Alert archive / Alabama / Hurricane Warnings in 2009
Hurricane Warning 1011, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this hurricane warning at Nov 8, 2009, 10:23 PM CST. It took effect at Nov 8, 2009, 10:49 PM CST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 8, 2009, 10:23 PM CST (04:23 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 8, 2009, 10:49 PM CST
- Expired
- Nov 9, 2009, 10:55 AM CST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WTUS84 KMOB 090423 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IDA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1023 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 ...IDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 9 PM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.. THIS IS ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH- NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS AS TO THE EXACT PATH THAT IDA WILL TAKE SO PEOPLE LIVING ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST OF COASTAL SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND STORM SURGE. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 2 AM CST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA. ALZ063-064-FLZ001>006-100430- /O.UPG.KMOB.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.HI.W.0001.091109T0423Z-091111T0000Z/ /O.UPG.KMOB.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.HU.W.1011.091109T0423Z-000000T0000Z/ LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA- INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA- COASTAL OKALOOSA- 1023 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES... 645 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...BUT IDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 5 TO 7 FEET ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA LINE...ESPECIALLY IN THE UPPER REACHES OF MOBILE BAY(INCLUDING BAYOU SARA)...DOG RIVER...THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND AND BAYOU LA BATRE. THIS IS TRACK DEPENDENT. IF IDA PASSES FURTHER EAST..THE LOW END OF THESE VALUES WILL BE REALIZED OVER COASTAL ALABAMA. EAST OF ORANGE BEACH TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 FEET. THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 AM ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL EXACERBATE STORM RELATED FLOODING SINCE IDAS FORECAST LANDFALL IS JUST A FEW HOURS THEREAFTER. IF IDA MOVES IN EARLIER...THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE MAY COINCIDE WITH LANDFALL WHICH COULD RAISE THE AFOREMENTIONED VALUES. && ...WINDS... THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO ONSET BY MID MONDAY AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD THEREAFTER THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING. POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH IDA...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDAS HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. && ...TORNADOES... TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDAS OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ ALZ061-062-100430- /O.UPG.KMOB.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.HI.W.0001.091109T0423Z-091111T0000Z/ /O.UPG.KMOB.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.HU.W.1011.091109T0423Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN- 1023 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 9 PM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.. THIS IS ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH- NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO ONSET BY MID MONDAY AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD THEREAFTER THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING. POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH IDA...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDAS HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED LATER. && && ...TORNADOES... TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDAS OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && && $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-100430- /O.UPG.KMOB.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.TI.W.0002.091109T0423Z-091111T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 1023 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 9 PM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.. THIS IS ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH- NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO ONSET DURING MONDAY EVENING NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD THEREAFTER THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS. FREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 65. POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH IDA. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDAS HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED LATER. && ...TORNADOES... TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDAS OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ GMZ630-650-655-670-675-100430- /O.NEW.KMOB.HU.W.0001.091109T0423Z-000000T0000Z/ MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1023 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 9 PM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.. THIS IS ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH- NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE MONDAY MORNING AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO LAST FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 55 TO 70 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 95 KNOTS. && ...MARINE... COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SEAS WILL BUILD FROM THEIR CURRENT 7 TO 10 FEET RANGE TONIGHT... REACHING A MAXIMUM OF 20 TO 25 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING NEAR THE PEAK OF THE EVENT. && ...TORNADOES... TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDAS OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ JVW
6 follow-up statements
865 WTUS84 KMOB 090501 CCA HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IDA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1049 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 ...IDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING ALL OF GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 9 PM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THIS IS ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT AND MAKE LANDFALL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING NEAR PENSACOLA PASS. WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS AS TO THE EXACT PATH THAT IDA WILL TAKE SO PEOPLE LIVING ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST OF COASTAL SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND STORM SURGE. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 2 AM CST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA. ALZ063-064-FLZ001>006-100500- /O.UPG.KMOB.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/ /O.COR.KMOB.HI.W.0001.091109T0449Z-091111T0000Z/ /O.UPG.KMOB.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.COR.KMOB.HU.W.1011.091109T0449Z-000000T0000Z/ LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA- INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA- COASTAL OKALOOSA- 1049 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES... 645 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT AND MAKE LANDFALL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING NEAR PENSACOLA PASS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...BUT IDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 5 TO 7 FEET ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA LINE...ESPECIALLY IN THE UPPER REACHES OF MOBILE BAY(INCLUDING BAYOU SARA)...DOG RIVER...THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND AND BAYOU LA BATRE. THIS IS TRACK DEPENDENT. IF IDA PASSES FURTHER EAST..THE LOW END OF THESE VALUES WILL BE REALIZED OVER COASTAL ALABAMA. EAST OF ORANGE BEACH TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 FEET. THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 AM ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL EXACERBATE STORM RELATED FLOODING SINCE IDA'S FORECAST LANDFALL IS JUST A FEW HOURS THEREAFTER. IF IDA MOVES IN EARLIER...THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE MAY COINCIDE WITH LANDFALL WHICH COULD RAISE THE AFOREMENTIONED VALUES. && ...WINDS... THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO ONSET BY MID MONDAY AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD THEREAFTER THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING. POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH IDA...