Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Warnings in 2009

Flash Flood Warning 15, NWS Jackson, MS

February 28, 2009Carroll County, Montgomery County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood warning at Feb 28, 2009, 12:25 AM CST for Carroll County, Montgomery County, Mississippi. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 28, 2009, 12:25 AM CST (06:25 UTC)
Expired
Feb 28, 2009, 2:59 AM CST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Carroll County, MS, Montgomery County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2009-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 221 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2009-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 134 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
221 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-32 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1595 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
134 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KJAN 280625
FFWJAN
MSC015-097-280915-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FF.W.0015.090228T0625Z-090228T0915Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1225 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF WINONA...

* UNTIL 315 AM CST

* AT 1219 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED  
  HEAVY RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN MONTGOMERY AND CARROLL COUNTIES.        
  ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO THREE    
  INCHES...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST THREE HOURS.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
  KILMICHAEL...SWEATMAN AND LODI

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT THREE 
HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS IS IN 
ADDITION TO THE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN THAT HAS FALLEN ON FRIDAY. 

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF HIGHWAYS
AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3347 8951 3346 8938 3344 8941 3345 8943
      3344 8945 3339 8945 3338 8947 3342 9009
      3367 9009 3368 8951

$$

JC
2 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS74 KJAN 280806
FFSJAN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
206 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2009

MSC015-097-280915-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090228T0915Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CARROLL MS-MONTGOMERY MS-
206 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM CST FOR
MONTGOMERY AND NORTHERN CARROLL COUNTIES...

AT 159 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO 
DETECT HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA. ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL 
AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO THREE INCHES...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE 
PAST TWO HOURS.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LODI...
SWEATMAN...MALMAISON...JEFFERSON...TEOC...AVALON...WINONA...NORTH
CARROLLTON AND DUCK HILL

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT 
TWO HOURS. WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF HIGHWAYS
AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3347 8951 3346 8938 3344 8941 3345 8943
      3344 8945 3339 8945 3338 8947 3342 9009
      3367 9009 3368 8951

$$

JC
000 
WGUS74 KJAN 280859
FFSJAN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
259 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2009

MSC015-097-280907-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FF.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090228T0915Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CARROLL MS-MONTGOMERY MS-
259 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED FOR MONTGOMERY AND
NORTHERN CARROLL COUNTIES...

THE HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA 
WITH ONLY LIGHT RAIN REMAINING ACROSS THE AREA. 

LAT...LON 3347 8951 3346 8938 3344 8941 3345 8943
      3344 8945 3339 8945 3338 8947 3342 9009
      3367 9009 3368 8951

$$

JC

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 27, 9:45 PM CST, 2 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 27, 9:45 PM CST, 2 hours 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
945 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

...SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN RISK TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATE: NO MAJOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE NECESSARY TO THE OVERNIGHT
FORECAST GRIDS AND PRODUCTS. THE E-W FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS SAGGED A
LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH THAN ANTICIPATED RESULTING IN MORE DISJOINTED
SEVERE WEATHER/FLOODING SETUP...BUT THE SCENARIO IS STILL PLAYING
OUT AS FORECAST WITH REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS/TSTMS TAKING PLACE
ALONG THE HWY 82 CORRIDOR AS NEXT UPPER LEVEL WAVE ASSOC WITH THE
EXIT REGION OF UPPER JET HELPS TRIGGER CONVECTION. WILL THUS
CONTINUE TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH OVER NC MS. IN THE LOWER
LEVELS...THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS BUCKLING IN RESPONSE AND THIS WILL
HELP COLDER AIR SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AS WE GO INTO SATURDAY
MORNING.

ML CAPE AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO LESSEN AND FALL BELOW 500
J/KG...BUT 0-1 KM SHEAR VALUES WILL REMAIN QUITE STRONG AT ~30KT AND
SUPPORTIVE OF CONTINUED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. THE BIGGEST CONCERN IS THE STRENGTH OF THE
MID LEVEL CAPPING INVERSION OVER SRN PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND JUST
HOW MUCH FORCING WILL BE REQUIRED TO REMOVED THE CAP AND ALLOW FOR
DEEP CONVECTION. THE 00Z LIX SOUNDING INDICATED A STRONG CAP IN
PLACE ~750 MB AND IF IT IS ANY INDICATION OF THE ENVIRONMENT ALONG
THE HWY 84 CORRIDOR...WOULD NOT EXPECT TO SEE MUCH TSTM ACTIVITY
THERE AS STRONGER FORCING IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF I-20.

