Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2009

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 49, NWS Jackson, MS

February 27, 2009Clay County, Webster County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Feb 27, 2009, 8:24 PM CST for Clay County, Webster County, Mississippi. It was in force for 51 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 27, 2009, 8:24 PM CST (02:24 UTC)
Expired
Feb 27, 2009, 9:15 PM CST
In force
51 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Clay County, MS, Webster County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Feb 27, 7:45 PM CSTTornado WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2009-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2009-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 55 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1273 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
55 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
338 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KJAN 280224
SVRJAN
MSC025-155-280315-
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0049.090228T0224Z-090228T0315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
824 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  WESTERN CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MONTPELIER...

* UNTIL 915 PM CST

* AT 825 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CUMBERLAND...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  MONTPELIER...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MONTPELIER BY 835 PM CST...
  GRIFFITH BY 845 PM CST...
  PALA ALTO BY 850 PM CST...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS 
OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS 
ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR 
THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3369 8871 3369 8868 3358 8865 3359 8918
      3374 8917 3375 8903 3376 8902 3376 8894
      3380 8893 3381 8891 3381 8871
TIME...MOT...LOC 0225Z 259DEG 34KT 3364 8907

$$

CME
3 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS54 KJAN 280242
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
842 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

MSC025-155-280315-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-090228T0315Z/
CLAY MS-WEBSTER MS-
842 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CST
FOR NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER AND WESTERN CLAY COUNTIES...

AT 842 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MONTPELIER...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GRIFFITH BY 850 PM CST...
  PALA ALTO BY 855 PM CST...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CST SATURDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3369 8871 3369 8868 3358 8865 3359 8918
      3374 8917 3375 8903 3376 8902 3376 8894
      3380 8893 3381 8891 3381 8871
TIME...MOT...LOC 0242Z 265DEG 32KT 3365 8892

$$

CME
000 
WWUS54 KJAN 280248
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
848 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

MSC155-280259-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-090228T0315Z/
WEBSTER MS-
849 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CST SATURDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3381 8871 3369 8871 3369 8868 3358 8865
      3359 8901 3363 8901 3365 8903 3376 8902
      3376 8894 3380 8893 3381 8891
TIME...MOT...LOC 0249Z 265DEG 32KT 3365 8885

$$

MSC025-280315-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-090228T0315Z/
CLAY MS-
849 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CST
FOR WESTERN CLAY COUNTY...

AT 849 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GRIFFITH...OR NEAR MONTPELIER...MOVING EAST AT
35 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PALA ALTO BY 855 PM CST...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CST SATURDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3381 8871 3369 8871 3369 8868 3358 8865
      3359 8901 3363 8901 3365 8903 3376 8902
      3376 8894 3380 8893 3381 8891
TIME...MOT...LOC 0249Z 265DEG 32KT 3365 8885

$$

CME
000 
WWUS54 KJAN 280304
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
904 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

MSC025-280315-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-090228T0315Z/
CLAY MS-
904 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CST
FOR CENTRAL CLAY COUNTY...

AT 904 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PALA ALTO...OR 6 MILES WEST OF WEST POINT...
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CST SATURDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3371 8880 3372 8872 3369 8871 3369 8868
      3358 8865 3358 8881
TIME...MOT...LOC 0304Z 272DEG 31KT 3363 8871

$$

CME

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Feb 27, 3:49 PM CST, 4 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 27, 3:49 PM CST, 4 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
349 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

...SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN RISK TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...

...DISCUSSION...FIRST OFF THIS AFTERNOON...IM GOING TO GO AHEAD AND
REMOVE SMITH...JASPER...CLARKE...AND JONES COUNTIES FROM TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 38 AS A RESULT OF DECREASED ACTIVITY DUE TO A STRONG
CAPPING OVER THE AREA.  TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 38 HOWEVER WILL
CONTINUE UNTIL 02Z FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE
20 CORRIDOR.

