Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2009

River Flood Warning 110, NWS St. Louis, MO

May 14, 2009Marion County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at May 14, 2009, 9:00 PM CDT for Marion County, Missouri. It took effect at May 15, 2009, 8:44 PM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 14, 2009, 9:00 PM CDT (02:00 UTC)
In effect from
May 15, 2009, 8:44 PM CDT
Expired
May 20, 2009, 8:39 AM CDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Flood severity
Minor

County Marion County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point South Fabius River near Taylor (TAYM7). The gauge peaked at 13.51 ft at May 16, 2009, 8:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate5101505/1505/1605/1705/1805/1905/2005/21
Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
10 ft
Moderate stage
14 ft
Major stage
19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05500000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KLSX 150200
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
900 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2009


...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI... 


    THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS BASED ON A PROBABLE RAINFALL OF 1.4 INCHES IN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/


&&

MOC127-160200-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0110.090516T0515Z-090519T0400Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090516T0515Z.090517T0600Z.090518T0400Z.NO/
900 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR.
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING 
  AND THEN RISE TO NEAR 11.5 FEET SUNDAY MORNING AND FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE LATE EVENING SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   05/15  05/16  05/17  05/18  05/19

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10    6.37       7.3   10.5   11.2    6.9    4.0
13 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 151406
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
906 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF FORECAST RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF 
1.5 INCHES ACROSS THE FABIUS RIVER BASIN...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND 
ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC111-161406-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-090520T1232Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.090514T1305Z.090516T1200Z.090519T1232Z.NO/
906 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 18.9 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE NEAR
  THE GAGE.

$$

MOC111-161405-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-090520T0810Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.090514T1211Z.090517T1800Z.090519T0810Z.NO/
906 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 16.2 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOW DEVELOPS AT THIS HEIGHT 
  TOWARD MONTICELLO.


$$

MOC127-161405-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0110.090516T0417Z-090519T1227Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090516T0417Z.090517T1800Z.090518T1227Z.NO/
906 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* FROM THIS EVENING TO TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 13.6 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   05/16  05/17  05/18  05/19  05/20

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   10.05      18.9   14.0   15.2   12.2    6.1

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11    7.78      16.2   16.2   15.2   10.3    7.3

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10    6.32      10.8   13.1    9.7    4.6    3.4
000 
WGUS43 KLSX 160153
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
853 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009


...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
  

    MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING

    NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA

    SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC111-170153-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-090520T0753Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.090514T1305Z.090516T1200Z.090519T0753Z.NO/
853 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING.
* UNTIL TUESDAY.
* AT 8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 21.0 FEET TOMORROW MORNING
  AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.


$$

MOC127-170152-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0113.090516T0144Z-090518T0042Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.090516T0115Z.090516T1200Z.090517T0042Z.NO/
853 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 17.4 FEET TOMORROW MORNING
  AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE LEFT BANK 
  BEGINS   FLOODING NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 341, NORTH OF PALMYRA, IS 
  FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.  LEFT BANK BEGINS 
  TO FLOOD NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY RD 341 NORTH OF PALMYRA 
  INUNDATED. SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING...RIGHT BANK.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 333, EAST OF PALMYRA, BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

MOC127-170152-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0110.090516T0144Z-090519T1717Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.090515T2153Z.090517T1200Z.090518T1717Z.NO/
853 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 18.0 FEET SUNDAY MORNING
  AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.8 FEET...3000 ACRES ARE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 310 FLOODS JUST WEST OF 
  HIGHWAY 61-24.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   05/16  05/17  05/18  05/19  05/20

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   16.32      21.0   14.2   14.4   10.7    6.4

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   13.46      17.4   10.2    6.0    4.9    4.5

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   11.62      14.0   18.0   12.5    4.9    3.4
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 161438
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
937 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF AN AVERAGE OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE FABIUS AND NORTH RIVER BASINS...WITH
ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF RAIN IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC111-171437-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-090520T1340Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.090514T1305Z.090517T0000Z.090519T1340Z.NO/
937 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.6 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

MOC111-171436-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-090520T0700Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.090514T1211Z.090517T1200Z.090519T0700Z.NO/
937 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.1 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.