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDA'S HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. && ...TORNADOES... TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDA'S OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ ALZ061-062-100500- /O.UPG.KMOB.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/ /O.COR.KMOB.HI.W.0001.091109T0449Z-091111T0000Z/ /O.UPG.KMOB.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.COR.KMOB.HU.W.1011.091109T0449Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN- 1049 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 9 PM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.. THIS IS ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH- NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO ONSET BY MID MONDAY AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD THEREAFTER THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING. POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH IDA...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDA'S HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. && ...TORNADOES... TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDA'S OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-100500- /O.UPG.KMOB.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/ /O.COR.KMOB.TI.W.0002.091109T0449Z-091111T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 1049 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 9 PM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.. THIS IS ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH- NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO ONSET DURING MONDAY EVENING NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD THEREAFTER THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS. FREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 65. POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH IDA. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDA'S HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. && ...TORNADOES... TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDA'S OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ GMZ630-650-655-670-675-100500- /O.COR.KMOB.HU.W.0001.091109T0449Z-000000T0000Z/ MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1049 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 9 PM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.. THIS IS ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH- NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE MONDAY MORNING AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO LAST FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 55 TO 70 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 95 KNOTS. && ...MARINE... COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SEAS WILL BUILD FROM THEIR CURRENT 7 TO 10 FEET RANGE TONIGHT... REACHING A MAXIMUM OF 20 TO 25 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING NEAR THE PEAK OF THE EVENT. && ...TORNADOES... TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDA'S OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ JVW
000 WTUS84 KMOB 090744 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IDA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 144 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...IDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING ALL OF GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 1200 AM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 410 MILES...SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO TODAY...AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...BUT IDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON MONDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT AND MAKE LANDFALL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ON THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST. WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS AS TO THE EXACT PATH THAT IDA WILL TAKE SO PEOPLE LIVING ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST OF ALABAMA THROUGH THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND STORM SURGE. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 5 AM CST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA. ALZ063-064-FLZ001>006-091200- /O.CON.KMOB.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA- INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA- COASTAL OKALOOSA- 144 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 1200 AM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 410 MILES...SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO ONSET BY MID MONDAY AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD THEREAFTER THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING. POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH IDA...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDAS HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. && ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 6 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE ALABAMA- WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST LINES. THIS IS TRACK DEPENDENT. IF IDA PASSES FURTHER EAST. THE LOW END OF THESE VALUES WILL BE REALIZED. THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 AM ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL EXACERBATE STORM RELATED FLOODING SINCE IDAS FORECAST LANDFALL IS JUST A FEW HOURS THEREAFTER. IF IDA MOVES IN EARLIER...THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE MAY COINCIDE WITH LANDFALL WHICH COULD RAISE THE AFOREMENTIONED VALUES. && ...TORNADOES... TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDAS OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ ALZ061-062-091200- /O.EXT.KMOB.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN- 144 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 1200 AM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 410 MILES...SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO ONSET BY MID MONDAY AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD THEREAFTER THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR BY EARLY MORNING TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING. POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH IDA...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDAS HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. && ...TORNADOES... TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDAS OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-091200- /O.CON.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 144 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 1200 AM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 410 MILES...SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO BEGIN MONDAY EVENING NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING NORTHWARD THEREAFTER THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS. GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 65. POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH IDA. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDAS HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. && ...TORNADOES... TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDAS OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ GMZ630-650-655-670-675-091200- /O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 144 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 1200 AM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 410 MILES...SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...MARINE... ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SEAS WILL BUILD FROM THEIR CURRENT 7 TO 10 FEET RANGE TONIGHT...REACHING A MAXIMUM OF 16 TO 20 FEET WITHIN 20 NM OF THE COAST AND 20 TO 25 FEET GREATER THAN 20 NM OUT BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING NEAR THE PEAK OF THE EVENT. && ...WINDS... AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO LAST FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 45 TO 65 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 95 KNOTS. && ...TORNADOES... TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDAS OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM MIDDAY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ JVW