EXPECT THE TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL DECREASE TOWARD DAWN AS LOW LEVEL
FLOW VEERS...BUT STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT LARGE HAIL AND AND SFC-BASED STORMS THAT CAN DEVELOP AHEAD
OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS. LOOK FOR THE
SEVERE WEATHER RISK TO DROP OFF QUICKLY BEHIND THE ADVANCING COLD
FRONT SATURDAY MORNING. /EC/

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD BE PULLING
AWAY FROM EASTERN MISSISSIPPI SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK...BUT THERE
STILL MAY BE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR A FEW POTENT STORMS NEAR THE I-59
CORRIDOR AFTER DAYBREAK AND BEFORE 10 AM. INSTABILITY WILL NOT BE
HIGH...BUT WIND SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED CELLS...SO
THIS POTENTIAL WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED.

THE REST OF THE SATURDAY SHOULD FEATURE A LOT OF CLOUDS...GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS...AND PERHAPS SOME LINGERING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS.
WINDS (AT LEAST IN UPPER DELTA SECTIONS) MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
NECESSITATE A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...BUT I WILL LET SUBSEQUENT SHIFT
HANDLE THAT. TEMPERATURES MAY TEND TO DROP DURING THE DAY IN A FEW
PLACES WITH VERY COOL HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

THE REALLY INTERESTING WEATHER WILL COME IN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY AS THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED UPPER LOW COMES PLOWING
SOUTH IN THE LOWER MS VALLEY. MODELS HAVE REACHED A GOOD CONSENSUS
THAT THE SYSTEM WILL DIG STRONGLY DOWN INTO OUR REGION...BUT WILL
NOT MAKE IT TO THE GULF COAST. THIS PUTS LOCATIONS ROUGHLY ALONG AND
NORTH OF A CLEVELAND TO DE KALB LINE IN MISSISSIPPI IN THE ZONE OF
ACCUMULATING SNOW POTENTIAL. SOME LIGHT SNOW (PERHAPS MIXED WITH
RAIN AT TIMES) MAY FALL SOUTH OF THIS LINE...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE
NOT ANTICIPATED. AT THIS POINT IT SEEMS POSSIBLE THAT ACCUMULATIONS
UP TO TWO INCHES MAY BE POSSIBLE UP IN THE GOLDEN
TRIANGLE...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH MAYBE AN
INCH TO A DUSTING ELSEWHERE IN THE DEFINED AREA. WITH SUCH A SMALL
AREA OF THE CWA SHOWING THE BEST POTENTIAL (AND STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH THE UPPER LOW TRACK) I WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING ANY
SORT OF WATCHES OR ADVISORIES. HOWEVER...SUBSEQUENT SHIFTS WILL HAVE
TO STRONGLY CONSIDER THIS IN AT LEAST THE FAR NORTHEAST PORTION OF
THE ARKLAMISS IF MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN THEIR SOLUTIONS.

THE REST OF THE FORECAST WAS ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED AND I HAVE POSTED
THE RELEVANT PORTIONS OF THE PREVIOUS LONG RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
BELOW. /BB/

BEGINNING SUNDAY THE AREA WILL SEE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER
THROUGH AT LEAST AROUND THURSDAY OR SO. COOL SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
IS EXPECTED TO SET UP OVER THE ARKLAMISS REGION THROUGH THE
BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK WITH WEAK CAA PERSISTING THROUGH THIS
TIME.  THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN TEMPERATURES WITH LOWS THROUGH THE
FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK AROUND OR A FEW DEGREES BELOW FREEZING.
HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE 50S OR
LOWER...WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY.

BY WEDNESDAY THOUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK THE AREA SHOULD
SEE A DECENT WARM UP.  THERE WILL BE A DECENT UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
REGION.  AND THE SURFACE HIGH IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE EAST OF
THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL BRING RETURN FLOW TO THE ARKLAMISS
REGION TO GIVE MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK
WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S AND INTO THE MIDDLE 70S EXPECTED. HAVE WENT
AHEAD AND RAISED TEMPERATURES BY A COUPLE DEGREES FOR MOST SITES FOR
HIGHS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...BRINGING TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
ENSEMBLE GUI VALUES. MODELS ARE IN A BIT OF DISAGREEMENT AS TO WHEN
RAIN WILL RETURN TO THE ARKLAMISS REGION...BUT AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS
AS IF THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY...POSSIBLY
LONGER INTO THE WEEKEND./14/

&&

.AVIATION...THE MAIN FOCUS OF THE FORECAST IS TRYING TO TIME THE
CONVECTION AND FRONTAL PASSAGE. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE TOUGH AS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS WANTED TO MOVE LITTLE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS. THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR. THIS INCLUDES GWO AND GTR...WITH A LESS EXTENT
AT GLH. MULTIPLE STORMS AND STORM CLUSTERS ARE ANTICIPATED FROM LATE
THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH
THE REGION...EXPECT IT WILL CONGEAL INTO A SQUALL LINE AND MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE. GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT SITES ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20
WITH SOME MVFR CONDITIONS WITH ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY. AS THE FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED SQUALL LINE MOVE THROUGH...MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WILL
OCCUR AT TAF SITES.

MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS WILL REMAIN UNTIL SUNDAY WITH SOME LIFR
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AS WELL. THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME LIGHT SNOW
DEVELOP OVER THE NE HALF OF THE AREA SAT NIGHT. ALL CONDITIONS
SHOULD IMPROVE BY SUN AFTERNOON. /28/

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 AM CST SATURDAY FOR
MSZ018-019-025>039. LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 27, 3:42 PM CST, 8 hours 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
342 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

MSZ018-019-025>039-282145-
BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-
LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-
WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
342 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT. SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS AND
OTHER STORM CLUSTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THIS REGION THROUGH THE
EVENING WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...BETWEEN
QUARTER AND GOLF BALL SIZE. OTHER RISKS WILL COME FROM DAMAGING WINDS
AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY FROM ANY SUPERCELL STORMS THAT
OCCUR.

THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS THE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO PUSH
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA...THE ACTIVITY WILL CONGEAL INTO A SQUALL
LINE IN WHICH ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...DUE TO THE REPETITIVE
NATURE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE SAME AREA...SEVERAL
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCING
LOCALIZED FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON. UNTIL THE FRONT BEGINS TO MAKE ITS
PUSH FURTHER TO THE SOUTH LATER TONIGHT...LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN ACROSS THE AREA. AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A
LINE FROM GREENVILLE TO MACON LOOK TO HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO
SEE AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
FOR AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A CLEVELAND TO DEKALB LINE.
AT THIS TIME...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REMAIN AT OR BELOW AN
INCH. AS RESULT...A WINTER WEATHER WATCH OR ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED
FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA FOR SATURDAY NIGHT. PLEASE CONTINUE TO
CHECK BACK FOR LATER FORECASTS CONCERNING THIS POSSIBLE WINTER
WEATHER EVENT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-MSZ040>052-282145-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
342 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE AREA THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT. ISOLATED SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THIS REGION THROUGH THE
EVENING. LARGE HAIL...STRONG DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOS WILL ALL
BE POSSIBLE FROM ANY SUPERCELL STORMS THAT OCCUR.

THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS THE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO PUSH
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA...THE ACTIVITY WILL CONGEAL INTO A SQUALL
LINE IN WHICH ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

LAZ023>026-MSZ053>066-072>074-282145-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-
SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
342 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM MAY BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20
TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. IF ONE CAN DEVELOP...IT
WILL QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE AND BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. THE BEST TIME FRAME FOR ANY SEVERE STORMS TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THIS AREA WILL BE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

19

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 27, 7:14 PM CST, 5 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
714 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S PHEBA               33.57N 88.95W
02/27/2009                   CLAY               MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER ON HIGHWAY 389 SOUTH OF PHEBA HEADING TOWARDS
            STARKVILLE. WATER ON CAMP SEMINAR ROAD ALSO.

&&

JALLEN
Local storm report, Feb 27, 7:25 PM CST, 5 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
725 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     HAIL             3 S EUPORA              33.50N 89.28W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       CHOCTAW            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED 3 MILES SOUTH OF EUPORA.

&&

JALLEN
Local storm report, Feb 27, 7:40 PM CST, 4 hours 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
740 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0232 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW BELLEFONTAINE     33.64N 89.34W
02/27/2009                   WEBSTER            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ACROSS COUNTY ROAD 26.

&&

JALLEN
Local storm report, Feb 27, 8:20 PM CST, 4 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
820 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0356 AM     HAIL             2 NW CLEVELAND          33.76N 90.75W
02/27/2009  E0.25 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0613 AM     HAIL             2 N BENOIT              33.68N 91.01W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   PUBLIC

            AT LEAST PENNY SIZED HAIL COVERING THE LAWN. A FEW STONES
            COULD HAVE BEEN LARGER.

0630 AM     HAIL             3 SW BOYLE              33.67N 90.76W
02/27/2009  E0.25 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0645 AM     HAIL             1 N MOORHEAD            33.46N 90.51W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       SUNFLOWER          MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 82 JUST NORTH OF
            MOORHEAD.

