Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2010

Storm Warning 155, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 30, 2010

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Sep 30, 2010, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 30, 2010, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
Expired
Sep 30, 2010, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

227 
FZAK51 PAFC 301141
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010000-
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STATIONARY 990 MB LOW IN EASTERN BRISTOL BAY WEAKENS AND DISSIPATES
BY THU AFTERNOON. A 980 MB LOW 550 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THU
AFTERNOON STRENGTHENS TO 956 MB 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK FRI
MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING TO 970 MB 60 NM SOUTH OF HOMER SAT MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-010000-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT E 40 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT EXCEPT E 45 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-010000-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-010000-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. HIGHER SEAS NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCE.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. HIGHER SEAS NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCE.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. HIGHER SEAS NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCE.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-010000-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-010000-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-010000-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 30 KT
INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-010000-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-010000-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-010000-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
2 follow-up statements
178 
FZAK51 PAFC 301436 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
635 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

UPDATED ZONES 125 130

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010000-
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STATIONARY 990 MB LOW IN EASTERN BRISTOL BAY WEAKENS AND DISSIPATES
BY THU AFTERNOON. A 980 MB LOW 550 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THU
AFTERNOON STRENGTHENS TO 956 MB 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK FRI
MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING TO 970 MB 60 NM SOUTH OF HOMER SAT MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-010000-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT E 40 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT EXCEPT E 45 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-010000-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-010000-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
635 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHER SEAS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCE.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. HIGHER SEAS NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCE.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. HIGHER SEAS NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCE.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-010000-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-010000-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
635 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-010000-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 30 KT
INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-010000-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-010000-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-010000-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
934 
FZAK51 PAFC 301707 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
835 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

UPDATED ZONES 120 121 125 129 130 140 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010000-
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STATIONARY 990 MB LOW IN EASTERN BRISTOL BAY WEAKENS AND DISSIPATES
BY THU AFTERNOON. A 980 MB LOW 550 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THU
AFTERNOON STRENGTHENS TO 956 MB 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK FRI
MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING TO 970 MB 60 NM SOUTH OF HOMER SAT MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-010000-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
835 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT E 40 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT EXCEPT E 45 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 65 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 27
FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-010000-
RESURRECTION BAY
835 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND WAVES S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND WAVES S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-010000-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
835 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHER SEAS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCE.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. HIGHER GUSTS NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-010000-
PASSAGE CANAL
835 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-010000-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
835 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT...INCREASING TO 45 KT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT. HIGHER GUSTS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-010000-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 30 KT
INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-010000-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-010000-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
835 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT S OF KALGIN ISLAND AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-010000-
KACHEMAK BAY
835 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Sep 29, 4:00 PM AKDT, 12 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 29, 4:00 PM AKDT, 12 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 29 2010