000 WTUS84 KMOB 091139 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IDA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...IDA WEAKENS SLIGHTLY BUT REMAINS HEADED TOWARD THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE GULF COASTAL WATERS AND BAYS FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA AND OUT TO 60 NM. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING ALL OF THE GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA AND OUT 60 NM. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 300 AM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO TODAY...AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...BUT IDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...IDA IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT APPROACHES THE GULF COAST LATE TONIGHT. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... IDA HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A SLOW WEAKENING TREND BUT IT IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATE TONIGHT. WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS AS TO THE EXACT PATH THAT IDA WILL TAKE SO PEOPLE LIVING ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST OF ALABAMA THROUGH THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND STORM SURGE. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 10 AM CST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA. ALZ063-064-FLZ001>006-101145- /O.EXT.KMOB.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091110T2000Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA- INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA- COASTAL OKALOOSA- 539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CST TUESDAY... ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE IDA WAS ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA AT 3 AM CST. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. SURF WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AND A LARGE BATTERING SURF IS EXPECTED FROM SUNSET THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SURF HEIGHTS OF 10 TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE FROM FORT MORGAN ALABAMA TO DESTIN FLORIDA. SURF HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET EXPECTED ALONG DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A HURRICANE WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. LISTEN CAREFULLY TO THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN AN AREA PRONE TO COASTAL FLOODING. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. && ...WINDS... AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND SUNSET TODAY. STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING LATE TONIGHT WHEN WINDS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES... ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. && ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK...SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. && ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 4 TO 6 FEET ARE POSSIBLE FROM FORT MORGAN TO DESTIN. THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 AM ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL EXACERBATE STORM RELATED FLOODING SINCE IDAS FORECAST LANDFALL IS NEAR THIS TIME. IF IDA MOVES IN EARLIER...THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE MAY COINCIDE WITH LANDFALL WHICH COULD RAISE THE AFOREMENTIONED VALUES. TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER FROM FORT MORGAN TO THE WEST..WITH DAUPHIN ISLAND RANGING FROM 2 TO 4 FEET...STILL HIGH ENOUGH TO SEND SOME WATER ACROSS THE WEST END OF THE ISLAND. && ...COASTAL HAZARDS... SURF WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AND A LARGE BATTERING SURF IS EXPECTED FROM SUNSET THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SURF HEIGHTS OF 10 TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE FROM FORT MORGAN ALABAMA TO DESTIN FLORIDA. SURF HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET EXPECTED ALONG DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL BE EXTREME AND PEOPLE SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE WATER. && ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IS LOW...BUT IF TORNADOES DO OCCUR THEY WILL MAINLY FORM IN IDAS OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM LATE TODAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ ALZ061-062-101145- /O.EXT.KMOB.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091110T2000Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN- 539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 PM CST TUESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE IDA WAS ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA AT 3 AM CST. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION ANY PREPARATIONS NEEDED FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO BEGIN SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET OVER THE INTERIOR OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES. STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED AROUND SUNRISE TUESDAY WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND SOME GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE. WINDS DIMINISHING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. POWER OUTAGES ARE A POSSIBILITY WITH IDA. MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE... AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDAS HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. && $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101145- /O.EXT.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091110T2000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CST TUESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE IDA WAS ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA AT 3 AM CST. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION ANY PREPARATIONS NEEDED FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 AND NEAR MIDNIGHT WEST OF INTERSTATE 65. STRONGEST WINDS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH WILL OCCUR NEAR THE CENTER OF IDAS CIRCULATION...OR ACROSS ESCAMBIA AND COVINGTON COUNTIES ALABAMA AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDAS HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE ADJACENT AREAS OF ALABAMA. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH SOME ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. && $$ GMZ630-650-655-670-675-101145- /O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE IDA WAS ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA AT 3 AM CST. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT. ANY SMALL CRAFT AT SEA SHOULD RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR THIS MORNING. && ...MARINE... ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SEAS WILL BUILD FROM THEIR CURRENT 8 TO 12 FEET THIS MORNING TO A MAXIMUM OF 17 TO 23 FEET WITHIN 20 NM OF THE COAST AND 21 TO 26 FEET BEYOND 20 NM OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT. && ...WINDS... AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET OVER THE WATERS BEYOND 40 MILES OFFSHORE... CLOSER TO MIDNIGHT IN THE NEAR SHORE WATERS. WINDS AT OR NEAR HURRICANE FORCE ARE EXPECTED TO LAST FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. && ...TORNADOES... A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF IDA AND NEAR THE CENTER AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. && $$