0702 AM     HAIL             1 S ITTA BENA           33.49N 90.32W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       LEFLORE            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0720 AM     HAIL             3 W CLEVELAND           33.74N 90.78W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0740 AM     HAIL             3 N DREW                33.85N 90.53W
02/27/2009  E1.25 INCH       SUNFLOWER          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0745 AM     FLASH FLOOD      GRENADA                 33.78N 89.81W
02/27/2009                   GRENADA            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER COVERING HIGHWAY 51.

0757 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WEST POINT              33.61N 88.64W
02/27/2009                   CLAY               MS   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS DOWN.

0803 AM     HAIL             4 W HAMBURG             33.23N 91.87W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

0820 AM     HAIL             1 S CALEDONIA           33.67N 88.33W
02/27/2009  M0.75 INCH       LOWNDES            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PENNY SIZED HAIL NEAR WOLF ROAD.

0820 AM     HAIL             1 N PARKDALE            33.14N 91.55W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   PUBLIC

            ONE INCH HAIL COVERED THE GROUND IN SOME SPOTS.

0825 AM     HAIL             1 N CROSSETT            33.14N 91.97W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

0830 AM     HAIL             PORTLAND                33.24N 91.51W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

0831 AM     TSTM WND DMG     7 SE COLUMBUS           33.43N 88.32W
02/27/2009                   LOWNDES            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN NEAR NEW HOPE.

0850 AM     HAIL             2 NW EUDORA             33.14N 91.29W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       CHICOT             AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL.

0855 AM     HAIL             2 N EUDORA              33.15N 91.26W
02/27/2009  E1.25 INCH       CHICOT             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HALF-DOLLAR SIZED HAIL.

0919 AM     HAIL             1 S LAMONT              33.52N 91.08W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       WASHINGTON         MS   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZED HAIL

0919 AM     HAIL             2 N CROSSETT            33.16N 91.97W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0950 AM     HAIL             2 ESE SHAW              33.59N 90.74W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       SUNFLOWER          MS   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZED HAIL.

0957 AM     HAIL             5 E SHAW                33.60N 90.68W
02/27/2009  M0.75 INCH       SUNFLOWER          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PENNY SIZED HAIL.

1113 AM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBUS                33.51N 88.40W
02/27/2009                   LOWNDES            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PORTIONS OF 2 ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER...COLLEGE
            STREET AND MILITARY RD.

1130 AM     HAIL             5 SSE KOSCIUSKO         33.00N 89.54W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       ATTALA             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

1142 AM     HAIL             PACE                    33.79N 90.86W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED

1145 AM     HAIL             10 W NOXAPATER          32.99N 89.24W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       WINSTON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED IN THE LOBUTCHA COMMUNITY IN WESTERN WINSTON
            COUNTY.

1150 AM     HAIL             2 N CLEVELAND           33.77N 90.73W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZED HAIL AT THE CLEVELAND AIRPORT.

1200 PM     HAIL             4 NW NOXAPATER          33.03N 89.11W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       WINSTON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED IN THE SHALLOW COMMUNITY IN WESTERN WINSTON
            COUNTY.

1205 PM     HAIL             MCMILLAN CORNER         33.39N 91.31W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       CHICOT             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

1205 PM     FLASH FLOOD      STARKVILLE              33.46N 88.82W
02/27/2009                   OKTIBBEHA          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS STREETS ARE FLOODED.

1220 PM     HAIL             4 E LOUISVILLE          33.12N 88.99W
02/27/2009  E0.25 INCH       WINSTON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED ON THE EAST SIDE OF LOUISVILLE

1235 PM     HAIL             1 N GREENVILLE          33.40N 91.05W
02/27/2009  E1.75 INCH       WASHINGTON         MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT GREENVILLE AIRPORT.

1252 PM     FLASH FLOOD      STARKVILLE              33.46N 88.82W
02/27/2009                   OKTIBBEHA          MS   PUBLIC

            STANDING WATER AND STREET FLOODING ALONG YATES STREET
            NEAR HIGHWAY 12 BY THE STARKVILLE HEALTH DEPARTMENT
            BUILDING.

1252 PM     HAIL             MINTER CITY             33.75N 90.29W
02/27/2009  E0.25 INCH       LEFLORE            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0100 PM     HAIL             2 N CLEVELAND           33.77N 90.73W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   CO-OP OBSERVER

0102 PM     HAIL             3 NE SHAW               33.63N 90.73W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL

0105 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S CLARKSON            33.62N 89.15W
02/27/2009                   WEBSTER            MS   PUBLIC

            ROAD FLODDING ALONG CLARKSON RD SOUTH OF TOWN.

