Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Birmingham, AL

Autauga County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Pike County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
317 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

.DISCUSSION...

EXPECTING A VERY BUSY FEW DAYS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO DEAL WITH THE EFFECTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY AT
LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE MAIN THREAT RIGHT NOW IS THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC
THUNDERSTORMS. THE DRY AIR THAT MOVED IN THIS MORNING ALLOWED
CLOUDS TO CLEAR. THIS IN TURN ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO SOAR INTO
THE 80S AND DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE. ADD TO THE MIX A GOOD
AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND WE HAVE THE INGREDIENTS FOR TORNADIC
ACTIVITY. BE PREPARED TO ACT FAST WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS
ISSUED. THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD HOPEFULLY BEGIN TO DIMINISH
LATER TONIGHT. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE.

HEAVY RAIN WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE TOMORROW. FAY IS EXPECTED
TO STALL TO OUR WEST AND THEN MAKE IT BACK TO THE NORTHEAST. AS A
RESULT...A SECOND SURGE OF MOISTURE IS EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON
INTO MONDAY NIGHT. DEPENDING ON HOW FAST THE REMNANTS OF FAY
MOVE...WE COULD BE DEALING WITH THE EFFECTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
WHEN IT IS ALL SAID AND DONE...AREAS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA COULD
SEE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 4 AND 8 INCHES BETWEEN MONDAY
AND WEDNESDAY.

BY THE END OF THE WEEK...FAY SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA. A
WEAK FRONT COULD MOVE IN OVER THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. NOT
EXPECTING A SIGNIFICANT COOL DOWN BEHIND THIS FRONT.

10/ARM

&&

.AVIATION...18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A LITTLE GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON. AS
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY MOVES WEST...EXPECT THESE WINDS TO SLOWLY
DECREASE. STILL EXPECTING A FAIRLY GOOD AMOUNT OF RAIN COVERAGE.
HOWEVER...INSTEAD OF BEING A LARGE AREA OF RAIN...IT WILL BE IN
THE FORM OF INDIVIDUAL RAIN BANDS. THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY
OF EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THESE BANDS. IF ANY OF THESE RAIN
BANDS AFFECT A TAF SITE...EXPECT TORRENTIAL RAIN WHICH WILL BRING
VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS DOWN TO THE IFR RANGE. RAIN COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DECREASE AFTER 00Z. HOWEVER...FLIGHT
RESTRICTIONS WILL CONTINUE AS CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP IN THE
MVFR RANGE...AND COULD POSSIBLE DROP INTO IFR MAINLY AFTER 06Z.

10/ARM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     71  81  70  80  70 /  50  90 100  80  70
ANNISTON    72  83  71  81  72 /  50  80 100  80  70
BIRMINGHAM  72  83  71  82  72 /  60  90 100  80  70
TUSCALOOSA  72  83  71  84  73 /  70 100 100  80  60
CALERA      72  83  71  83  71 /  60  90 100  80  60
AUBURN      70  81  68  78  70 /  50  70  80  80  60
MONTGOMERY  72  85  71  83  73 /  60  90 100  80  60
TROY        71  83  72  83  73 /  60  80  80  60  50

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
7 PM FOR ALL AREAS.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT BETWEEN 7 AM MONDAY AND 7 AM
TUESDAY FOR ALL AREAS.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
130 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

ALZ011>015-017>050-251130-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
130 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA
INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR TORNADOES WILL BE ALONG
THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF FAY.
ADDITIONALLY...BE AWARE THAT THESE TROPICAL SHOWERS PRODUCE LITTLE
LIGHTNING AND THUNDER.

WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH 7 PM. AREA MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION WHEN VENTURING OUT INTO THE OPEN WATERWAYS. HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY TRAVELING NORTH TO SOUTH...SHOULD BE
ALERT TO THESE CROSS WINDS. DUE TO THE STRESS ON TREES
FROM THE RECENT DROUGHT...TREE LIMBS AND WEAKER TREES MAY BE MORE
SUSCEPTIBLE TO BREAKING UNDER THESE CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL EXIST MONDAY AND TUESDAY UNTIL THE
REMNANT CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH FAY EXITS THE AREA. SOME
UNCERTAINTY DOES EXIST WITH PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN
AMOUNTS...BUT AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS A
LARGE PART OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH TUESDAY. IF THESE RAIN AMOUNTS
MATERIALIZE...IT WOULD TRANSLATE INTO A POTENTIAL RIVER FLOODING
PROBLEM BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WILL BE
NECESSARY TODAY.

75/LINHARES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1002 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     TROPICAL STORM   GADSDEN                 34.01N 86.01W
08/24/2008                   ETOWAH             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
            MUCH OF THE HIGHER WINDS OCCURRED DURING THE OVERNIGHT
            HOURS. ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS WERE AROUND 40MPH.

&&

LINHARES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1017 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TROPICAL STORM   MONTGOMERY              32.35N 86.28W
08/23/2008                   MONTGOMERY         AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN COUNTYWIDE. THE HIGHER
            WINDS OCCURRED GENERALLY BETWEEN 6 PM AND 1 AM. A FEW
            ROADS IN MONTGOMERY EXPERIENCED MINOR NUISANCE FLOODING.
            WIND GUSTS WERE ESTIMATED BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH.

&&

LINHARES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
148 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     DEATSVILLE              32.61N 86.40W
08/24/2008                   ELMORE             AL   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT OF A FUNNEL CLOUD. TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS
            A WALL CLOUD WITH SAME CELL.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
217 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0216 PM     TORNADO          EMERALD MOUNTAIN        32.46N 86.11W
08/24/2008                   ELMORE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO ON THE GROUND. NO REPORTS OF DAMAGE AT THIS TIME.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
225 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0216 PM     TORNADO          1 WSW WELONA            32.76N 86.36W
08/24/2008                   COOSA              AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO SPOTTED ON THE GROUND RIGHT ON THE COOSA AND
            ELMORE COUNTY LINE...NEAR THE COOSA RIVEER.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
241 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     DEATSVILLE              32.61N 86.40W
08/24/2008                   ELMORE             AL   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT OF A FUNNEL CLOUD. TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS
            A WALL CLOUD WITH SAME CELL.

0214 PM     TORNADO          EMERALD MOUNTAIN        32.46N 86.11W
08/24/2008                   ELMORE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO ON THE GROUND. NO REPORTS OF DAMAGE AT THIS TIME.

0216 PM     TORNADO          1 WSW WELONA            32.76N 86.36W
08/24/2008                   COOSA              AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO SPOTTED ON THE GROUND RIGHT ON THE COOSA AND
            ELMORE COUNTY LINE...NEAR THE COOSA RIVER.

&&