$$

MOC127-171436-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-090518T0200Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.090516T0115Z.090516T1330Z.090517T0200Z.NO/
937 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.

$$

MOC127-171436-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-090519T1121Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.090515T2153Z.090517T0600Z.090518T1121Z.NO/
937 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.8 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   05/17  05/18  05/19  05/20  05/21

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   17.64      15.4   14.6   12.7    6.3    5.6

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   15.39      16.1   14.1   10.0    7.0    6.0

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   18.35       9.5    5.9    4.8    4.5    4.4

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   13.50      16.7    9.2    4.3    3.2    2.8
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 162046
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
346 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

..THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI..
 
    
   THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA ...  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR  


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC127-172046-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-090518T1120Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.090516T0115Z.090516T1330Z.090517T1120Z.NO/
346 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA.
* UNTIL SUNDAY.
* AT 2:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE LEFT BANK 
  BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 341, NORTH OF PALMYRA, IS 
  FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.  LEFT BANK BEGINS 
  TO FLOOD NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY RD 341 NORTH OF PALMYRA 
  INUNDATED. SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING...RIGHT BANK.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 333, EAST OF PALMYRA, BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

MOC127-172045-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-090519T1320Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.090515T2153Z.090517T1800Z.090518T1320Z.NO/
346 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 2:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 14.9 FEET TOMORROW  
  AFTERNOON AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.8 FEET...3000 ACRES ARE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 310 FLOODS JUST WEST OF 
  HIGHWAY 61-24.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   05/17  05/18  05/19  05/20  05/21

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   17.7      12.8    6.1    4.9    4.5    4.4

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   13.4      14.7    9.9    4.3    3.2    2.8
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 170203
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
903 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

..THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI..
 
  
     CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/


&&

MOC111-180203-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-090520T1251Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.090514T1305Z.090516T1915Z.090519T1251Z.NO/
903 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING.
* UNTIL TUESDAY.
* AT 8:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.


$$

MOC111-180202-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-090520T0632Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.090514T1211Z.090517T1200Z.090519T0632Z.NO/
903 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING.
* UNTIL TUESDAY.
* AT 8:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET TOMORROW MORNING
  AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOW DEVELOPS AT THIS HEIGHT 
  TOWARD MONTICELLO.


$$

MOC127-180202-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-090518T1432Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.090516T0115Z.090516T1330Z.090517T1432Z.NO/
903 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE LEFT BANK 
  BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 341, NORTH OF PALMYRA, IS 
  FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.  LEFT BANK BEGINS 
  TO FLOOD NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY RD 341 NORTH OF PALMYRA 
  INUNDATED. SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING...RIGHT BANK.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 333, EAST OF PALMYRA, BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

MOC127-180202-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-090519T1345Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.090515T2153Z.090517T1800Z.090518T1345Z.NO/
903 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 14.8 FEET TOMORROW  
  AFTERNOON AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.8 FEET...3000 ACRES ARE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 310 FLOODS JUST WEST OF 
  HIGHWAY 61-24.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

MOC113-180202-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0126.090517T2136Z-090522T0730Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.090517T2136Z.090519T0000Z.090520T1930Z.NO/
903 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* THE 8:30 PM STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 20.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 26.0 FEET MONDAY AFTERNOON
  AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   05/17  05/18  05/19  05/20  05/21

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   17.8      15.8   14.6   12.3    6.6    5.5

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   16.3      17.0   14.5   10.0    7.0    6.0

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   16.9      14.1    6.1    4.9    4.5    4.4

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   12.9      14.5   10.0    4.4    3.3    2.9



CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   E20.4     22.4   25.6   25.9   24.6   22.9
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 171409
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
909 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF AN AVERAGE OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN
RECEIVED ACROSS THE BASIN ON FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC111-181409-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-090520T1508Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.090514T1305Z.090518T1200Z.090519T1508Z.NO/
909 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.4 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

MOC127-181408-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-090519T2037Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090515T2153Z.090517T0215Z.090518T2037Z.NO/
909 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   05/18  05/19  05/20  05/21  05/22

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   17.80      18.4   13.1    7.2    5.4    4.5

