Areal Flood Warning 1, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTION TO UPDATE TOR WATCH NUMBER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
650 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2009

.UPDATE...PACKAGE UPDATED TO INCLUDE TOR WATCH 72 IN EFFECT UNTIL
06Z/1 AM CDT TONIGHT. WEATHER GRIDS FOR TONIGHT UPDATED TO MATCH.

11/16

&&

.AVIATION...(00Z ISSUANCE)...AM GENERALLY EXPECTING IFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH NEXT ROUND OF STRONGER WEATHER
EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE FA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AGAIN.

16

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 AM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
     CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
     MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...AND
     WILCOX.

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 AM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 AM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...AND WAYNE.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20
     NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
200 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2009

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-271900-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
200 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA. PLEASE SEE THE ACCOMPANYING GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK FOUND AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HWO/INDEX.PHP.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERAL PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY AS A FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY OVER THE AREA AND A SERIES OF
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE EASTWARD ALONG IT.

ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED AGAIN LATE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AS A SERIES OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS PERIODICALLY MOVE
FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGHOUT THE REGION. TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE UP TO 8 INCHES OVER SOME LOCALES. MOST AREAS
ARE EXPECTED TO RECEIVE AT LEAST THREE INCHES ENDING SATURDAY. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

IN ADDITION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL MAINTAIN HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH THURSDAY...AND A CONTINUED HIGH
RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL PREVAIL ALONG AREA BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND POTENTIALLY AN EVEN GREATER
THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. ALL MODES
OF SEVERE WEATHER ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM.

OUR LATEST FORECAST IS FOR CONTINUED TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES ENDING SATURDAY. ISOLATED AREAS MAY RECEIVE EVEN MORE
RAINFALL. DUE TO THE LONG DURATION OF FORECAST HEAVY PRECIPITATION
ACROSS THE AREA...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...SMALL CREEKS AND
STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEK. SEVERAL AREA RIVERS AND
STREAMS ARE ALREADY AT ELEVATED LEVELS AND THIS RAINFALL WILL LIKELY
CAUSE MANY RIVERS ACROSS THE AREA TO GO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY
SATURDAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

A MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND WILL CONTINUE...ALONG
WITH SEAS OF 6 TO 9 FEET. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. A
RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG AREA BEACHES
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION THROUGH SATURDAY FOR FLASH FLOODING...SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES.

PLEASE SEE THE ACCOMPANYING GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS  WEATHER OUTLOOK
FOUND AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HWO/INDEX.PHP.