000 WTUS84 KMOB 091218 CCA HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IDA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...IDA WEAKENS SLIGHTLY BUT REMAINS HEADED TOWARD THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE GULF COASTAL WATERS AND BAYS FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA AND OUT TO 60 NM. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING ALL OF THE GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA AND OUT 60 NM. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 300 AM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO TODAY...AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...IDA IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT APPROACHES THE GULF COAST LATE TONIGHT. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... IDA HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A SLOW WEAKENING TREND BUT IT IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATE TONIGHT. WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS AS TO THE EXACT PATH THAT IDA WILL TAKE SO PEOPLE LIVING ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST OF ALABAMA THROUGH THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND STORM SURGE. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 10 AM CST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA. ALZ063-064-FLZ001>006-101145- /O.EXT.KMOB.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091110T2000Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA- INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA- COASTAL OKALOOSA- 539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CST TUESDAY... ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE IDA WAS ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA AT 3 AM CST. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. SURF WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AND A LARGE BATTERING SURF IS EXPECTED FROM SUNSET THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SURF HEIGHTS OF 10 TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE FROM FORT MORGAN ALABAMA TO DESTIN FLORIDA. SURF HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET EXPECTED ALONG DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A HURRICANE WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. LISTEN CAREFULLY TO THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN AN AREA PRONE TO COASTAL FLOODING. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. && ...WINDS... AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND SUNSET TODAY. STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING LATE TONIGHT WHEN WINDS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES... ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. && ...INLAND FLOODING... HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK...SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. && ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 4 TO 6 FEET ARE POSSIBLE FROM FORT MORGAN TO DESTIN. THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 AM ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL EXACERBATE STORM RELATED FLOODING SINCE IDAS FORECAST LANDFALL IS NEAR THIS TIME. IF IDA MOVES IN EARLIER...THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE MAY COINCIDE WITH LANDFALL WHICH COULD RAISE THE AFOREMENTIONED VALUES. TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER FROM FORT MORGAN TO THE WEST..WITH DAUPHIN ISLAND RANGING FROM 2 TO 4 FEET...STILL HIGH ENOUGH TO SEND SOME WATER ACROSS THE WEST END OF THE ISLAND. && ...COASTAL HAZARDS... SURF WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AND A LARGE BATTERING SURF IS EXPECTED FROM SUNSET THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SURF HEIGHTS OF 10 TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE FROM FORT MORGAN ALABAMA TO DESTIN FLORIDA. SURF HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET EXPECTED ALONG DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL BE EXTREME AND PEOPLE SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE WATER. && ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IS LOW...BUT IF TORNADOES DO OCCUR THEY WILL MAINLY FORM IN IDAS OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM LATE TODAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ ALZ061-062-101145- /O.EXT.KMOB.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091110T2000Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN- 539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 PM CST TUESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE IDA WAS ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA AT 3 AM CST. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION ANY PREPARATIONS NEEDED FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO BEGIN SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET OVER THE INTERIOR OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES. STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED AROUND SUNRISE TUESDAY WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND SOME GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE. WINDS DIMINISHING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. POWER OUTAGES ARE A POSSIBILITY WITH IDA. MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE... AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDAS HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. && $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101145- /O.EXT.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091110T2000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CST TUESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE IDA WAS ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA AT 3 AM CST. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION ANY PREPARATIONS NEEDED FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 AND NEAR MIDNIGHT WEST OF INTERSTATE 65. STRONGEST WINDS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH WILL OCCUR NEAR THE CENTER OF IDAS CIRCULATION...OR ACROSS ESCAMBIA AND COVINGTON COUNTIES ALABAMA AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDAS HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE ADJACENT AREAS OF ALABAMA. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH SOME ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. && $$ GMZ630-650-655-670-675-101145- /O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 539 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE IDA WAS ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA AT 3 AM CST. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT. ANY SMALL CRAFT AT SEA SHOULD RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR THIS MORNING. && ...MARINE... ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SEAS WILL BUILD FROM THEIR CURRENT 8 TO 12 FEET THIS MORNING TO A MAXIMUM OF 17 TO 23 FEET WITHIN 20 NM OF THE COAST AND 21 TO 26 FEET BEYOND 20 NM OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT. && ...WINDS... AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET OVER THE WATERS BEYOND 40 MILES OFFSHORE... CLOSER TO MIDNIGHT IN THE NEAR SHORE WATERS. WINDS AT OR NEAR HURRICANE FORCE ARE EXPECTED TO LAST FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. && ...TORNADOES... A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF IDA AND NEAR THE CENTER AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. && $$
000 WTUS84 KMOB 091639 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM IDA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1039 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...IDA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 9 AM CST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THIS IS ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH OF MOBILE AL. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IDA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TUESDAY MORNING. AFTER LANDFALL...A TURN TO THE EAST IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS CONTINUE TO DECREASE AND ARE NOW NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TODAY AS IDA APPROACHES THE COAST. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... IDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. EVEN WITH THE STORM WEAKENING... THE THREAT FOR COASTAL FLOODING...VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND STRONG WINDS STILL EXISTS. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 2 PM CST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. ALZ063-064-FLZ001>006-101645- /O.CAN.KMOB.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091110T2000Z/ /O.CAN.KMOB.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.TR.W.1011.091109T1639Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/ LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA- INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA- COASTAL OKALOOSA- 1039 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... IDA HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM AND IS ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH OF MOBILE AS OF 9 AM CST. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT WITH ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS DISCONTINUED. SURF WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AND A LARGE BATTERING SURF IS EXPECTED FROM SUNSET THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SURF HEIGHTS OF 10 TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE FROM FORT MORGAN ALABAMA TO DESTIN FLORIDA. SURF HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET EXPECTED ALONG DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO SPREAD INLAND THROUGH THE DAY. A WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK MAY RESULT IN HIGHER STORM SURGE TOTALS IN MOBILE BAY. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION ANY PREPARATIONS NEEDED FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM IDA APPROACHES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD INLAND THIS EVENING EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 AND NEAR MIDNIGHT WEST OF INTERSTATE 65. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST AND GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH FURTHER INLAND. && ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 4 TO 6 FEET ARE POSSIBLE FROM SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTY TO FORT MORGAN. TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY. ACROSS THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 4 FEET ARE CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 AM ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL EXACERBATE STORM RELATED FLOODING SINCE IDA WILL BE NEARING THIS COAST DURING THIS TIME. THERE HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTS OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ACROSS DAUPHIN ISLAND WITH WATER REPORTED FROM ST. STEPHENS ROAD TO THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND. && ...COASTAL HAZARDS... SURF WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AND A LARGE BATTERING SURF IS EXPECTED FROM SUNSET THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SURF HEIGHTS OF 10 TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE FROM FORT MORGAN ALABAMA TO DESTIN FLORIDA. SURF HEIGHTS OF 4 TO 6 FEET EXPECTED ALONG DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL BE EXTREME AND PEOPLE SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE WATER. && ...INLAND FLOODING... THE WESTWARD SHIFT IN IDAS TRACK WILL BRING A HEAVY RAIN THREAT TO MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH SOME ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. && ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IS LOW...BUT IF TORNADOES DO OCCUR THEY WILL MAINLY FORM IN IDAS OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM LATE TODAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ ALZ061-062-101645- /O.CAN.KMOB.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091110T2000Z/ /O.CAN.KMOB.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.TR.W.1011.091109T1639Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KMOB.TI.W.0002.091109T1800Z-091111T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN- 1039 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... IDA HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THE STORM IS LOCATED ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH OF MOBILE AS OF 9 AM CST. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT WITH ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS DISCONTINUED. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION ANY PREPARATIONS NEEDED FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM IDA APPROACHES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS... MAINLY IN GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 AND NEAR MIDNIGHT WEST OF INTERSTATE 65. WINDS GUSTS OF 40 AND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDA WILL SPREAD HEAVY RAIN NORTH TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. && $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101645- /O.EXT.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 1039 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IDA HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES NORTH NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. THE STORM IS LOCATED ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH OF MOBILE AS OF 9 AM CST. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION ANY PREPARATIONS NEEDED FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM IDA APPROACHES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL SPREAD INLAND ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI....SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF 40 AND 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. && ...INLAND FLOODING... THE WESTWARD SHIFT IN IDAS TRACK WILL BRING A HEAVY RAIN THREAT TO MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH SOME ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE REST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. && $$ GMZ630-650-655-670-675-101645- /O.CAN.KMOB.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.TR.W.0002.091109T1639Z-000000T0000Z/ MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1039 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... IDA HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES NORTH NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. THE STORM IS LOCATED ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH OF MOBILE AS OF 9 AM CST. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT. ANY SMALL CRAFT AT SEA SHOULD RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR THIS MORNING. && ...MARINE... ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SEAS WILL BUILD FROM THEIR CURRENT 9 TO 12 FEET THIS MORNING TO A MAXIMUM OF 17 TO 23 FEET WITHIN 20 NM OF THE COAST AND 21 TO 26 FEET BEYOND 20 NM OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING 20 TO 60 NM OUT AND SPREAD CLOSER TO THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. && ...TORNADOES... A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF IDA AND NEAR THE CENTER AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. && && $$
000 WTUS84 KMOB 091656 HLSMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM IDA LOCAL STATEMENT...RESENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1055 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...IDA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 9 AM CST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THIS IS ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH OF MOBILE AL. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IDA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TUESDAY MORNING. AFTER LANDFALL...A TURN TO THE EAST IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS CONTINUE TO DECREASE AND ARE NOW NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TODAY AS IDA APPROACHES THE COAST. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... IDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. EVEN WITH THE STORM WEAKENING... THE THREAT FOR COASTAL FLOODING...VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND STRONG WINDS STILL EXISTS. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 2 PM CST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. ALZ063-064-FLZ001>006-101700- /O.CAN.KMOB.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091110T2000Z/ /O.CAN.KMOB.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.TR.W.1011.091109T1655Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/ LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA- INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA- COASTAL OKALOOSA- 1055 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... IDA HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM AND IS ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH OF MOBILE AS OF 9 AM CST. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT WITH ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS DISCONTINUED. SURF WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AND A LARGE BATTERING SURF IS EXPECTED FROM SUNSET THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SURF HEIGHTS OF 10 TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE FROM FORT MORGAN ALABAMA TO DESTIN FLORIDA. SURF HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET EXPECTED ALONG DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO SPREAD INLAND THROUGH THE DAY. A WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK MAY RESULT IN HIGHER STORM SURGE TOTALS IN MOBILE BAY. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION ANY PREPARATIONS NEEDED FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM IDA APPROACHES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD INLAND THIS EVENING EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 AND NEAR MIDNIGHT WEST OF INTERSTATE 65. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST AND GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH FURTHER INLAND. && ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 4 TO 6 FEET ARE POSSIBLE FROM SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTY TO FORT MORGAN. TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY. ACROSS THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 4 FEET ARE CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 AM ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL EXACERBATE STORM RELATED FLOODING SINCE IDA WILL BE NEARING THIS COAST DURING THIS TIME. THERE HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTS OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ACROSS DAUPHIN ISLAND WITH WATER REPORTED FROM ST. STEPHENS ROAD TO THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND. && ...COASTAL HAZARDS... SURF WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AND A LARGE BATTERING SURF IS EXPECTED FROM SUNSET THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SURF HEIGHTS OF 10 TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE FROM FORT MORGAN ALABAMA TO DESTIN FLORIDA. SURF HEIGHTS OF 4 TO 6 FEET EXPECTED ALONG DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL BE EXTREME AND PEOPLE SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE WATER. && ...INLAND FLOODING... THE WESTWARD SHIFT IN IDAS TRACK WILL BRING A HEAVY RAIN THREAT TO MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH SOME ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. && ...TORNADOES... THE RISK OF TORNADOES IS LOW...BUT IF TORNADOES DO OCCUR THEY WILL MAINLY FORM IN IDAS OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM LATE TODAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. && $$ ALZ061-062-101700- /O.CAN.KMOB.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091110T2000Z/ /O.CAN.KMOB.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.TR.W.1011.091109T1655Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KMOB.TI.W.0002.091109T1800Z-091111T0000Z/ UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN- 1055 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... IDA HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. THE STORM IS LOCATED ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH OF MOBILE AS OF 9 AM CST. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT WITH ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS DISCONTINUED. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION ANY PREPARATIONS NEEDED FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM IDA APPROACHES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS... MAINLY IN GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 AND NEAR MIDNIGHT WEST OF INTERSTATE 65. WINDS GUSTS OF 40 AND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. && ...INLAND FLOODING... IDA WILL SPREAD HEAVY RAIN NORTH TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. && $$ ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101700- /O.EXT.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 1055 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IDA HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES NORTH NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. THE STORM IS LOCATED ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH OF MOBILE AS OF 9 AM CST. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...TODAY IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION ANY PREPARATIONS NEEDED FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM IDA APPROACHES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL SPREAD INLAND ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI....SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF 40 AND 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. && ...INLAND FLOODING... THE WESTWARD SHIFT IN IDAS TRACK WILL BRING A HEAVY RAIN THREAT TO MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH SOME ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE REST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. && $$ GMZ630-650-655-670-675-101700- /O.CAN.KMOB.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.TR.W.0002.091109T1655Z-000000T0000Z/ MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1055 AM CST MON NOV 9 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... IDA HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES NORTH NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. THE STORM IS LOCATED ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH OF MOBILE AS OF 9 AM CST. && ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT. ANY SMALL CRAFT AT SEA SHOULD RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR THIS MORNING. && ...MARINE... ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SEAS WILL BUILD FROM THEIR CURRENT 9 TO 12 FEET THIS MORNING TO A MAXIMUM OF 17 TO 23 FEET WITHIN 20 NM OF THE COAST AND 21 TO 26 FEET BEYOND 20 NM OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT. && ...WINDS... AS TROPICAL STORM IDA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING 20 TO 60 NM OUT AND SPREAD CLOSER TO THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. && ...TORNADOES... A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF IDA AND NEAR THE CENTER AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. && && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this hurricane warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this hurricane warning went out at Nov 8, 3:19 PM CST, 7 hours 4 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 8, 3:19 PM CST, 7 hours 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
319 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY) QUITE A COMPLEX AND
CHALLENGING FORECAST WITH THE APPROACH OF HURRICANE IDA. HURRICANE
IDA HAS SLOWLY STRENGTHENED FOR MUCH OF THE DAY WITH THE SYSTEM
LOOKING IMPRESSIVE ON SATELLITE AND CANCUN RADAR. HOWEVER...THE LAST
FEW SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A LITTLE MORE RAGGED CONVECTIVE ENVELOPE
WITH SIGNS OF SOUTHERLY SHEAR MAY BE STARTING TO AFFECT THE SYSTEM.
IDA IS FORECAST TO LEVEL OFF IN INTENSITY THIS EVENING AS IT
CONTINUES NORTH NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. WEAKENING IS
STILL EXPECTED AS WE PROGRESS THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY AS IDA
APPROACHES MUCH COOLER GULF WATERS. IN ADDITION...UPPER LEVEL WINDS
WILL BEGIN TO BECOME MORE HOSTILE AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER
WESTERN TEXAS MOVES EAST TOWARD THE GULF. THIS SAME UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SEND IDA NORTHWARD AND IT IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. THE BIG QUESTION MARK IS HOW FAST DOES IDA WEAKEN AND WILL
IT MAINTAIN TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT APPROACHES OUR AREA?
THERE ARE DEFINITELY SOME MIXED SIGNALS OUT THERE AND FORECASTING
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS ALWAYS CHALLENGING. THE GFS HAS
DEVELOPED AN INTERESTING SCENARIO WHERE IT FORECASTS A BAROCLINIC
LOW TO DEVELOP IN THE WESTERN GULF TOMORROW...WHICH IN TURN HANGS UP
THE EASTWARD MOVING COLD FRONT. THIS ALLOWS IDA TO SHOOT
NORTH...REMAINING IN THE WARM SECTOR AND DELAYING A TRANSITION. IN
FACT...THE CYCLONE PHASE DIAGRAM CHART FROM THE GFS REVEALS THE MODEL
MAINTAINING A TROPICAL SYSTEM UP UNTIL LANDFALL. HOWEVER...EVEN WITH
THE TROUGH HOLDING BACK...THE COOLER WATER...COOLER DRIER
CONTINENTAL AIR...AND INCREASING SHEAR WOULD SUGGEST THE SYSTEM MAY
BEGIN TO LOSE ITS TROPICAL FEATURES. TO MAKE IT EVEN MORE
COMPLICATED...THE HURRICANE WILL BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK TO ITS NORTH...WHICH MAY SERVE AS A STRONG
POLEWARD OUTFLOW...HELPING TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY. ALL IN ALL...IT
IS GOING TO BE A VERY CLOSE CALL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF THIS SYSTEM
MAINTAINING THE PUNCH OF A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE IS HIGH ENOUGH TO
WARRANT THE ISSUANCE OF A HURRICANE WATCH FOR OUR ENTIRE COAST.
IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT IF INDEED IDA BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL...WE ARE
STILL LOOKING AT A SIGNIFICANT WIND AND COASTAL FLOODING IMPACT. AS
IDA TRANSITIONS...ITS WIND FIELD WILL BROADEN AND THE GRADIENT
BETWEEN IDA AND THE HIGH TO OUR NORTH WILL PUT US IN QUITE THE
SQUEEZE PLAY...RESULTING IN STRONG GRADIENT WINDS. GIVEN THE
POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT WINDS SPREADING INLAND...HAVE ALSO ISSUED
A INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH FOR INLAND ZONES. IT IS IMPORTANT
TO STRESS NOT TO FOCUS ON WHETHER THIS IS TROPICAL OR NON TROPICAL.
INSTEAD...PREPARE FOR THE WINDS AND POTENTIAL COASTAL FLOODING
REGARDLESS. PLEASE REFER TO OUR HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS FOR
SPECIFIC INFORMATION REGARDING THE THREATS ASSOCIATED WITH IDA.
TONIGHT LOOKS MOSTLY DRY WITH JUST INCREASING CLOUDS AND WINDS AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEGINS TO TIGHTEN. REALLY RAMP UP POPS BY
TOMORROW AFTERNOON WITH ALL ZONES CATEGORICAL TOMORROW NIGHT WITH
THE STORM APPROACHING THE COAST. HEAVY RAIN CERTAINLY A THREAT WITH
TOTALS OF 2-4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. SINCE FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE IS RATHER HIGH...HAVE DECIDED TO HOLD OFF ON A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH FOR NOW. LATEST NHC TRACK HAS THE REMNANTS OF IDA
SHIFTING EAST OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY...AND WILL FOLLOW SUIT ON
REDUCING POPS FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY. STUCK CLOSE TO MOS
TEMPS THROUGH PERIOD. /34 JFB
.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY) NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES
TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST WITH ALL ATTENTION DEVOTED TO IDA. A RETURN
TO AUTUMN WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED MID TO LATE WEEK AS IDA MOVES OUT
AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE FORECAST AREA IN THE WAKE OF A COLD
FRONT. LATEST GUIDANCE WAFFLING ON THE WEEKEND PATTERN...SO WILL
LEAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN FOR NOW...BUT SUSPECT THAT CAN BE TAKEN
OUT IN SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS. 34/JFB
&&
.AVIATION...(18Z ISSUANCE)...HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD
THE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. CIGS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER THROUGH THE
MORNING ON MONDAY. HOWEVER VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 18Z.
HOWEVER...WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS THE GRADIENT
BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND HURRICANE IDA INCREASES.
EASTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. /13
&&
.MARINE...EASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE MARINE
AREA AS HURRICANE IDA CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD. GALE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. AS HURRICANE IDA APPROACHES THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MARINE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT. AS IDA MOVES INLAND LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING
SHE WILL TRANSITION TO EXTRA TROPICAL AND DRAG A STRONG COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE MARINE AREA ON TUESDAY. THE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN TIGHT BEHIND
THE FRONT AS ANOTHER STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD
THUS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT THROUGH THURSDAY. /13
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE 61 70 62 71 / 20 80 80 40
PENSACOLA 63 71 63 70 / 05 80 90 40
DESTIN 65 73 65 69 / 05 80 90 50
EVERGREEN 55 71 61 70 / 05 60 90 60
WAYNESBORO 56 69 58 71 / 10 70 80 40
CAMDEN 55 71 60 69 / 05 60 90 60
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HURRICANE WIND WATCH UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...AND UPPER
MOBILE.
HURRICANE WATCH UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: LOWER
BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...AND UPPER MOBILE.
TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...MONROE...WASHINGTON...AND WILCOX.
FL...HURRICANE WATCH UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.
HURRICANE WIND WATCH UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.
MS...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...AND WAYNE.