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   11.94      10.5    4.4    3.2    2.8    2.7
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 171845
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
145 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER...NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY
 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER...NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER...NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE...AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF AN AVERAGE OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF 
RAIN RECEIVED ACROSS THE BASIN ON FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER 
AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC111-181845-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-090520T1621Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.090514T1211Z.090518T0600Z.090519T1621Z.NO/
145 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 20.0 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

MOC111-181844-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-090520T1352Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.090514T1305Z.090518T1200Z.090519T1352Z.NO/
145 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 18.5 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

MOC127-181844-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-090520T1300Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090515T2153Z.090518T0600Z.090519T1300Z.NO/
145 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1:16 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 13.0 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

MOC113-181844-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-090522T0730Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090519T0000Z.090520T1930Z.NO/
145 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 23.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 26.0 FEET MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   05/18  05/19  05/20  05/21  05/22

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   18.77      19.4   12.6    7.3    6.3    5.6

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   17.89      18.5   12.5    7.1    5.8    4.7

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   12.18      13.0    9.8    4.1    3.1    2.9

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24  E24.00      25.6   25.9   24.6   22.9   21.1
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 180130
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
830 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009

..THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI..
 
  
 MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
 SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
 NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
        
 
 CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE 

  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC111-190130-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-090520T1621Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.090514T1211Z.090518T0600Z.090519T1621Z.NO/
830 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 20.0 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOW DEVELOPS AT THIS HEIGHT 
  TOWARD MONTICELLO.


$$

MOC111-190129-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-090520T1427Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.090514T1305Z.090518T1200Z.090519T1427Z.NO/
830 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 18.5 FEET TOMORROW MORNING
  AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.


$$

MOC127-190129-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-090520T1237Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090515T2153Z.090518T1200Z.090519T1237Z.NO/
830 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 12.9 FEET TOMORROW MORNING
  AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 310 FLOODS JUST WEST OF 
  HIGHWAY 61-24.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

MOC113-190129-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-090522T0730Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090519T0000Z.090520T1930Z.NO/
830 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 7:30 PM THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 24.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 26.0 FEET LATE MONDAY 
  EVENING AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.


$$


&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   05/18  05/19  05/20  05/21  05/22

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   19.6      19.5   12.6    7.3    6.3    5.6

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   18.1      18.5   12.9    7.6    6.0    5.0

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   12.6      12.9    9.7    4.1    3.1    2.9


CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24  E24.4      25.6   25.9   24.6   22.9   21.1
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 181255
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
755 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF A BASIN-WIDE AVERAGE OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
OF RAIN RECEIVED ON FRIDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF
6 INCHES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC111-191255-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-090520T1621Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.090514T1211Z.090518T0115Z.090519T1621Z.NO/
755 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY LATE MORNING.

$$

MOC111-191254-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-090520T2302Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.090514T1305Z.090518T1800Z.090519T2302Z.NO/
755 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.3 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY EVENING.

$$

MOC127-191254-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-090520T1434Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090515T2153Z.090518T1215Z.090519T1434Z.NO/
755 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY LATE MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   05/19  05/20  05/21  05/22  05/23

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   18.30      12.6    7.3    6.3    5.6    4.9

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   19.09      17.4    8.0    5.8    4.8    4.3

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   12.88      10.1    4.1    3.1    2.9    2.9
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 190157
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
857 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...

 
       CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE 

       MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING 

       SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC111-200157-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-090520T2320Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.090514T1305Z.090518T2200Z.090519T2320Z.NO/
857 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 8:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.


$$

MOC113-200156-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-090522T0000Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090519T0600Z.090520T1200Z.NO/
857 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* AT 7:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 24.9 FEET
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY NEAR NOON.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 25.1 FEET LATER TONIGHT
  AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

MOC127-200156-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-090520T1712Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090515T2153Z.090518T1215Z.090519T1712Z.NO/
857 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 310 FLOODS JUST WEST OF 
  HIGHWAY 61-24.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   05/19  05/20  05/21  05/22  05/23

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   19.36      17.7    7.8    5.5    4.8    4.3

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24  E24.9       25.1   24.0   22.1   20.2   18.1

