Severe Thunderstorm Warning 375, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
319 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

.DISCUSSION...
THE LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION CURRENTLY COVERING MOST OF OUR
FORECAST AREA IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT NORTHEAST THIS EVENING AS THE
UPPER LOW MOVES INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA. UNTIL THEN... WE EXPECT THE
USUAL ARRANGEMENT OF ADVERSE WEATHER... RANGING FROM A RISK OF
TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ACROSS OUR SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COUNTIES... TO A POSSIBILITY OF SMALL FUNNELS UNDER THE UPPER
LOW... TO SIMPLY RAIN AND SHOWERS ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTH.

AS THE LOW MOVES EAST INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING... THE
WESTERN EDGE OF THE RAIN SHOULD BEGIN TO CROSS OUR FORECAST
AREA... AND ALL RAIN IS EXPECTED TO END BY TOMORROW MORNING.

ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS AGAIN TOMORROW NIGHT... AND ANOTHER OVER THE WEEKEND.

ONLY THE FIRST PERIOD OF THIS FORECAST ISSUANCE WILL CONTAIN
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  80  56  79 /  50   0  30   0
HOBART OK         52  82  56  80 /  20   0  30   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  57  85  59  86 /  20   0  20  10
GAGE OK           49  78  50  81 /  20  10  30   0
PONCA CITY OK     53  71  56  76 /  70   0  40   0
DURANT OK         60  81  62  83 /  40   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

23/23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
418 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-081200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
418 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... AND ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM STILLWATER...
TO EL RENO... TO ANADARKO... TO HOLLIS OKLAHOMA. THIS INCLUDES ALL
OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

TIMING...
SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 10 PM.

IMPACTS...
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS AND WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BE THE
MAIN CONCERNS. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN THE
SLIGHT RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THIS EVENING AS AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL INTO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. A SURFACE LOW NEAR ANADARKO OKLAHOMA AT MID-AFTERNOON WILL
ALSO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS OKLAHOMA THROUGH THIS EVENING... WITH A
DRYLINE EXTENDING SOUTH INTO TEXAS. A FRONT ALSO EXTENDED ACROSS
CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AT MID-AFTERNOON. COLD TEMPERATURES
ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE UPPER LOW.
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EAST OF THE SURFACE AND
UPPER LOW. SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE RISK AREA INTO
THIS EVENING. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL BE
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS INTO THIS EVENING. WHILE LARGE HAIL
AND STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER CONCERNS...
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL END THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER LOW
MOVES INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT THURSDAY MAY 8.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA... 100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR... 100 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF OKLAHOMA AND
PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THE HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO
FLOODING... ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY MORNING... BUT SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 7 AM
THURSDAY.

MAXWELL

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
433 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             1 E MIDDLEBERG          35.10N 97.73W
05/07/2008  E0.88 INCH       GRADY              OK   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

DW