THE COLD FRONT THATS BEEN THE MAIN FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR TODAYS
ACTIVITY HAS MADE LITTLE PROGRESS SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON.  AS A
RESULT...MOST OF THE ACTIVITY HAS BEEN CONCENTRATED IN THE VICINITY
OF THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR.  SOME ACTIVITY HAS TRIED TO BREAK OUT
ACROSS THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR...BUT DUE TO THE CAPPING OVER
CENTRAL PORTION OF THE AREA...NOTED ON THE 18Z KJAN RAOB...THINGS
HAVE STRUGGLED TO GET GOING FURTHER SOUTH TO THIS POINT.

FOR TONIGHT...DESPITE THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND THE FAVORABLE
POSITION IN THE UPPER UPPER JET...THATS AIDED IN CONVECTION EARLIER
THIS MORNING AND DURING THE AFTERNOON...MY FEELING IS THAT WITH
ENOUGH INSTABILITY REMAINING OVER THE FORECAST AREA...COUPLED WITH
INCREASED FORCING AS THE LARGER TROUGH SWINGS EAST INTO THE REGION
CAUSING THE NOW NEARLY STATIONARY COLD FRONT TO BEGIN TO ACCELERATE
THROUGH THE AREA...WE COULD STILL SEE AT MINIMUM SOME ISOLATED
SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT AS ACTIVITY BASICALLY
CONGEALS INTO A SQUALL LINE AND SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE AREA.  LAPSE
RATES ARENT EXPECTED TO BE AS STEEP AS THEY HAD BEEN...BUT AGAIN
WITH GOOD FORCING AND INSTABILITY...AND WITH DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR
REMAINING ADEQUATE ENOUGH...IT STILL APPEARS AS THOUGH LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AS THE FRONT SWINGS THROUGH THE AREA.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN OVER AREAS MAINLY
NORTH OF A LINE FROM GREENVILLE TO MACON THROUGH
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG HIGHWAY 82 BETWEEN WINONA AND COLUMBUS.
SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS THIS AREA THIS
AFTERNOON RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLOODING.  UNTIL THE FRONT ACTUALLY
BEGINS TO MAKE ITS SOUTHEASTWARD PUSH...LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED AREA...SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
TRAIN ACROSS THE SAME AREA WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN
LOCALIZED...TO PERHAPS WIDESPREAD...FLOODING ACROSS THIS AREA.  AS A
RESULT...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO BETTER REFLECT
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS AND THINKING THROUGH TONIGHT.

AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT...ANY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL QUICKLY COME TO AN END
BEHIND IT. /19/

SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD BE PULLING
AWAY FROM EASTERN MISSISSIPPI SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK...BUT THERE
STILL MAY BE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR A FEW POTENT STORMS NEAR THE I-59
CORRIDOR AFTER DAYBREAK AND BEFORE 10 AM. INSTABILITY WILL NOT BE
HIGH...BUT WIND SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED CELLS...SO
THIS POTENTIAL WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED.

THE REST OF THE SATURDAY SHOULD FEATURE A LOT OF CLOUDS...GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS...AND PERHAPS SOME LINGERING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS.
WINDS (AT LEAST IN UPPER DELTA SECTIONS) MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
NECESSITATE A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...BUT I WILL LET SUBSEQUENT SHIFT
HANDLE THAT. TEMPERATURES MAY TEND TO DROP DURING THE DAY IN A FEW
PLACES WITH VERY COOL HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

THE REALLY INTERESTING WEATHER WILL COME IN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY AS THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED UPPER LOW COMES PLOWING
SOUTH IN THE LOWER MS VALLEY. MODELS HAVE REACHED A GOOD CONSENSUS
THAT THE SYSTEM WILL DIG STRONGLY DOWN INTO OUR REGION...BUT WILL
NOT MAKE IT TO THE GULF COAST. THIS PUTS LOCATIONS ROUGHLY ALONG AND
NORTH OF A CLEVELAND TO DE KALB LINE IN MISSISSIPPI IN THE ZONE OF
ACCUMULATING SNOW POTENTIAL. SOME LIGHT SNOW (PERHAPS MIXED WITH
RAIN AT TIMES) MAY FALL SOUTH OF THIS LINE...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE
NOT ANTICIPATED. AT THIS POINT IT SEEMS POSSIBLE THAT ACCUMULATIONS
UP TO TWO INCHES MAY BE POSSIBLE UP IN THE GOLDEN
TRIANGLE...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH MAYBE AN
INCH TO A DUSTING ELSEWHERE IN THE DEFINED AREA. WITH SUCH A SMALL
AREA OF THE CWA SHOWING THE BEST POTENTIAL (AND STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH THE UPPER LOW TRACK) I WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING ANY
SORT OF WATCHES OR ADVISORIES. HOWEVER...SUBSEQUENT SHIFTS WILL HAVE
TO STRONGLY CONSIDER THIS IN AT LEAST THE FAR NORTHEAST PORTION OF
THE ARKLAMISS IF MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN THEIR SOLUTIONS.

