Alert archive / Michigan / Tornado Watches in 2008

Tornado Watch 475

June 6, 200819 counties in Indiana; 68 counties in Michigan; Williams County, Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 6, 2008, 2:18 PM EDT for 19 counties in Indiana; 68 counties in Michigan; Williams County, Ohio. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 6, 2008, 2:18 PM EDT (18:18 UTC)
Expired
Jun 7, 2008, 12:00 AM EDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 88 counties

Allen County, IN, Cass County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Noble County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wabash County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Alcona County, MI, Allegan County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Barry County, MI, Bay County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Charlevoix County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Clare County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Huron County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lake County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Mason County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Midland County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Sanilac County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Tuscola County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Wexford County, MI, Williams County, OH

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 19 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

61 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 6, 2:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRMuskegon, Oceana47 min
Jun 6, 3:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXLaPorte66 min
Jun 6, 3:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXLaPorte, Saint Joseph56 min
Jun 6, 3:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRLake, Newaygo51 min
Jun 6, 3:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRAllegan, Barry, Kalamazoo, Kent, Van Buren57 min
Jun 6, 3:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRAllegan, Clare, Ionia, Isabella, Kent, Mecosta and 4 more52 min
Jun 6, 3:49 PM EDTTornado WarningIWXLaPorte, Saint Joseph26 min
Jun 6, 3:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRKalamazoo, Van Buren55 min
Jun 6, 4:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRLake, Osceola26 min
Jun 6, 4:05 PM EDTTornado WarningGRRLake, Osceola40 min
Jun 6, 4:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRClare36 min
Jun 6, 4:11 PM EDTTornado WarningAPXMissaukee, Wexford47 min
Jun 6, 4:13 PM EDTTornado WarningGRRBarry, Kalamazoo, Van Buren41 min
Jun 6, 4:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRBarry, Calhoun, Clinton, Eaton, Gratiot, Ingham and 4 more72 min
Jun 6, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRClare, Gratiot, Ionia, Isabella, Montcalm61 min
Jun 6, 4:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMidland60 min
Jun 6, 4:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXCass45 min
Jun 6, 4:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlcona, Crawford, Iosco, Ogemaw, Oscoda, Roscommon47 min
Jun 6, 4:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRKalamazoo, Van Buren65 min
Jun 6, 5:02 PM EDTTornado WarningAPXAlcona, Iosco, Ogemaw, Oscoda43 min
Jun 6, 5:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlcona, Arenac, Gladwin, Iosco71 min
Jun 6, 5:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMidland31 min
Jun 6, 5:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXElkhart, LaGrange51 min
Jun 6, 5:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXBay47 min
Jun 6, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRBarry, Kalamazoo47 min
Jun 6, 5:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlpena, Montmorency, Otsego, Presque Isle60 min
Jun 6, 5:17 PM EDTTornado WarningAPXArenac43 min
Jun 6, 5:17 PM EDTTornado WarningGRRBarry, Calhoun, Kalamazoo32 min
Jun 6, 5:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRCalhoun, Clinton, Eaton, Gratiot, Ingham, Jackson40 min
Jun 6, 5:22 PM EDTTornado WarningGRRClinton25 min
Jun 6, 5:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRBarry, Calhoun, Clinton, Eaton, Gratiot, Ingham and 3 more74 min
Jun 6, 5:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSaginaw, Shiawassee71 min
Jun 6, 5:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBranch38 min
Jun 6, 5:51 PM EDTTornado WarningGRRCalhoun, Kalamazoo39 min
Jun 6, 6:00 PM EDTTornado WarningAPXAlpena, Presque Isle30 min
Jun 6, 6:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXBay28 min
Jun 6, 6:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXTuscola60 min
Jun 6, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXShiawassee50 min
Jun 6, 6:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRIngham, Jackson32 min
Jun 6, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSaginaw40 min
Jun 6, 6:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXHuron56 min
Jun 6, 6:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXGenesee, Livingston53 min
Jun 6, 7:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLivingston46 min
Jun 6, 7:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXDeKalb34 min
Jun 6, 7:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBlackford, Grant, Huntington, Miami, Wabash, Wells64 min
Jun 6, 7:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXTuscola38 min
Jun 6, 7:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, DeKalb27 min
Jun 6, 7:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXCass, Saint Joseph33 min
Jun 6, 7:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCheboygan, Emmet33 min
Jun 6, 7:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXOakland59 min
Jun 6, 7:43 PM EDTTornado WarningIWXHuntington, Wells32 min
Jun 6, 7:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRClare, Mecosta, Osceola53 min
Jun 6, 7:58 PM EDTTornado WarningAPXMissaukee, Roscommon37 min
Jun 6, 8:01 PM EDTTornado WarningIWXAdams, Allen, Wells29 min
Jun 6, 8:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, DeKalb24 min
Jun 6, 8:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRROsceola39 min
Jun 6, 8:06 PM EDTTornado WarningGRROsceola23 min
Jun 6, 8:32 PM EDTTornado WarningIWXDefiance, Fulton, Henry, Paulding, Williams43 min
Jun 6, 9:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXWayne29 min
Jun 6, 10:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSaint Clair24 min
Jun 6, 11:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXArenac, Gladwin, Iosco, Ogemaw55 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2008-06-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 714 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2008-06-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 76 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
714 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-71 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
986 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
76 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 061823
SEL5  
SPC WW 061823
INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LEZ000-LHZ000-LMZ000-070200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 475
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM EDT FRI JUN 6 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHERN INDIANA
       LOWER MICHIGAN
       NORTHWEST OHIO
       LAKE ERIE
       LAKE HURON
       LAKE MICHIGAN

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST OF FORT WAYNE
INDIANA TO 25 MILES NORTH OF ALPENA MICHIGAN.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 472...WW 473...WW 474...

DISCUSSION...DISCRETE STORMS DEVELOPING OVER LAKE MICHIGAN ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO WESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS DEVELOPING NEAR THE LAKE BREEZE
ACROSS WESTERN MICHIGAN...SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHERN INDIANA. 
CONSOLIDATION INTO ORGANIZED FAST MOVING LINES SEGMENTS APPEARS
LIKELY IN STRONG AND HIGHLY SHEARED SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.  THIS MAY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...WITH A COUPLE OF
TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.


...KERR/HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 6, 1:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCElkhart, Kosciusko, LaGrange, LaPorte, Marshall, Noble and 2 more90 min
Jun 6, 2:05 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Porter5 hr
Jun 6, 4:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass, Clinton and 29 more2 hr
Jun 6, 5:30 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown, Carroll and 38 more7 hr
Jun 6, 7:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams60 min
Jun 6, 7:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCWayne4 hr
Jun 6, 1:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaraga, Dickinson, Gogebic, Houghton, Iron, Keweenaw and 3 more63 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Michigan, 2008Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2008Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.