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           9.5  12.59      10.8    4.9    3.1    2.9    2.9
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 191331
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
831 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LATE LAST
WEEK...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC111-201331-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-090521T0631Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.090514T1305Z.090518T2200Z.090520T0631Z.NO/
831 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* CRESTED AT 19.50 FEET YESTERDAY AFTERNOON.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  LATE TONIGHT. 

$$

MOC127-201330-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-090521T0920Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090515T2153Z.090518T1215Z.090520T0920Z.NO/
831 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* CRESTED AT 13.51 FEET THIS PAST SATURDAY MORNING. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   05/20  05/21  05/22  05/23  05/24

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   18.06       9.9    5.6    4.8    4.3    4.1

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   11.68       9.1    5.4    3.4    3.0    2.8
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 200055
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
755 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION RECEIVED
ACROSS THE RIVER BASIN LAST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC127-210055-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-090521T1200Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090515T2153Z.090518T1215Z.090520T1200Z.NO/
755 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   05/20  05/21  05/22  05/23  05/24

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   10.92       9.5    5.8    3.8    3.4    3.2
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 201339
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
839 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS IS THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS FLOODING EVENT...

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC127-201409-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-090521T1200Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090515T2153Z.090518T1215Z.090520T1001Z.NO/
839 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR.
* AT 7:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 5:01 AM WEDNESDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 3.3 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   05/21  05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10    8.19       3.3    3.0    2.8    2.8    2.7

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 14, 6:37 PM CDT, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 14, 6:37 PM CDT, 2 hours 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
637 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

.DISCUSSION...
/234 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2009/
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE HAS SETTLED OVER THE BI-STATE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT THE COLD FRONT WHICH BROUGHT US OUR NASTY WEATHER
YESTERDAY IS STILL FESTERING OVER THE MO/AR BORDER. ALREADY SEEING
SOUTHERLY FLOW OF 15-20KTS OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA. THIS
LENDS CREDENCE TO THE LATEST GUIDANCE WHICH PUSHES MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR BACK UP ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT. GFS AND NAM ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT MUCAPE IN EXCESS OF 1000J/KG WILL BE BACK
OVER MOST OF MO BY 12Z FRIDAY MORNING COINCIDENT WITH PLENTY OF
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ON A BROAD LLJ OF 40-50KTS. THIS SUPPORTS
LIKELY POPS FOR ELEVATED STORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MO
AFTER MIDNIGHT. COULD SEE SOME MARGINAL HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN WITH
THESE STORMS...AND WILL ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR KNOX AND
LEWIS COUNTIES AS FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE BELOW AN INCH
DUE TO YESTERDAYS HEAVY RAIN.

NEXT SHOT FOR SEVERE STORMS LOOKS TO BE LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON/FRIDAY EVENING AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. GFS IS MORE
UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE IN EXCESS OF 3000J/KG AT 00Z WHILE THE NAM
HAS ABOUT HALF THAT. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS CERTAINLY ENOUGH TO
SUSTAIN SEVERE CONVECTION AT 40-50KTS ON BOTH MODELS. NOT SURE
WHICH TO BELIEVE WITH CONVECTIVE DEBRIS FROM MORNING ELEVATED
STORMS PERHAPS KEEPING US SOMEWHAT COOLER. ONE WAY OR
ANOTHER...ID THINK WERE LOOKING AT A SQUALL LINE SITUATION WITH
LEWPS AND BOWS. 0-1KM BULK SHEAR WILL BE IN EXCESS OF 20KTS...SO
TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE A POSSIBILITY. COLD FRONT STILL LOOKS TO
CLEAR THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING...COULD BE SOME LINGERING PRECIP
THROUGH NOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...BUT THE MAJORITY OF THE
CWFA SHOULD BE DRY.

REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST STILL LOOKS TRANQUIL...THANK GOODNESS.
UNSEASONABLY STRONG 1030MB HIGH DROPS OUT OF CANADA BEHIND THE
FRONT ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AND MORE OR LESS DOMINATES THE
WEATHER THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. SOME DISAGREEMENT ON
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS FOR WED-THU TIME FRAME. SOME PRECIP POSSIBLE
ACROSS MO/IA BORDER IN THAT PERIOD AS WARM ADVECTION KICKS BACK
IN. HAVE LEFT OUT MENTION OF PRECIP IN FORECAST FOR NOW.

