Severe Thunderstorm Warning 356, NWS Springfield, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
151 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2008

.DISCUSSION...

STORMS CONTINUE TO TRAIN ALONG AND NORTH OF A STALLED OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS
AFTERNOON...AS THEY DEVELOP OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHEAST
KANSAS IN AN AREA OF MAXIMIZED LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES OFF THE 12Z KSGF SOUNDING WERE AROUND ONE AND THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH...SO ALL STORMS HAVE BEEN HEAVY RAINFALL
PRODUCES. SO FAR THIS AFTERNOON...THE SPRINGFIELD ASOS HAS
RECORDED NEARLY THREE AND A HALF INCHES WITH MORE STORMS ON THE
WAY AS THERMAL BOUNDARY REMAINS PARKED NEAR THE ARKANSAS BORDER
AND THE AIRMASS SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE
WITH AFTERNOON HEATING. BASED ON LATEST RADAR TRENDS...WILL BE
EXPANDING THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH INTO OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES...ENDING
THE WATCH OVER OUR EXTREME NORTHWEST COUNTIES AND EXTENDING THE
WATCH INTO THE EVENING OVER THE REST OF THE AREA.

WILL HAVE THE MAIN DISCUSSION OUT BY AROUND 3 PM.

TERRY
&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT
THE SPRINGFIELD TERMINAL THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. IFR
VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIER SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AT
BOTH AIRFIELDS. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THIS EVENING THAT SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI WILL CLEAR OUT AND PATCHY DENSE FOG COULD DEVELOP AT JOPLIN
AND SPRINGFIELD.  WANTED TO GIVE A HEADS UP IN THE TAFS FOR THIS.
LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO FINE TUNE MORE AS THE EVENT GETS
CLOSER.

GCC

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR MOZ057-058-068>071-
     078>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR KSZ101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
104 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-141815-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
104 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS
AND PARTS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS TODAY. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
LEADING TO SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

ANYONE LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS THAT TYPICALLY EXPERIENCE
FLOODING SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THOSE STREAMS...AND REACT QUICKLY
IF FLASH FLOODING BECOMES A POTENTIAL HAZARD.

THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY EXIT THE REGION SOMETIME DURING THE
EVENING HOURS AS A COLD FRONT SHIFTS SOUTH INTO ARKANSAS.

AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS...SKIES WILL CLEAR AND
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT. WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE ON THE
GROUND...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT
OVERNIGHT. FOG REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A MILE CAN BE
EXPECTED GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE LATEST FORECAST ANALYSIS
SUGGESTS THAT THE REGION WILL BE POSITIONED UNDER A WEATHER
PATTERN THAT IS FAVORABLE FOR OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES.
THIS COULD LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING...ALONG WITH RESULTING IN
ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

CLAYCOMB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
217 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0216 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WENTWORTH               36.99N 94.07W
06/13/2008                   NEWTON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CREEK IN WENTWORTH IS OUT OF ITS BANKS.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
219 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SPRINGFIELD             37.20N  93.29W
06/13/2008                   GREENE             MO   NEWSPAPER

            FASSNIGHT CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS AT 300 BLOCK OF WEST
            BENNETT ST THREATENING NEARBY HOUSES

&&

ANGLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
221 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SPRINGFIELD             37.20N  93.29W
06/13/2008                   GREENE             MO   NEWSPAPER

            VAN STALLED WHILE ATTEMPING TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAY AT
            WEST CATALPA STREET NEAR DOUGLAS AVENUE

&&

ANGLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
223 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HIATTVILLE              37.72N 94.87W
06/13/2008  M2.40 INCH       BOURBON            KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            24 HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 8 AM

&&

BARJENBRUCH

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