Tornado Warning 127, NWS Birmingham, AL

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 240835
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
335 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

ALC017-081-240845-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0127.000000T0000Z-080824T0845Z/
LEE AL-CHAMBERS AL-
336 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN CHAMBERS AND NORTH CENTRAL LEE COUNTIES...

AT 336 AM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR OPELIKA...MOVING NORTHWEST AT
35 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  OAK BOWERY AND STURKIE BY 345 AM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT SUNDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

LAT...LON 3265 8546 3266 8546 3266 8547 3278 8558
      3288 8538 3261 8527 3259 8528 3256 8538
TIME...MOT...LOC 0836Z 152DEG 37KT 3266 8538

$$

JONES/90

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1155 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

.UPDATE...AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

RAIN CONTINUES TO MOVE IN FROM THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AS TROPICAL
STORM FAY MAKES ITS WAY WESTWARD. THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS ARE NOW
BEGINNING TO MOVE IN ALONG THE SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. THESE BANDS WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN IN A SHORT AMOUNT
OF TIME. MINOR FLOODING COULD BE A PROBLEM. PLEASE TAKE A LOOK AT
OUR HWO PRODUCT FOR A MORE DETAILED INFORMATION ON THE EXPECTED
THREATS.

THE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL DEPEND OF COURSE ON
FAYS TRACK. THE LATEST COMPUTER MODELS SHOW THAT FAY WILL
EVENTUALLY BEGIN TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. THE BIG QUESTION MARK
IS WHEN THIS CHANGE IN THE TRACK WILL OCCUR. THE GFS AND ECMWF
HAVE VERY SIMILAR TRACKS AS THEY MOVE THE SYSTEM OUT BY LATE
WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...THE NAM IS MUCH SLOWER IN MOVING THE SYSTEM
OUT AND THUS IT PREDICTS HEAVIER AMOUNTS FOR THE AREA. FOR
NOW...WILL KEEP THE FORECAST CLOSELY MATCHED WITH HPC QPF GUIDANCE
WHICH WILL BRING BETWEEN 1 TO 11 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WITH
AN ADDITIONAL 5 INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR
ADDITIONAL UPDATES AS THIS FORECAST CONDITIONS CAN QUICKLY CHANGE.

THINGS SHOULD HOPEFULLY BEGIN TO GO BACK TO NORMAL TOWARDS THE END
OF NEXT WEEK. ONCE FAY EXITS THE FORECAST AREA...EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO RETURN BACK TO NORMAL.

10/ARM

&&

.AVIATION...00Z DISCUSSION.

VFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE
REMNANTS OF FAY TRACK WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA.  VISIBILITY WILL
BE AS LOW AS 1 MILE AT TIMES IN ASSOCIATION WITH SOME OF THE HEAVIER
SHOWERS.  WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY FROM THE NORTHEAST SUSTAINED
BETWEEN 10 AND 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL MAY END TEMPORARILY LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TOMORROW BUT IS
EXPECTED TO RETURN BY MIDDAY AND PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     70  80  69  82  71 /  60  80  50  90  60
ANNISTON    73  81  71  82  70 /  60  90  50  90  60
BIRMINGHAM  70  80  71  82  70 /  70  90  50  90  60
TUSCALOOSA  71  80  72  82  70 /  90 100  70  90  60
CALERA      70  80  71  82  70 /  90  90  60  90  60
AUBURN      71  80  72  82  70 / 100  90  50  80  60
MONTGOMERY  72  80  72  83  73 / 100  90  70  90  60
TROY        71  80  71  84  72 / 100  80  70  80  60

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 AM SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-
TUSCALOOSA- JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-
SUMTER-GREENE- HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-
MARENGO-DALLAS- AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-
LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE- BARBOUR.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-
CHAMBERS- MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-
MACON-BULLOCK- LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
824 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

ALZ011>015-017>050-241130-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
824 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WIND GUSTS WILL REACH 25 TO 35 MPH FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 59 THROUGH TONIGHT. FOR AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF
THE U.S. 80 AND INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR...WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH
ARE EXPECTED.  AREA MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION
WHEN VENTURING OUT INTO THE OPEN WATERWAYS. HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY TRAVELING NORTH TO SOUTH...SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY ALERT TO THESE CROSS WINDS. DUE TO THE STRESS ON TREES
FROM THE RECENT DROUGHT...TREE LIMBS MAY BE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO
BREAKING UNDER THESE CONDITIONS.

RAIN WILL BE VERY HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT FOR AREAS GENERALLY
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM EUTAW...TO CENTREVILLE...TO LAFAYETTE.
CONVECTIVE BANDS FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL CONTINUE ROTATING
ACROSS THE AREA. BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED.

ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA THROUGH TONIGHT.  STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER INFORMATION DURING
THIS PERIOD AS WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BECOME NECESSARY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

IN REGARDS TO THE RAINFALL...EXPECT TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
BY SUNDAY NIGHT TO BE ANYWHERE FROM 3 TO 11 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED
HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL OCCUR ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM LIVINGSTON...TO MONTGOMERY...TO HURTSBORO.

THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL EXIST MONDAY AND TUESDAY UNTIL THE
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH FAY EXITS THE AREA. SOME UNCERTAINTY
DOES EXIST WITH PLACEMENT OF THE HIGHEST RAIN AMOUNTS...BUT AN
ADDITIONAL 5 TO 10 INCHES MAY BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR. THIS RAIN FALL WILL TRANSLATE INTO POTENTIAL RIVER
FLOODING BY THE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY TIME FRAME.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY ACROSS A LARGE
PART OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAYS PATH.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...CONSULT THE LATEST GUIDANCE AND INFORMATION
FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER CONCERNING THE POSSIBLE EFFECTS
FROM FAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BECOME
NECESSARY THROUGH SUNDAY.

03

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
958 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     TROPICAL STORM   2 SSE CUBA              32.41N 88.36W
08/23/2008                   SUMTER             AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            COUPLE OF TREES DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROAD 10 SOUTH OF
            SUMTER.

&&

JSIRMON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1234 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     TROPICAL STORM   SELMA                   32.42N 87.02W
08/23/2008                   DALLAS             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.

&&

JSIRMON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
138 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

ALZ036>038-043>050-240745-
BARBOUR-BULLOCK-CHAMBERS-COOSA-ELMORE-LEE-MACON-MONTGOMERY-PIKE-
RUSSELL-TALLAPOOSA-
138 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR BARBOUR...BULLOCK...CHAMBERS...
COOSA...ELMORE...LEE...MACON...MONTGOMERY...PIKE...RUSSELL AND
TALLAPOOSA COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM CDT...

AT 137 AM CDT...AT 132 AM CDT...HEAVY RAIN BANDS FROM THE REMNANTS
OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA. INDIVIDUAL
CELLS WITHIN THE BAND WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50
MPH.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT SUNDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.