Flash Flood Warning 92, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 130925
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
421 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2008

KSC011-131200-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0092.000000T0000Z-080613T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOURBON KS-
421 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CDT FOR
BOURBON COUNTY...

AT 415 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 
SINCE MIDNIGHT...ESTIMATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES 
HAVE FALLEN ALONG THE BOURBON...CRAWFORD COUNTY LINE...OR AROUND THE 
COMMUNITIES OF PORTERSVILLE AND PAWNEE STATION. RAINFALL RATES OF 
TWO TO THREE INCHES PER HOUR HAVE BEEN REPORTED THIS MORNING AS THE 
THUNDERSTORMS MOVED THROUGH THE AREA. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS 
MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS WILL PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO 
THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA THROUGH 7 AM. 

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO 
NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO 
ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN 
WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 3782 9508 3799 9508 3803 9508 3804 9506
      3803 9471 3803 9462 3768 9462 3768 9509
      3781 9509
TIME...MOT...LOC 0921Z 180DEG 0KT 3790 9494

$$

JLT

000 
WGUS53 KSGF 131152
FFWSGF
KSC011-131600-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FF.W.0092.000000T0000Z-080613T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
648 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  BOURBON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...

* UNTIL 1100 AM CDT.

* AT 641 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
  THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED
  AREA...OR WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA THIS MORNING. 
  SINCE MIDNIGHT...ESTIMATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES 
  HAVE FALLEN ALONG THE BOURBON...CRAWFORD COUNTY LINE...OR AROUND 
  THE COMMUNITIES OF PORTERVILLE AND PAWNEE STATION. RAINFALL RATES
  OF TWO TO THREE INCHES PER HOUR HAVE BEEN REPORTED THIS MORNING AS 
  THE THUNDERSTORMS MOVED THROUGH THE AREA. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS 
  MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS WILL PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO 
  THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA THROUGH 11 AM. 

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO  
  OCCUR. 

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...
EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3782 9508 3799 9508 3803 9508 3804 9506
      3803 9471 3803 9462 3768 9462 3768 9509
      3781 9509

$$

JLT

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 131356
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
856 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2008

KSC011-131406-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.W.0092.000000T0000Z-080613T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOURBON KS-
856 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2008

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR BOURBON COUNTY...

RAINFALL RATES HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE 
THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER...A FLOOD 
WARNING WILL REPLACE THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING DUE TO THE CONTINUED 
THREAT OF RUNOFF FROM THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EARLIER TODAY. IF 
FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW 
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3782 9508 3799 9508 3803 9508 3804 9506
      3803 9471 3803 9462 3768 9462 3768 9509
      3781 9509
TIME...MOT...LOC 1356Z 000DEG 10KT 3754 9494

$$

JLT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1157 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2008

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONVECTION OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AS IT
MOVES INTO THE REGION. MLCAPES NOT LOOKING ALL THAT
IMPRESSIVE...ON THE ORDER OF 1000 J/KG...AND WEAKENING SLOWLY.
MUCAPES ABOUT 1500 J/KG. MAIN NEAR TERM CONCERNS ARE HAIL WITH
BETTER STORM CORES AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WITH TRAINING STORMS.
REPORTS TO OUR WEST HAVE BEEN SOMEWHAT UNDERWHELMING SO FAR.
STILL...0-3KM HELICITY AND EFFECTIVE HELICITY ARE NOT BAD...ABOUT
300 M2/S2 AND HAVE SEEN GOOD STORM ROTATION IN SOME STORMS IN
SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL KS. BACKED SFC WINDS NOTED AT BOTH
KJLN AND KSGF. IT LOOKS LIKE THE TREND IS FOR STORMS TO BE
SOMEWHAT ELEVATED...BUT ROTATING UPDRAFTS WILL SUPPORT SOME DECENT
HAILERS. SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE STORMS BEING FED BY 35-40KT LOW
LEVEL JET...SO EXPECTED THIS TO MAINTAIN THE CONVECTION INTO THE
MO OZARKS LATE TONIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 0600 UTC KSGF/KJLN TAFS...EXPECT STORMS TO GRADUALLY MOVE
INTO THE TAF SITES OVERNIGHT. WILL GENERALLY SEE MVFR CEILINGS
WITH MVFR TO IFR VISIBILITY AT TIMES WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS. DIFFUSE
FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL OCCUR SOMETIME ON FRI...BUT CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY PLAY HAVOC WITH TRYING TO TIME THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE TIME. IN GENERAL...CEILINGS SHOULD LOWER FOR A PERIOD OF
TIME IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING CONVECTION...AND HAVE SOMEWHAT
LOWER CEILINGS IN THE TAFS IN THE AFTERNOON TO REFLECT THIS. SOME
FOG MAY BE POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT WITH A MOIST GROUND AND DECOUPLED BOUNDARY
LAYER...BUT HEAVIER FOG WILL LIKELY BE AFTER THE VALID TIME OF
THIS TAF SET. DSA

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOZ055>058-
     066>070-077>081-088-089.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1101 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-140415-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1101 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE MOST LIKELY
  HAZARDS FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL UP TO
  THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...AND HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING. A BRIEF
  ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...BUT THE OVERALL THREAT
  FOR TORNADOES IS LOW.

  AREAS AFFECT AND TIMING:

  MIDNIGHT TO 3 AM...NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM NEOSHO TO BOLIVAR TO
  ELDON.

  FROM 3 AM TO 6 AM...NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM CASSVILLE TO
  MARSHFIELD TO ROLLA.

  THE OVERALL BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE CONFINED TO
  NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES ROUGHLY ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A
  LINE FROM NEOSHO TO BOLIVAR TO ELDON.

  DISCUSSION:

  A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ALONG A COLD
  FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN MISSOURI INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
  KANSAS. INCREASING LOW LEVEL FLOW INTO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
  CAUSE THE THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE LATE THIS
  EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS THEY MOVE INTO WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE
  OUTLOOK AREA. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL
  CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS INTO EXTREME
  SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND INTO PARTS OF WEST
  CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST...AND CENTRAL MISSOURI OVERNIGHT.

  VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
  MAINLY NORTH OF A JOPLIN TO LEBANON LINE TONIGHT WHERE A FLASH
  FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH
  HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY. THE RISK OF
  SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DEPENDENT UPON HOW MUCH CLEARING AND
  RESULTING INSTABILITY DEVELOPS. IF SUFFICIENT CLEARING TAKES
  PLACE...SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS FAR
  SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

  ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON
  INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS
  AND PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI OVERNIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

DSA