THE REST OF THE FORECAST WAS ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED AND I HAVE POSTED
THE RELEVANT PORTIONS OF THE PREVIOUS LONG RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
BELOW. /BB/

BEGINNING SUNDAY THE AREA WILL SEE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER
THROUGH AT LEAST AROUND THURSDAY OR SO. COOL SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
IS EXPECTED TO SET UP OVER THE ARKLAMISS REGION THROUGH THE
BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK WITH WEAK CAA PERSISTING THROUGH THIS
TIME.  THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN TEMPERATURES WITH LOWS THROUGH THE
FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK AROUND OR A FEW DEGREES BELOW FREEZING.
HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE 50S OR
LOWER...WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY.

BY WEDNESDAY THOUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK THE AREA SHOULD
SEE A DECENT WARM UP.  THERE WILL BE A DECENT UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
REGION.  AND THE SURFACE HIGH IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE EAST OF
THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL BRING RETURN FLOW TO THE ARKLAMISS
REGION TO GIVE MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK
WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S AND INTO THE MIDDLE 70S EXPECTED. HAVE WENT
AHEAD AND RAISED TEMPERATURES BY A COUPLE DEGREES FOR MOST SITES FOR
HIGHS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...BRINGING TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
ENSEMBLE GUI VALUES. MODELS ARE IN A BIT OF DISAGREEMENT AS TO WHEN
RAIN WILL RETURN TO THE ARKLAMISS REGION...BUT AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS
AS IF THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY...POSSIBLY
LONGER INTO THE WEEKEND./14/

&&

.AVIATION...THE MAIN FOCUS WILL BE TRYING TO TIME THE CONVECTION
TODAY AND THE TIME OF FRONTAL PASSAGE. THIS WILL BE A TOUGH CALL AS
A LARGE WINDOW OF TIME WILL EXIST WHERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR
SITES ALONG AND N OF I-20. THE WORST OVERALL CONDITIONS FOR FLYING
THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD BE FROM GLH TO GTR. VIS MAY FALL BELOW TO
AOB 1SM IN AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN. AWAY FROM STORM ACTIVITY...VFR TO
OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS WILL OCCUR FOR MOST SITES.  COLDER AIR WILL
MOVE IN AFTER MIDNIGHT AND LOOK FOR WIDESPREAD IFR CEILINGS TO
DEVELOP AS A RESULT OF OVERRUNNING MOISTURE.  SITES GLH AND GWO WILL
HAVE THE LONGEST DURATION OF IFR CONDITIONS AS THEY WILL BE CLOSEST
TO THE FRONT. IFR TO MVFR CEILINGS WILL REMAIN FOR MOST OF THE TIME
UNTIL SUNDAY WITH SOME LIFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AS WELL. THERE COULD
ALSO BE SOME LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING OVER THE NE HALF OF THE AREA SAT
NIGHT.  ALL CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE BY SUN AFTERNOON. /DH/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       52  52  30  49 / 100  35  23   2
MERIDIAN      56  57  30  48 /  91  51  41  13
VICKSBURG     51  52  31  50 / 100  23  15   0
HATTIESBURG   60  64  34  54 /  80  55  17   1
NATCHEZ       53  54  32  53 /  90  27   0   0
GREENVILLE    46  44  30  48 / 100  28  32   1
GREENWOOD     46  45  29  47 / 100  37  45  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 AM CST SATURDAY FOR MSZ018-019-025>039.

LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

19/BB/DH
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 27, 3:42 PM CST, 4 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
342 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

MSZ018-019-025>039-282145-
BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-
LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-
WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
342 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT. SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS AND
OTHER STORM CLUSTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THIS REGION THROUGH THE
EVENING WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...BETWEEN
QUARTER AND GOLF BALL SIZE. OTHER RISKS WILL COME FROM DAMAGING WINDS
AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY FROM ANY SUPERCELL STORMS THAT
OCCUR.

THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS THE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO PUSH
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA...THE ACTIVITY WILL CONGEAL INTO A SQUALL
LINE IN WHICH ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...DUE TO THE REPETITIVE
NATURE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE SAME AREA...SEVERAL
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCING
LOCALIZED FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON. UNTIL THE FRONT BEGINS TO MAKE ITS
PUSH FURTHER TO THE SOUTH LATER TONIGHT...LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN ACROSS THE AREA. AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A
LINE FROM GREENVILLE TO MACON LOOK TO HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO
SEE AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
FOR AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A CLEVELAND TO DEKALB LINE.
AT THIS TIME...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REMAIN AT OR BELOW AN
INCH. AS RESULT...A WINTER WEATHER WATCH OR ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED
FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA FOR SATURDAY NIGHT. PLEASE CONTINUE TO
CHECK BACK FOR LATER FORECASTS CONCERNING THIS POSSIBLE WINTER
WEATHER EVENT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-MSZ040>052-282145-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
342 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE AREA THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT. ISOLATED SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THIS REGION THROUGH THE
EVENING. LARGE HAIL...STRONG DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOS WILL ALL
BE POSSIBLE FROM ANY SUPERCELL STORMS THAT OCCUR.

THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS THE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO PUSH
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA...THE ACTIVITY WILL CONGEAL INTO A SQUALL
LINE IN WHICH ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

LAZ023>026-MSZ053>066-072>074-282145-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-
SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
342 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM MAY BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20
TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. IF ONE CAN DEVELOP...IT
WILL QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE AND BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. THE BEST TIME FRAME FOR ANY SEVERE STORMS TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THIS AREA WILL BE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

19

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 27, 6:36 PM CST, 1 hour 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
636 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     HAIL             2 N CLEVELAND           33.77N 90.73W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   CO-OP OBSERVER

0200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CLEVELAND               33.74N 90.73W
02/27/2009                   BOLIVAR            MS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            STREET FLOODING IN CLEVELAND WITH SEVERAL ROADS
            IMPASSABLE.

&&

JCULIN
Local storm report, Feb 27, 7:00 PM CST, 1 hour 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
700 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1142 AM     HAIL             PACE                    33.79N 90.86W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED

&&

JALLEN
Local storm report, Feb 27, 7:14 PM CST, 1 hour 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
714 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S PHEBA               33.57N 88.95W
02/27/2009                   CLAY               MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER ON HIGHWAY 389 SOUTH OF PHEBA HEADING TOWARDS
            STARKVILLE. WATER ON CAMP SEMINAR ROAD ALSO.

&&

JALLEN
Local storm report, Feb 27, 7:25 PM CST, 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
725 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     HAIL             3 S EUPORA              33.50N 89.28W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       CHOCTAW            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED 3 MILES SOUTH OF EUPORA.

&&

JALLEN
Local storm report, Feb 27, 7:40 PM CST, 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
740 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0232 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW BELLEFONTAINE     33.64N 89.34W
02/27/2009                   WEBSTER            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ACROSS COUNTY ROAD 26.

&&

JALLEN
Local storm report, Feb 27, 8:20 PM CST, 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
820 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0356 AM     HAIL             2 NW CLEVELAND          33.76N 90.75W
02/27/2009  E0.25 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0613 AM     HAIL             2 N BENOIT              33.68N 91.01W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   PUBLIC

            AT LEAST PENNY SIZED HAIL COVERING THE LAWN. A FEW STONES
            COULD HAVE BEEN LARGER.

0630 AM     HAIL             3 SW BOYLE              33.67N 90.76W
02/27/2009  E0.25 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0645 AM     HAIL             1 N MOORHEAD            33.46N 90.51W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       SUNFLOWER          MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 82 JUST NORTH OF
            MOORHEAD.

