Tornado Warning 128, NWS Birmingham, AL

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 240906
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
406 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

ALC113-240915-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0128.000000T0000Z-080824T0915Z/
RUSSELL AL-
406 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 AM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN RUSSELL COUNTY...

AT 404 AM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR FORT MITCHELL ACTIVITY
CENTER...OR ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT BENNING SOUTH...MOVING
NORTH AT 25 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  FORT MITCHELL ACTIVITY CENTER...UCHEE CREEK...FORT MITCHELL AND 6
  MILES EAST OF RUSSELL COUNTY SPORTS COMPLEX BY 415 AM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT SUNDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

LAT...LON 3221 8515 3244 8520 3246 8498 3243 8495
      3242 8496 3237 8497 3235 8499 3226 8499
      3221 8501 3219 8502
TIME...MOT...LOC 0906Z 174DEG 18KT 3226 8506

$$

JONES/90

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
358 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

.DISCUSSION...

ONE THING FOR CERTAIN ABOUT FAY...SHE HAS BEEN A RATHER FICKLE
STORM...SEEMINGLY INTENT ON PUZZLING ALL INTERESTED ONLOOKERS.
HARD-PRESSED TO RECALL A MORE PECULIAR...AND UNCERTAIN...STORM
TRACK.

FORECAST CHALLENGES THROUGH MIDWEEK ALL REVOLVE AROUND FAY...AND
THE CONTINUING LACK OF FORECAST CONFIDENCE. NAM12 HAS AN
INTERESTING CURLY-Q AROUND MISSISSIPPI DELTA...AND THE GFS AND
EUROPEAN ARE NOT ALL THAT DIFFERENT. GFS/EURO SEEM A TAD QUICKER
THAN THE NAM12...WITH TUES 12Z LOW OVER MERIDIAN VS THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF LOUISIANA. LEANING TOWARDS THE GFS/EURO
SOLUTION...BUT EITHER WAY...THERE SHOULD BE AMPLE TROPICAL
MOISTURE OVER THE AREA...AND WITH A HYBRID LOW EITHER OFF TO OUR
WEST OR SOUTHWEST BY ONE DISTANCE OR ANOTHER...ENHANCE RAIN
CHANCES FROM FAY LOOK TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY...AND PERHAPS
INTO WEDNESDAY. QUICK PEEK AT THE 06Z NAM12 SHOWS THE LOW
REMAINING STATIONARY...WHICH WHILE NOT THE CHOSEN SOLUTION AT THIS
TIME...IS STILL A FEASIBLE SOLUTION.

BEYOND WEDNESDAY...WOULD LOVE TO SEE THE EURO VERIFY WITH CLEARING
SKIES...BUT CONFIDENCE BEYOND WEDNESDAY CONTINUES WELL BELOW WHERE
WE WOULD LIKE IT TO BE. WITH SOLUTIONS RANGING FROM THE NAM/DGEX
HOLDING ON TO A STATIONARY SYSTEM TO THE EURO RACING THE LOW OFF
TO THE NORTHEAST...WILL GO THE PRUDENT ROUTE OF TAKING A MEX/MEN
BLEND...AND WAIT FOR A STRONGER SIGNAL BEFORE CONFIDENCE IMPROVES.

JD/81

&&

.AVIATION...00Z DISCUSSION.

VFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE
REMNANTS OF FAY TRACK WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA.  VISIBILITY WILL
BE AS LOW AS 1 MILE AT TIMES IN ASSOCIATION WITH SOME OF THE HEAVIER
SHOWERS.  WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY FROM THE NORTHEAST SUSTAINED
BETWEEN 10 AND 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL MAY END TEMPORARILY LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TOMORROW BUT IS
EXPECTED TO RETURN BY MIDDAY AND PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     82  71  81  70  80 /  70  50  90  60  70
ANNISTON    83  72  83  71  81 /  80  50  80  60  70
BIRMINGHAM  83  72  83  71  82 /  90  60  90  60  70
TUSCALOOSA  80  72  83  71  84 / 100  70  90  80  80
CALERA      83  72  83  71  83 /  90  60  90  70  70
AUBURN      80  70  81  68  78 /  80  50  70  70  70
MONTGOMERY  83  72  85  71  83 /  80  60  80  70  80
TROY        82  71  83  72  83 /  80  60  80  60  70

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

81/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
824 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

ALZ011>015-017>050-241130-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
824 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WIND GUSTS WILL REACH 25 TO 35 MPH FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 59 THROUGH TONIGHT. FOR AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF
THE U.S. 80 AND INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR...WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH
ARE EXPECTED.  AREA MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION
WHEN VENTURING OUT INTO THE OPEN WATERWAYS. HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY TRAVELING NORTH TO SOUTH...SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY ALERT TO THESE CROSS WINDS. DUE TO THE STRESS ON TREES
FROM THE RECENT DROUGHT...TREE LIMBS MAY BE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO
BREAKING UNDER THESE CONDITIONS.

RAIN WILL BE VERY HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT FOR AREAS GENERALLY
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM EUTAW...TO CENTREVILLE...TO LAFAYETTE.
CONVECTIVE BANDS FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL CONTINUE ROTATING
ACROSS THE AREA. BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED.

ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA THROUGH TONIGHT.  STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER INFORMATION DURING
THIS PERIOD AS WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BECOME NECESSARY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

IN REGARDS TO THE RAINFALL...EXPECT TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
BY SUNDAY NIGHT TO BE ANYWHERE FROM 3 TO 11 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED
HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL OCCUR ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM LIVINGSTON...TO MONTGOMERY...TO HURTSBORO.

THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL EXIST MONDAY AND TUESDAY UNTIL THE
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH FAY EXITS THE AREA. SOME UNCERTAINTY
DOES EXIST WITH PLACEMENT OF THE HIGHEST RAIN AMOUNTS...BUT AN
ADDITIONAL 5 TO 10 INCHES MAY BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR. THIS RAIN FALL WILL TRANSLATE INTO POTENTIAL RIVER
FLOODING BY THE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY TIME FRAME.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY ACROSS A LARGE
PART OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAYS PATH.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...CONSULT THE LATEST GUIDANCE AND INFORMATION
FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER CONCERNING THE POSSIBLE EFFECTS
FROM FAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BECOME
NECESSARY THROUGH SUNDAY.

03

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
958 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     TROPICAL STORM   2 SSE CUBA              32.41N 88.36W
08/23/2008                   SUMTER             AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            COUPLE OF TREES DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROAD 10 SOUTH OF
            SUMTER.

&&

JSIRMON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1234 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     TROPICAL STORM   SELMA                   32.42N 87.02W
08/23/2008                   DALLAS             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.

&&

JSIRMON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
138 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

ALZ036>038-043>050-240745-
BARBOUR-BULLOCK-CHAMBERS-COOSA-ELMORE-LEE-MACON-MONTGOMERY-PIKE-
RUSSELL-TALLAPOOSA-
138 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR BARBOUR...BULLOCK...CHAMBERS...
COOSA...ELMORE...LEE...MACON...MONTGOMERY...PIKE...RUSSELL AND
TALLAPOOSA COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM CDT...

AT 137 AM CDT...AT 132 AM CDT...HEAVY RAIN BANDS FROM THE REMNANTS
OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA. INDIVIDUAL
CELLS WITHIN THE BAND WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50
MPH.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT SUNDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.