Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Charleston, WV

000 
WWUS51 KRLX 060809
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
306 AM EST WED FEB 6 2008

KYC019-043-089-127-OHC087-WVC011-099-060830-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T0830Z/
GREENUP KY-CARTER KY-BOYD KY-LAWRENCE KY-LAWRENCE OH-CABELL WV-
WAYNE WV-
306 AM EST WED FEB 6 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM EST
FOR LAWRENCE...BOYD...CARTER AND GREENUP COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...AND
LAWRENCE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...AND WAYNE AND CABELL COUNTIES IN
WEST VIRGINIA...

AT 300 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LAWRENCE COUNTY IN OHIO...SOUTH ACROSS 
BOYD AND LAWRENCE COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY. 

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THESE STORMS. 
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A 
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A 
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THESE ARE DANGEROUS STORMS. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE 
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS......AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND 
LIGHTNING. 

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF 
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE 
SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3836 8324 3863 8309 3872 8287 3860 8285
      3859 8279 3867 8278 3883 8261 3854 8230
      3844 8209 3825 8231 3805 8223 3786 8239
      3796 8254 3788 8261 3800 8294 3798 8302
      3817 8293 3826 8316 3819 8328 3832 8335
TIME...MOT...LOC 0806Z 270DEG 0KT 3848 8373 3822 8381
          3785 8391

$$

08

000 
WWUS51 KRLX 060825
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
324 AM EST WED FEB 6 2008

KYC019-043-089-127-OHC087-WVC011-099-060834-
/O.EXP.KRLX.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T0830Z/
GREENUP KY-CARTER KY-BOYD KY-LAWRENCE KY-LAWRENCE OH-CABELL WV-
WAYNE WV-
324 AM EST WED FEB 6 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LAWRENCE...BOYD...CARTER AND
GREENUP COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...AND LAWRENCE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST
OHIO...AND WAYNE AND CABELL COUNTIES IN WEST VIRGINIA EXPIRES AT 330
AM EST...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE STORMS 
WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING WILL MOVE OUT OF THE WARNED AREA BY 330 AM. 
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO 
EXPIRE.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3836 8324 3863 8309 3872 8287 3860 8285
      3859 8279 3867 8278 3883 8261 3854 8230
      3844 8209 3825 8231 3805 8223 3786 8239
      3796 8254 3788 8261 3800 8294 3798 8302
      3817 8293 3826 8316 3819 8328 3832 8335
TIME...MOT...LOC 0824Z 270DEG 0KT 3848 8373 3822 8381
          3785 8391

$$

08

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
127 AM EST WED FEB 6 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS OHIO WILL MOVE NORTH AS LOW
PRESSURE RIDES UP THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.  IN ITS
WAKE...A STRONG UPPER AIR SYSTEM CROSSES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY.  WINTER RETURNS THIS WEEKEND WITH THE PASSAGE OF AN ARCTIC
FRONT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
RADAR SHOWS THE PRECIPITATION MOVING NORTH OF FORECAST AREA AS THE
ARKANSAS LOW STRENGTHENS AND DYNAMICS ALOFT GET MORE ORGANIZED WITH
THIS LOW.  THIS WILL KEEP US IN THE WARM SECTOR TONIGHT WITH NO REAL
UPPER SUPPORT TO PRODUCE MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION UNTIL THE
SYSTEM APPROACHES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
MODELS HAVE TRENDED SLOWER IN THE SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY...SO THAT THE
SLOWER NAM IS PREFERRED OVER THE FASTER GFS. EVEN WITH THE SLOWER
TIMING...MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF ON ANY SIGNIFICANT SURFACE WAVE
DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES ACROSS OUR AREA. THE MAIN
ENERGY AND GREATEST QPF IS THEREFORE CONCENTRATED WITH THE MAIN
SURFACE LOW TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH OHIO. SO THE HEAVIEST
RAINS AHEAD OF THE LOW AND FRONT ON WEDNESDAY FOR OUR AREA WILL
LIKELY BE CLOSEST TO THE LOW...ACROSS SOUTHEAST OHIO AND EXTREME
NORTHWEST WEST VIRGINIA. THIS AREA RECEIVED A GOOD DOSE OF RAIN THIS
MORNING...AND IS INCORPORATED INTO THE FLOOD WATCH WHICH CONTINUES
THRU WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. TIMING OF THE FRONT WOULD HAVE IT ALONG
THE OHIO RIVER AROUND 18Z WEDNESDAY AND EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS BY 00Z
THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A DECENT BAND OF CONVECTION ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THE FRONT...BUT WILL BE PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH SO THAT THE FLOOD
WATCH IS LIMITED TO MOSTLY THE NORTHWEST PART OF OUR AREA. ENOUGH
INSTABILITY AND CERTAINLY ENOUGH MOISTURE TO INCLUDE
THUNDER...MAINLY IN THE MAIN CONVECTION BAND CLOSE TO THE FRONT.
VERY GOOD SHEAR INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW OF THE STORMS TO
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE...WILL INCLUDE IN HWO FOR WEDNESDAY.
HOWEVER...LITTLE SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED IN THE RELATIVELY DEEP MOIST
ATMOSPHERE TO AID SEVERE...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH RECORD
HIGHS ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST WHERE THE FRONT WILL NOT PASS TIL LATER
IN THE AFTERNOON. THUS...HAVE LOWERED MAX TEMPS FROM GUIDANCE A FEW
DEGREES. FINALLY...GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT NO
WIND ADVISORY SEEN AT THIS TIME. LOTS OF MOISTURE REMAINS BEHIND THE
FRONT UNDER DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THE DEPARTING LOW...BUT HAVE
DOWNPLAYED POPS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AS WINDS
STAY MORE WESTERLY RATHER THAN NORTHWESTERLY. PREFER THE SLOWER NAM
IN BRINGING THE COLDER AIR IN...AND A SLOWER CHANGEOVER TO SNOW
SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IN ANY CASE...ONLY LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS AS BOUNDARY
LAYER TEMPS IN THE LOWLANDS ARE MARGINAL TO SUPPORT SNOW. ANY LEFT
OVER SNOW SHOWERS QUICKLY WIND DOWN THURSDAY MORNING AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN...BUT STILL LOTS OF CLOUDS AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
HANGS AROUND. SEASONABLE TEMPS THURSDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PERIOD WITH A TRANSITION TO BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AS A POLAR VORTEX DIGS ACROSS THE ERN CONUS THIS
WEEKEND.