0702 AM     HAIL             1 S ITTA BENA           33.49N 90.32W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       LEFLORE            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0720 AM     HAIL             3 W CLEVELAND           33.74N 90.78W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0740 AM     HAIL             3 N DREW                33.85N 90.53W
02/27/2009  E1.25 INCH       SUNFLOWER          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0745 AM     FLASH FLOOD      GRENADA                 33.78N 89.81W
02/27/2009                   GRENADA            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER COVERING HIGHWAY 51.

0757 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WEST POINT              33.61N 88.64W
02/27/2009                   CLAY               MS   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS DOWN.

0803 AM     HAIL             4 W HAMBURG             33.23N 91.87W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

0820 AM     HAIL             1 S CALEDONIA           33.67N 88.33W
02/27/2009  M0.75 INCH       LOWNDES            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PENNY SIZED HAIL NEAR WOLF ROAD.

0820 AM     HAIL             1 N PARKDALE            33.14N 91.55W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   PUBLIC

            ONE INCH HAIL COVERED THE GROUND IN SOME SPOTS.

0825 AM     HAIL             1 N CROSSETT            33.14N 91.97W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

0830 AM     HAIL             PORTLAND                33.24N 91.51W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

0831 AM     TSTM WND DMG     7 SE COLUMBUS           33.43N 88.32W
02/27/2009                   LOWNDES            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN NEAR NEW HOPE.

0850 AM     HAIL             2 NW EUDORA             33.14N 91.29W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       CHICOT             AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL.

0855 AM     HAIL             2 N EUDORA              33.15N 91.26W
02/27/2009  E1.25 INCH       CHICOT             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HALF-DOLLAR SIZED HAIL.

0919 AM     HAIL             1 S LAMONT              33.52N 91.08W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       WASHINGTON         MS   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZED HAIL

0919 AM     HAIL             2 N CROSSETT            33.16N 91.97W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0950 AM     HAIL             2 ESE SHAW              33.59N 90.74W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       SUNFLOWER          MS   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZED HAIL.

0957 AM     HAIL             5 E SHAW                33.60N 90.68W
02/27/2009  M0.75 INCH       SUNFLOWER          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PENNY SIZED HAIL.

1113 AM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBUS                33.51N 88.40W
02/27/2009                   LOWNDES            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PORTIONS OF 2 ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER...COLLEGE
            STREET AND MILITARY RD.

1130 AM     HAIL             5 SSE KOSCIUSKO         33.00N 89.54W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       ATTALA             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

1142 AM     HAIL             PACE                    33.79N 90.86W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED

1145 AM     HAIL             10 W NOXAPATER          32.99N 89.24W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       WINSTON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED IN THE LOBUTCHA COMMUNITY IN WESTERN WINSTON
            COUNTY.

1150 AM     HAIL             2 N CLEVELAND           33.77N 90.73W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZED HAIL AT THE CLEVELAND AIRPORT.

1200 PM     HAIL             4 NW NOXAPATER          33.03N 89.11W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       WINSTON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED IN THE SHALLOW COMMUNITY IN WESTERN WINSTON
            COUNTY.

1205 PM     HAIL             MCMILLAN CORNER         33.39N 91.31W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       CHICOT             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

1205 PM     FLASH FLOOD      STARKVILLE              33.46N 88.82W
02/27/2009                   OKTIBBEHA          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS STREETS ARE FLOODED.

1220 PM     HAIL             4 E LOUISVILLE          33.12N 88.99W
02/27/2009  E0.25 INCH       WINSTON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED ON THE EAST SIDE OF LOUISVILLE

1235 PM     HAIL             1 N GREENVILLE          33.40N 91.05W
02/27/2009  E1.75 INCH       WASHINGTON         MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT GREENVILLE AIRPORT.

1252 PM     FLASH FLOOD      STARKVILLE              33.46N 88.82W
02/27/2009                   OKTIBBEHA          MS   PUBLIC

            STANDING WATER AND STREET FLOODING ALONG YATES STREET
            NEAR HIGHWAY 12 BY THE STARKVILLE HEALTH DEPARTMENT
            BUILDING.