0130 PM     FLASH FLOOD      GRENADA                 33.78N 89.81W
02/27/2009                   GRENADA            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            STREET FLOODING IN A 5-6 BLOCK AREA OF CENTRAL GRENADA.

            STANDING WATER WAS LOCATED ON FAIRGROUND RD. AND PLUM RD.

0145 PM     HAIL             3 S EUPORA              33.50N 89.28W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       CHOCTAW            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED 3 MILES SOUTH OF EUPORA.

0145 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S PHEBA               33.57N 88.95W
02/27/2009                   CLAY               MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER ON HIGHWAY 389 SOUTH OF PHEBA HEADING TOWARDS
            STARKVILLE. WATER ON CAMP SEMINAR ROAD ALSO.

0145 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DUCK HILL               33.63N 89.71W
02/27/2009                   MONTGOMERY         MS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED WITHIN THE COMMUNITY OF DUCK HILL
            AND SURROUNDING LOW LYING AREAS.

0200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CLEVELAND               33.74N 90.73W
02/27/2009                   BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL ROADS AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY-61 ARE COVERED WITH
            WATER NEAR DOWNTOWN CLEVELAND.

0200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CLEVELAND               33.74N 90.73W
02/27/2009                   BOLIVAR            MS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            STREET FLOODING IN CLEVELAND WITH SEVERAL ROADS
            IMPASSABLE.

0210 PM     FLASH FLOOD      RULEVILLE               33.72N 90.55W
02/27/2009                   SUNFLOWER          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL STREETS FLOODED IN RULEVILLE WESTWARD ALONG STATE
            HIGHWAY-8 TOWARDS CLEVELAND.

0225 PM     HAIL             5 E MACON               33.11N 88.47W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       NOXUBEE            MS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL LOCATED 5 MILES EAST OF MACON OFF
            HIGHWAY 14.

0232 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW BELLEFONTAINE     33.64N 89.34W
02/27/2009                   WEBSTER            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ACROSS COUNTY ROAD 26.

0300 PM     HAIL             STARKVILLE              33.46N 88.82W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       OKTIBBEHA          MS   PUBLIC

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 182 IN STARKVILLE

0320 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BELLEFONTAINE           33.65N 89.31W
02/27/2009                   WEBSTER            MS   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL ROADS UNDER WATER IN TOWN OF BELLEFONTAINE IN
            NORTHERN WEBSTER COUNTY.

0413 PM     FLASH FLOOD      STARKVILLE              33.46N 88.82W
02/27/2009                   OKTIBBEHA          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REED ROAD 1/2 MILE NORTH OF HWY 182 CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING.

0444 PM     HAIL             3 N PRESTON             32.93N 88.83W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       KEMPER             MS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED 3 MILES NORTH OF PRESTON.

0510 PM     HAIL             SCOOBA                  32.83N 88.48W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       KEMPER             MS   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN SCOOBA ALONG HIGHWAY 45 AND
            HIGHWAY 16

0548 PM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBUS                33.51N 88.40W
02/27/2009                   LOWNDES            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL ROADS WITHIN COLUMBUS HAVE PONDING OF WATER ON
            ROADWAYS.

&&

CME
Local storm report, Feb 27, 9:28 PM CST, 2 hours 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
928 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0917 PM     HAIL             WEST POINT              33.61N 88.64W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       CLAY               MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

CME
Local storm report, Feb 27, 9:56 PM CST, 2 hours 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
956 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0937 PM     HAIL             2 SE COLUMBUS AFB       33.61N 88.43W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       LOWNDES            MS   COUNTY OFFICIAL

&&

CME

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 7:47 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANCarroll, Leflore4 days
Feb 27, 8:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Webster51 min
Feb 27, 8:45 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANClay4 days
Feb 27, 9:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes48 min
Feb 28, 3:45 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLamar, Marion31 min
Feb 28, 5:27 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryJANAttala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Clarke, Clay and 27 more27 hr
Feb 28, 7:52 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLowndes3 days
Feb 28, 8:13 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningJANLowndes22 hr
Feb 28, 3:46 PM CSTWinter Storm WarningJANAttala, Carroll, Choctaw, Clay, Grenada, Kemper and 7 more16 hr
Feb 28, 3:52 PM CSTLake Wind AdvisoryJANAdams, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne and 41 more26 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2009Every flash flood warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.