACK OF MOISTURE ON THE ISENTROPIC SFC BUT GIVEN
THIS LIFT DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE 5H WAVE WILL GO AHEAD AND
INCREASE POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA TUESDAY NIGHT.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES TODAY 85H-7H TEMPS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A HOT
FORECAST SO WILL KEEP TEMPS AROUND 100 FOR MUCH OF THE CWA. DID
HOWEVER LEAN TOWARDS THE SLIGHTLY COOLER MET IN THE NORTH. HIGHS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE CLOSE TO 10F COOLER THAN
THOSE THIS AFTERNOON NORTH OF THE FRONT WHICH IS PROGGED TO EXTEND
ACROSS OUR SE CWA LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTH OF THE FRONT
TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN LIKELY TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE 90S.

DAYS 3-7...

WE WILL LIKELY HAVE SOME RESIDUAL PRECIP AROUND EARLY WEDNESDAY AS
UPSLOPE FLOW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. IT IS STARTING TO LOOK LIKE WED COULD BE MUCH COOLER THAN
WHAT WE HAVE GOING. WILL TREND DOWN BUT WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT TAKE
ANOTHER LOOK AT THAT BEFORE MAKING ANY MAJOR CHANGES. THE THU-SAT
PERIOD CONTINUES TO LOOK QUITE WARM WITH VERY LOW TO NO CHANCE OF
PRECIP AS A RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY AND A LARGE
TROF DIGS IN OVER THE WEST. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH HOW
AND WHEN TO KICK OUT THE BIG WESTERN TROF. THE EC IS NOW THE FASTER
MODEL WITH A STRONG FROPA SAT AND THE GFS HAS SLOWED THE SYSTEM
DOWN. PREVIOUS SHIFT INTRODUCED POPS FOR NEXT WEEKEND, ESP SUNDAY,
AND SEE NO REASON TO CHANGE THAT NOW. -WRIGHT

&&

.AVIATION...

AM TRACKING A LARGE MCS MOVING ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA ATM. THIS
CLUSTER OF STORMS WILL AFFECT ALL TERMINALS WITH MVFR (POSSIBLY AS
LOW AS VFR) CIGS AND VIS THROUGH APPROX 07/12Z. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
INTO OK THEREAFTER WITH CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR AND REMAINING THAT
WAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD. BREEZY SOUTH FLOW IS
EXPECTING TO DEVELOP AFTER 07/18Z AT ALL TERMINALS. WE MAY SEE A FEW
STORMS DEVELOP OVER COLORADO LATER TODAY WHICH COULD AFFECT KGCK AND
WILL ADDRESS THAT IN SUBSEQUENT TAFS. -WRIGHT

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  98  72  91  65 /  20  10  10  20
GCK 100  71  90  63 /  10  10  10  20
EHA 101  70  93  62 /  10  10  10  10
LBL 102  70  94  65 /  10  10  10  20
HYS  93  71  88  64 /  20  20  20  30
P28  98  76  94  68 /  30  10  20  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

FN18/34/34

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1055 PM CDT SUN JUN 6 2010

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-071130-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
1055 PM CDT SUN JUN 6 2010 /955 PM MDT SUN JUN 6 2010/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS INTO
CENTRAL KANSAS BY 500 AM. BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH IN
DIAMETER MAY ACCOMPANY THE THUNDERSTORMS. THE GREATEST THREAT OF
THUNDERSTORMS IS NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM SCOTT CITY TO LARNED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL TOP 100 DEGREES WITH HEAT
INDICES RANGING BETWEEN 100 TO 103 DEGREES. THERE WILL THEN BE A
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE MONDAY NIGHT NORTH A DIGHTON TO A
RUSH CENTER LINE. ANY STORM WHICH DOES DEVELOP IN THIS AREA LATE
MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS.

IN ADDITION...A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
TUESDAY AND AGAIN LATE WEDNESDAY...MAINLY NORTH OF A GARDEN CITY
TO JETMORE TO STAFFORD LINE. AT THIS TIME ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT
DOES DEVELOP EITHER TUESDAY OR LATE WEDNESDAY MAY BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING SMALL HAIL, GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

01

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
125 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0116 AM     TSTM WND GST     SCOTT CITY              38.48N 100.91W
06/07/2010  M62.00 MPH       SCOTT              KS   AWOS

&&

18

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
230 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 AM     TSTM WND GST     SW NESS CITY            38.45N 99.91W
06/07/2010  E70 MPH          NESS               KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0200 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST WSW JETMORE             38.08N 99.90W
06/07/2010  E60 MPH          HODGEMAN           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT ESTIMATED WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 60
            MPH.

&&

01