BEFORE THAT...WEAK WAA YIELDS CLOUDS AND SPOTTY LIGHT PRECIP
THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE DRY.  A GOOD AMOUNT OF
CLOUDS WILL BE AROUND FRIDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A BAROCLINIC ZONE.
RAIN CHANGES TO SNOW IN WAKE OF THE FRONT OVERNIGHT FRIDAY.  AN SNOW
ACCUM WILL BE AN INCH OR LESS OUTSIDE THE HIGHEST PEAKS.

GFS AND ECMWF BOTH RESOLVE AN ARCTIC FRONT WHICH RETURNS WINTER TO
THE AREA SAT NGT THRU SUN NGT.  H8 TEMPS PLUMMET TO -20C RANGE SUN
AND SUN NGT.  THIS MEANS WE WILL BE LUCKY TO SEE DAYTIME HIGHS REACH
THE 30S EVEN IN THE SRN COAL FIELDS.  THE ASSOCIATED UPPER AIR
SYSTEM CROSSES SUNDAY AND COULD YIELD A LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION IN
THE MTNS.  MSTR REMAINS A QUESTION...SO WILL NOT INSERT ANY VERBIAGE
IN THE HWO YET ON POSSIBLE ACCUMULATIONS.

MID LVL HGTS BUILD DAYS 6 AND 7 ALLOWING A SHORT VISIT BY OLD MAN
WINTER.  TEMPS REBOUND BACK TO NORMAL LEVELS TO CLOSE OUT THE LONG
TERM.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A STRONG SQUALL APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL AFFECT HTS...PKB
AROUND 08Z...WITH SEVERE WEATHER...DAMAGING WINDS BEEN THE MAIN
THREAT. THE LINE WILL REACH CRW AROUND 08-09Z...AND COULD DIMINISH
IN INTENSITY BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE EASTERN SITES FROM 10-11Z.
IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ALONG THIS LINE OF CONVECTION. DEADLY
DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR.

AVIATION OUTLOOK /AFTER 00Z THU/...
IFR CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF WEDNESDAY. GRADUALLY IMPROVING
FLIGHT CONDITIONS THEREAFTER.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
WITH THE AMOUNT OF QPF PREDICTED /1 - 3 INCHES / OVER THE NEXT 24 -
36 HRS...THE HOCKING...MUSKINGUM...AND OHIO RIVERS WILL BE RUNNING
NEAR BANKFULL.  THE OHIO RIVER WILL SEE A STRONG RISE LATER THIS
WEEK DUE TO UPSTREAM RAINFALL IN THE ALLEGHANY BASIN.  PLEASE REFER
TO THE AHPS SECTION OF OUR WEBPAGE FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECAST.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR WVZ005>011.
OH...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR OHZ066-067-
     075-076-083>087.
KY...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR KYZ101>103-
     105.
VA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...29
NEAR TERM...AAR
SHORT TERM...JMV
LONG TERM...29
AVIATION...ARJ
HYDROLOGY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
333 PM EST TUE FEB 5 2008

OHZ066-067-075-076-084-085-WVZ009>011-062045-
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-VINTON-MEIGS-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-
333 PM EST TUE FEB 5 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ083-086-087-WVZ005>008-062045-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-JACKSON OH-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-
CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-
333 PM EST TUE FEB 5 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

VAZ003-004-WVZ013>020-024>040-046-047-062045-
DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-
DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-
TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-
BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
333 PM EST TUE FEB 5 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.