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE DOING WELL THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND
THEN IMPACTIVE DIFFERENCES OCCUR. IN MANY CASES THE DIFFERENCES IN
THE MODELS WOULD NOT BE THAT BIG OF AN ISSUE. HOWEVER THE DIFFERENCE
IN BRINGING THE LOW OVER THE MAIN PART OF KODIAK ISLAND WHICH THE 12
GFS IS SHOWING TO OTHER MODELS BRINGING IT OVER THE HOMER AREA TO
OTHERS SHOWING THE BARREN ISLANDS IS LARGE. THESE SOLUTIONS CONTINUE
TO DIFFER EVEN AFTER THE FRIDAY DAY PERIOD SO THERE IS SOME
UNCERTAINTY EXACTLY WHERE THE WORST OF THE WEATHER WILL OCCUR. BEST
GUESS AT THIS TIME IS THAT THE STORM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BARREN
ISLAND REGION...BUT THAT EXPECTATION COULD CHANGE AS IT APPROACHES.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS
OUT OF THE ARCTIC OCEAN THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT AND THEN ALL THE
WAY SOUTH TO AROUND 40N 165W. THE 250 MB JET STREAM EXTENDS FROM THE
TIP OF KAMCHATKA TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WHERE IT DIVES RAPIDLY
SOUTHWARD AROUND THIS TROUGH. THERE IS A SHARP BEND IN THE JET AS IT
HEADS BACK TO THE NORTHEAST AND OVER THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA.
THIS SECTION OF THE JET IS DISTINCTLY SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM
40N 160W THROUGH 50N 150W. THE IR IMAGERY IS ESPECIALLY IMPRESSIVE
SHOWING THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WITH THE ASSOCIATED VERTICAL MOTION.
THIS IS THE AREA WHERE A NEW SURFACE LOW WILL START TO DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT AND THEN RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF FRIDAY.
THE CYCLONIC MOTION SEEN ON THE SATELLITE NEAR THE SOUTHERN END OF
SHELIKOF STRAIT IS THE REMNANTS OF TYPHOON MALAKAS WHICH IS SLOWLY
WEAKENING AS IT BRINGS RAINFALL AND WARMER AIR INTO THE BRISTOL BAY
REGION THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AND KODIAK.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE SHORT TERM FOCUS IS ON THE LOW NEAR
SHELIKOF STRAIT THAT WILL MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY OVERNIGHT AND THEN
REMAIN STATIONARY AND WEAKEN BEFORE THE DEVELOPING GULF LOW ABSORBS
IT TOMORROW. THIS WARM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MOSTLY RAIN TO
THE AREA. THE EXCEPTIONS TO THIS ARE IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND
FROM THE KILBUCK MOUNTAINS AND FARTHER WEST. WITH A SIGNIFICANT
INFLUX OF WARM AIR THE COPPER RIVER BASIN SHOULD TURN TO ALL RAIN BY
THIS EVENING. THE KILBUCK MOUNTAINS AND WESTWARD WILL SEE A SLOW WARM
UP INTO TOMORROW AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHWESTWARD BUT AREAS WEST OF
BETHEL WILL LIKELY STAY IN THE COLDER NORTHERLY FLOW. ELSEWHERE
PRECIPITATION WILL BE ALL RAIN EVEN FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIODS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY IS WHEN THINGS GET
REALLY INTERESTING FOR THE AREA FROM THE ALASKA PENINSULA TO THE
NORTH GULF COAST AS WELL AS SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA INTO BRISTOL BAY.
THE DEVELOPING STORM THAT WAS DISCUSSED EARLIER IS STILL GIVING THE
MODELS FITS AND THEREFORE QUESTIONS REMAIN AS TO WHERE THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL BE. WHAT CAN BE COUNTED ON IS THAT THE NORTH GULF COAST
WILL GET HIT HARD WITH A BARRIER JET DEVELOPING ALONG THE COAST OF
THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE AREA
JUST OUTSIDE RESURRECTION BAY. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND PASSAGE CANAL
MIGHT SEE STORM FORCE WINDS IF THE STORM TRACK MOVES FARTHER TO THE
NORTH...BUT WILL ONLY SEE GALES IF IT PROCEEDS OVER KODIAK ISLAND.
THE MAIN DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THIS LOW AND THE ONE FROM A WEEK AGO THAT
CAUSED THE WIND STORM IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA IS THAT THE STORM LAST
WEEK WAS PUSHING INTO A WELL ESTABLISHED RIDGE THAT WAS OVER THE
MAINLAND PART OF THE STATE. THIS CAUSED A VERY TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT. THE STORM APPROACHING ON FRIDAY WILL FOLLOW THE TROUGH
TOWARD THE CURRENT LOW AND THEREFORE THE TIGHTEST PRESSURE GRADIENTS
WILL BE ALONG THE GULF COAST AND OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND NOT OVER
THE LAND AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES FROM GULF OF ALASKA REGION THROUGH EASTERN ALEUTIANS.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

SEP 10

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 29, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 29, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 29, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 29, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 29, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 29, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Sep 29, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Sep 29, 4:00 PM AKDTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 29, 7:20 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC9 hr
Sep 30, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 30, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 30, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 30, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Sep 30, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Sep 30, 4:00 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 30, 8:35 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC7 hr
Sep 30, 8:35 AM AKDTHurricane Force Wind WarningAFC7 hr
Sep 30, 8:35 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC7 hr
Sep 30, 10:00 AM AKDTHurricane Force Wind WarningAFC6 hr
Sep 30, 10:48 AM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Sep 30, 11:11 AM AKDTHigh Wind WatchAFC18 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2010Every storm warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.