Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
256 AM CDT MON JUN 16 2008

.DISCUSSION...
BUSY OVERNIGHT WITH PLENTY OF STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION...AND
FLASH FLOODING. SOUTH MOVING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX THAT AFFECTED FAR
ERN OK AND NW AR EARLIER HAS DISSIPATED...HOWEVER ADDITIONAL STORMS
THAT DEVELOPED NE OF TULSA OFF AN OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAD MERGED
WITH A SOUTHEAST MOVING MCS THAT WAS AFFECTING WESTERN SECTIONS OF
THE FA. THIS COMPLEX WILL CONTINUE A SOUTHEASTERLY MOVEMENT...AND
WILL BEGIN AFFECTING FAR ERN OK AND NW AND WC AR BETWEEN 08Z-10Z.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ZONES MAINLY NORTH OF I-40 UNTIL
12Z. HAVENT QUITE DECIDED WHAT TO DO WITH IT AT THIS TIME AS
LATEST MODEL RUNS OFFER VERY LITTLE HELP REGARDING SHORT TERM QPF
PLACEMENT. HOWEVER IT APPEARS WITH NEW CONVECTION DEVELOPING AND
EXTENSION OF THE FA WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. WILL BASE FIRST PERIOD POPS
OFF OF RADAR TRENDS.

OTHERWISE THE BEAT GOES ON...PESKY NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW...SURFACE
AS WELL AS ELEVATED BOUNDARIES WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED CONVECTIVE
CHANCES FOR MOST OF THIS FORECAST CYCLE. HOPEFULLY BY NEXT
WEEKEND...UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE SRN PLAINS...WHICH
WILL CURB RAIN CHANCES BUT INCREASE THE HEAT. WONT GET CARRIED
AWAY WITH POPS...WITH MOST PERIODS FALLING IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY.
TEMPERATURE WISE...WONT STRAY TOO FAR FROM GUIDANCE...AND IF
ANYTHING WILL CONTINUE TO ERR ON THE COOL SIDE GIVEN THE
DIFFICULTY IN DEPICTING AREAS OF RAIN COOLED AIR AND CLOUD COVER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   82  66  78  64 /  50  50  50  30
FSM   83  66  78  66 /  70  40  50  30
MLC   92  68  84  65 /  60  50  50  30
BVO   78  63  79  62 /  50  50  50  20
FYV   81  60  78  59 /  60  40  50  20
BYV   80  60  80  59 /  70  40  50  20
MKO   85  66  78  64 /  60  50  50  30
MIO   80  61  81  61 /  50  30  50  20
F10   89  67  82  64 /  50  50  50  30
HHW   95  69  87  66 /  60  50  50  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY FOR OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-
     OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-
     OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-OKZ072.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-
     ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....23

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
333 AM CDT MON JUN 16 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 SSW BROKEN ARROW      35.99N 95.82W
06/16/2008                   TULSA              OK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            SEVERAL STREETS FLOODED IN SOUTH BROKEN ARROW

&&

SFP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
352 AM CDT MON JUN 16 2008

OKZ049-070-072>076-160945-
HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-LE FLORE OK-MUSKOGEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-PUSHMATAHA
OK-SEQUOYAH OK-
352 AM CDT MON JUN 16 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 445 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN MUSKOGEE AND SEQUOYAH

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     HASKELL...NORTHERN LE FLORE...PITTSBURG...NORTHERN PUSHMATAHA
     AND LATIMER

AT 352 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM MARBLE CITY TO HAYWOOD...MOVING SOUTH AT 34 MPH.

A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHEASTERN MUSKOGEE...SEQUOYAH...HASKELL...
NORTHERN LE FLORE...PITTSBURG...NORTHERN PUSHMATAHA AND LATIMER
COUNTIES WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS THROUGH 445 AM CDT.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3423 9576 3430 9579 3451 9579 3452 9568
      3459 9568 3459 9588 3468 9589 3468 9599
      3490 9609 3532 9538 3531 9535 3534 9534
      3565 9482 3564 9471 3509 9444 3500 9444
TIME...MOT...LOC 0852Z 338DEG 30KT 3555 9478 3486 9596

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
439 AM CDT MON JUN 16 2008

OKZ049-073-075-076-161100-
LATIMER OK-LE FLORE OK-PITTSBURG OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-
439 AM CDT MON JUN 16 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 600 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHWESTERN LE FLORE...SOUTHERN PITTSBURG...PUSHMATAHA AND
     LATIMER

AT 439 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF RED OAK TO 4 MILES SOUTH OF
DAMON TO 2 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BACHE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 28 MPH.

A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHWESTERN LE FLORE...SOUTHERN PITTSBURG...
PUSHMATAHA AND LATIMER COUNTIES WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
THROUGH 600 AM CDT.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3420 9566 3452 9573 3452 9568 3459 9568
      3459 9575 3493 9583 3484 9537 3507 9496
      3506 9494 3454 9449 3451 9504 3426 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0939Z 315DEG 24KT 3507 9498 3477 9528
          3484 9564