CARNEY

&&

.AVIATION...
/542 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2009/
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...MID LVL CLOUDS WILL BE DVLPG AND ADVCTG INTO
THE CWA LT TGT AS LOW-MID LVL WAA INCRS OVER THE AREA. ELEVATED
CONVECTION IS FCST TO DVLP ON THE NOSE OF THE LLJ OVER NWRN MO
AND SPREAD EWD INTO COU AND UIN LT TGT AS THE LLJ VEERS AND
TRANSLATES EWD. WILL KEEP THE PROB30 GRP OF TSRA IN UIN AND COU LT
TGT AND EARLY FRI MRNG...AND MAY ALSO KEEP IT IN STL/SUS AS WELL
ALTHOUGH THE BETTER CHC OF TSRA APRS TO BE N AND W OF STL METRO
AREA LT TGT AND EARLY FRI MRNG. SFC WNDS WILL BE LGT THIS
EVNG...THEN BCMG SELY LT TGT AS THE SFC RDG MOVES E OF THE AREA.
SELY WNDS WILL VEER ARND TO A SLY DIRECTION BY FRI AFTN AS A
WRMFNT MOVES N-NEWD THRU THE REGION. MOS GUIDANCE HINTS AT SOME
MVFR CIGS FRI MRNG ALONG AND JUST N OF THE WRMFNT. MAY INCLUDE A
2000-3000 FT CEILING IN THE TAFS ARND 12-18Z FRI. WILL GET ANOTHER
PERIOD OF TSRA LT FRI AFTN AND FRI NGT AS A CDFNT MOVES SEWD THRU
THE CWA.

GKS

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR
     KNOX-LEWIS.

IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, May 14, 3:48 PM CDT, 5 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
348 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-151215-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
348 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED ALONG AND AHEAD OF A
SURFACE WARM FRONT AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BI-STATE
REGION LATE TONIGHT. SMALL HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE
STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSOURI.

MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING CONTINUES AT SEVERAL POINTS ALONG THE
ILLINOIS RIVER...THE MERAMEC RIVER AT VALLEY PARK AND THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT CHESTER. PLEASE SEE THE APPROPRIATE FLOOD
PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ACROSS THE AREA ON
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY...PRIMARILY DURING
THE MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. THE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE AT THIS TIME.

MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG PARTS OF THE
ILLINOIS RIVER...MERAMEC RIVER AND AT CHESTER ON THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER. PLEASE SEE THE APPROPRIATE FLOOD PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

CARNEY

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 9:08 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion48 hr
May 15, 10:49 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXKnox6 hr
May 15, 11:00 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXKnox6 hr
May 15, 11:25 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXLewis6 hr
May 15, 11:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis25 min
May 15, 12:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis4 days
May 15, 12:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion5 days
May 15, 12:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion5 days
May 15, 12:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion6 days
May 15, 12:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXRalls6 days
May 15, 12:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXPike7 days
May 15, 12:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXPike7 days
May 15, 12:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln8 days
May 15, 12:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles10 days
May 15, 2:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXShelby6 hr
May 15, 2:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMarion47 min
May 15, 2:49 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXMarion, Ralls26 min
May 15, 2:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXMarion5 hr
May 15, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Marion, Monroe, Ralls, Shelby45 min
May 15, 4:48 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby6 hr
May 15, 5:03 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXAudrain, Monroe, Pike, Ralls42 min
May 15, 5:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Monroe, Pike, Ralls6 hr
May 15, 5:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Callaway, Lincoln, Marion, Monroe, Montgomery and 2 more63 min
May 15, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau47 min
May 15, 5:44 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXLincoln, Pike31 min
May 15, 6:06 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXLincoln, Pike39 min
May 15, 6:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln, Pike51 min
May 15, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway19 min
May 15, 6:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXCallaway, Lincoln, Montgomery5 hr
May 15, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis46 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2009Every river flood warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.