GM...HURRICANE WATCH UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20
NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM
20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS
FROM 20 TO 60 NM.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 8, 1:40 PM CST, 8 hours 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 140 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078- 079-101500- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 140 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT UNTIL IDA HAS MOVED INLAND PLEASE REFER TO THE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NWS IN MOBILE FOR DETAILED LOCAL INFORMATION. ALSO...GRAPHICAL PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION CAN BE OBTAINED FROM THE FOLLOWING WEB SITE FOR SURGE...WIND...TORNADO AND HEAVY RAINFALL INDUCED FLOODING EFFECTS ASSOCIATED WITH IDA AT: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GHLS AND CLICK ON THE MOBILE AREA THIS WILL BE THE LAST HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PRODUCT ISSUED UNTIL IDA HAS PASSED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THIS WILL BE THE LAST HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PRODUCT ISSUED UNTIL IDA HAS PASSED. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF IDA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. SURFACE WINDS SHOULD RETURN TO THE 10 TO 20 MPH RANGE BY LATE DAY TUESDAY UNDER CLEARING SKIES. SEAS WILL BEGIN TO LAY DOWN AFTER THAT TIME. DRY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR IN ASSOCIATION WITH CANADIAN SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FROM MID-WEEK THROUGH LATE WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON IDA. MEDLIN
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Nov 8, 6:48 PM CST, 3 hours 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 648 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-090600- UPPER MOBILE-ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WASHINGTON-CONECUH-MONROE-BUTLER-CLARKE- CRENSHAW-WILCOX-CHOCTAW-INLAND OKALOOSA-INLAND ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-GEORGE-STONE-PERRY-GREENE-WAYNE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-COASTAL OKALOOSA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAKESVILLE...LUCEDALE...NEW AUGUSTA... WAYNESBORO...WIGGINS...CRESTVIEW...DESTIN...FORT WALTON BEACH... NAVARRE...PENSACOLA...ANDALUSIA...BAY MINETTE...BREWTON...BUTLER... CAMDEN...CHATOM...DAUPHIN ISLAND...DOWNTOWN MOBILE...EVERGREEN... GROVE HILL...LUVERNE AND MONROEVILLE... 648 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 ...IDA SLIGHTLY STRONGER AND MOVING NORTHWARD... ...THIS PRODUCT WILL BE USE DIN LIEU OF THE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT UNTIL TECHNICAL ISSUES ARE RESOLVED... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE IN SELECT LOCATIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. .WATCHES/WARNINGS...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO MEXICO BEACH FLORIDA...INCLUDING MOBILE PENSACOLA NAVARRE AND DESTIN. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR INLAND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTERIOR SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA. ADDITIONAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT OR MONDAY. .STORM INFORMATION...AT 600 PM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST OR ABOUT 445 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AND BE NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...AND IDA IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN ON MONDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM AIRCRAFT DATA IS 979 MB...OR 28.91 INCHES. ...WINDS... THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO ONSET MONDAY. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST PATH...IDA SHOULD BE LOCATED NEAR THE MOUTH OF MOBILE BAY BY SUNRISE TUESDAY WITH NEAR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 65 TO 75 MPH RANGE...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EXPECT 40 50 MPH WINDS INLAND WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. IDA WILL THEN TURN MORE TO THE EAST DURING THE MORNING HOURS. STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL CREATE A VERY WINDY SITUATION EVEN IF IDAS CENTER DOES PASS IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO ANY GIVEN POINT...SO DO NOT JUST FOCUS ON THE LATEST TRACKS CENTERLINE. POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH THIS IDA...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. ...STORM SURGE...TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 5 TO 7 FEET ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA LINE...ESPECIALLY IN THE UPPER REACHES OF MOBILE BAY(INCLUDING BAYOU SARA)...DOG RIVER...THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND AND BAYOU LA BATRE. EAST OF ORANGE BEACH TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS WILL RANGE FROM 2.5 TO 3.5 FEET. THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 AM ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL EXACERBATE STORM RELATED FLOODING SINCE IDAS FORECAST LANDFALL IS JUST A FEW HOURS THEREAFTER. IF IDA MOVES IN EARLIER...THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE MAY COINCIDE WITH LANDFALL WHICH COULD RAISE THE AFOREMENTIONED VALUES. ...SEAS... COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SEAS WILL BUILD FROM THEIR CURRENT 7 TO 10 FEET RANGE TONIGHT... REACHING A MAXIMUM OF 20 TO 25 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING NEAR THE PEAK OF THE EVENT. FINAL PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES SHOULD BE DRAWING TO A CLOSE. ...TORNADOES... TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDAS OUTER RAINBANDS FROM MIDDAY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES FROM THE STORMS CENTER. PLEASE BE VIGILANT ...RAINFALL...IDAS HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED LATER. .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE BY 11 PM. MEDLIN
The office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 8:43 PM CST | Inland Hurricane Watch | MOB | 2 hr | |
| Nov 8, 8:43 PM CST | Inland Tropical Storm Watch | MOB | Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw and 4 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 8, 9:42 PM CST | Flash Flood Watch | MOB | Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw and 4 more | 35 hr |
| Nov 8, 10:23 PM CST | Inland Hurricane Warning | MOB | 13 hr | |
| Nov 8, 10:23 PM CST | Hurricane Warning | MOB | 13 hr | |
| Nov 8, 10:23 PM CST | Inland Tropical Storm Warning | MOB | Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw and 4 more | 35 hr |
| Nov 9, 8:18 AM CST | River Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin | 29 hr |
| Nov 9, 8:20 AM CST | River Flood Warning | MOB | Covington, Escambia | 36 hr |
| Nov 9, 8:21 AM CST | River Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin | 29 hr |
| Nov 9, 8:23 AM CST | River Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia | 49 hr |
| Nov 9, 8:24 AM CST | River Flood Warning | MOB | Covington, Escambia | 36 hr |
| Nov 9, 10:39 AM CST | Tropical Storm Warning | MOB | 23 hr | |
| Nov 9, 10:39 AM CST | Tropical Storm Warning | MOB | 23 hr | |
| Nov 9, 12:43 PM CST | River Flood Warning | MOB | Mobile | 25 hr |
| Nov 9, 8:25 AM CST | River Flood Warning | MOB | Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 36 hr |
| Nov 9, 8:27 AM CST | River Flood Warning | MOB | Okaloosa | 50 hr |
Nearby
Hurricane Warnings in Alabama, 2009Hurricane Warnings in Florida, 2009Every hurricane warning in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.