Gale Warning 35, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 312128 RRA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AST THU JAN 31 2008

RETRANSMISSION

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-010300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 969 MB LOW 50N 177E WILL MOVE TO 52N 167E FRIDAY NIGHT AS 979 MB.  
A SERIES OF LOWS WILL DEVELOP JUST NORTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND
ALASKA PENINSULA FRIDAY AND DRIFT SOUTHEAST INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA
FRIDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ411-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AST THU JAN 31 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E TO NE WIND 30 TO 50 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT BUILDING TO 10 TO
23 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E TO NE WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 13 TO 28 FT. HIGHEST WINDS
AND SEAS S. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE TO SE WIND 25 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 28 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AST THU JAN 31 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 TO 35 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 14 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS SW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 16 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND
SEAS SW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AST THU JAN 31 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS
W. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT...BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT S 
OF 54N. SEAS 9 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-010300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AST THU JAN 31 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 TO 12 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS
SW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY 
N OF 57N. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.   

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST WED JAN 30 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT OUT THROUGH FRIDAY ESPECIALLY
OUT WEST WITH THE NEXT LOW MOVING INTO THE BERING WEDNESDAY NIGHT
FROM THE PACIFIC. THIS LOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
WHILE ANOTHER LOW MOVES UP FROM THE PACIFIC OVER THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS BY FRIDAY ALONG WITH A DEVELOPING LOW WEST OF SHEMYA. THIS
WILL RESULT IN A COMPLEX SERIES OF LOWS COVERING THE EXTENT OF THE
ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL FALL APART AS
THE EASTERN LOW MOVES INTO THE GULF OVER THE WEEKEND AND RIDGING
BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THE WESTERN LOW WILL HOLD WELL
INTO NEXT WEEK.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER BROAD TROUGH OVER MAINLAND WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT EAST AND
OUT OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY. A UPPER SHORT WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE
NORTHERN BERING THIS MORNING AND SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL BY THIS
AFTERNOON.  A WEAK UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL
FLATTEN OUT AS IT MOVES EAST OVER THE GULF.  THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES
FAIRLY ZONAL FROM THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS INTO THE GULF THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE MAIN JET IS STAYING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS
AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN GULF MAINLY RUNNING ALONG 50N.

THE STRONG SURFACE THE LOW ENTERING THE GULF SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WILL
CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST AND NEAR THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS BY
TONIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL
MOVE EAST INTO THE WESTERN GULF THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE BREAKING DOWN.
THE INTENSE LOW MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL BE CENTERED
NEAR AMCHITKA BY THURSDAY MORNING AS 970 MB. A STRONG ASSOCIATED
FRONT WILL FROM THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND STRETCH ACROSS THE ALASKA
PENINSULA BY THURSDAY NIGHT. IT WILL THEN STRETCH OUT AND DISSIPATE
QUICKLY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
A LOT OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG THROUGHOUT MUCH OF SOUTHWEST AND COOK
INLET THIS MORNING WHICH WILL LIKELY REMAIN SO THROUGH MOST OF TODAY.
THE GULF COAST WILL CONTINUE TO GET AN OFF SHORE FLOW WITH KEEPING
FOG OUT OF THESE AREAS. OTHER THAN THAT EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS OVER
THE MAINLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT.  A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
STATE THURSDAY AND SHOULD BRING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO OUR
INTERIOR ZONES BUT IT WILL BACK TO A DRY PATTERN AFTER THURSDAY.

OUT WEST SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TODAY OVER THE BERING EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND TAPER OFF BY THIS EVENING.
SNOW OR SNOW AND RAIN WILL PICK UP AGAIN AS THE STRONG FRONT FROM THE
LOW OUT WEST MOVES EAST ALONG THE ALEUTIANS BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT IN
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE ALASKA
PENINSULA.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE MAIN LOW TRACK WILL REMAIN ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS
ISLANDS AND SOUTH OF THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS WILL ALLOW SOME DRY
CONDITIONS OVER THE MAINLAND PART OF THE STATE THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK. FOG AND STRATUS WILL REMAIN A PROBLEM.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORMS 172 175 176.
         GALES 132 150 155 170 179.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JAN 08