1252 PM     HAIL             MINTER CITY             33.75N 90.29W
02/27/2009  E0.25 INCH       LEFLORE            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0100 PM     HAIL             2 N CLEVELAND           33.77N 90.73W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   CO-OP OBSERVER

0102 PM     HAIL             3 NE SHAW               33.63N 90.73W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL

0105 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S CLARKSON            33.62N 89.15W
02/27/2009                   WEBSTER            MS   PUBLIC

            ROAD FLODDING ALONG CLARKSON RD SOUTH OF TOWN.

0130 PM     FLASH FLOOD      GRENADA                 33.78N 89.81W
02/27/2009                   GRENADA            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            STREET FLOODING IN A 5-6 BLOCK AREA OF CENTRAL GRENADA.

            STANDING WATER WAS LOCATED ON FAIRGROUND RD. AND PLUM RD.

0145 PM     HAIL             3 S EUPORA              33.50N 89.28W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       CHOCTAW            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED 3 MILES SOUTH OF EUPORA.

0145 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S PHEBA               33.57N 88.95W
02/27/2009                   CLAY               MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER ON HIGHWAY 389 SOUTH OF PHEBA HEADING TOWARDS
            STARKVILLE. WATER ON CAMP SEMINAR ROAD ALSO.

0145 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DUCK HILL               33.63N 89.71W
02/27/2009                   MONTGOMERY         MS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED WITHIN THE COMMUNITY OF DUCK HILL
            AND SURROUNDING LOW LYING AREAS.

0200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CLEVELAND               33.74N 90.73W
02/27/2009                   BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL ROADS AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY-61 ARE COVERED WITH
            WATER NEAR DOWNTOWN CLEVELAND.

0200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CLEVELAND               33.74N 90.73W
02/27/2009                   BOLIVAR            MS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            STREET FLOODING IN CLEVELAND WITH SEVERAL ROADS
            IMPASSABLE.

0210 PM     FLASH FLOOD      RULEVILLE               33.72N 90.55W
02/27/2009                   SUNFLOWER          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL STREETS FLOODED IN RULEVILLE WESTWARD ALONG STATE
            HIGHWAY-8 TOWARDS CLEVELAND.

0225 PM     HAIL             5 E MACON               33.11N 88.47W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       NOXUBEE            MS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL LOCATED 5 MILES EAST OF MACON OFF
            HIGHWAY 14.

0232 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW BELLEFONTAINE     33.64N 89.34W
02/27/2009                   WEBSTER            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ACROSS COUNTY ROAD 26.

0300 PM     HAIL             STARKVILLE              33.46N 88.82W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       OKTIBBEHA          MS   PUBLIC

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 182 IN STARKVILLE

0320 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BELLEFONTAINE           33.65N 89.31W
02/27/2009                   WEBSTER            MS   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL ROADS UNDER WATER IN TOWN OF BELLEFONTAINE IN
            NORTHERN WEBSTER COUNTY.

0413 PM     FLASH FLOOD      STARKVILLE              33.46N 88.82W
02/27/2009                   OKTIBBEHA          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REED ROAD 1/2 MILE NORTH OF HWY 182 CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING.

0444 PM     HAIL             3 N PRESTON             32.93N 88.83W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       KEMPER             MS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED 3 MILES NORTH OF PRESTON.

0510 PM     HAIL             SCOOBA                  32.83N 88.48W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       KEMPER             MS   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN SCOOBA ALONG HIGHWAY 45 AND
            HIGHWAY 16

0548 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBUS                33.51N 88.40W
02/27/2009                   LOWNDES            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL ROADS WITHIN COLUMBUS HAVE PONDING OF WATER ON
            ROADWAYS.

&&

CME

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 7:47 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANCarroll, Leflore4 days
Feb 27, 8:45 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANClay4 days
Feb 27, 9:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes48 min
Feb 28, 12:25 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCarroll, Montgomery3 hr
Feb 28, 3:45 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLamar, Marion31 min
Feb 28, 5:27 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryJANAttala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Clarke, Clay and 27 more27 hr
Feb 28, 7:52 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLowndes3 days
Feb 28, 8:13 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningJANLowndes22 hr
Feb 28, 3:46 PM CSTWinter Storm WarningJANAttala, Carroll, Choctaw, Clay, Grenada, Kemper and 7 more16 hr
Feb 28, 3:52 PM CSTLake Wind AdvisoryJANAdams, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne and 41 more26 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2009Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.