Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
943 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

.DISCUSSION...
SENT AN UPDATE THAT REFLECTS THE ADDITION OF TORNADO WATCH #250 IN
EFECT UNTIL 3 AM FOR MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. MADE SOEM ADJUSTMENTS
TO POPS ACROSS THE WESTERN ZONES AS ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED QUICKLY OVER THE LAST HOUR AND A HALF. LEFT TEMPS AS THEY
ARE FOR NOW. UPDATED ZFP ALREADY SENT.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
939 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-071000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
929 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA....EASTERN OKLAHOMA
	ONSET....ONGOING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...AREA ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS THAT WAS WEAKLY CAPPED ALLOWED THUNDERSTORMS
TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP DURING THE EVENING HOURS. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS
SUFFICIENT TO INDUCE ROTATION WITH THREAT OF TORNADOES. THREAT OF SEVERE
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST WILL BE VERY SLOW TO MOVE
EAST THIS WEEK SO THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST MUCH OF THE
WEEK. THERE WILL BE SOME CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER BUT HEAVY RAIN
WILL BECOME THE PRIMARY THREAT AS THE WEEK GOES ON.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
REMAIN ALERT TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1104 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

OKZ059-070445-
PAWNEE OK-
1104 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN PAWNEE

AT 1104 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARAMEC...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS
THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...PAWNEE...MARAMEC...
SKEDEE AND RALSTON.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3651 9672 3645 9672 3642 9662 3618 9663
      3619 9679 3627 9683 3627 9691 3635 9693
      3636 9702 3648 9699 3645 9695 3651 9683

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1149 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 ENE COPAN             36.91N 95.89W
05/06/2007  M60.00 MPH       WASHINGTON         OK   MESONET

&&

JDS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1149 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

OKZ056-070515-
NOWATA OK-
1149 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN NOWATA

AT 1149 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
WANN...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

GUSTY WINDS FROM OTHER STORMS OVER WASHINGTON COUNTY WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN
NOWATA COUNTY. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3675 9582 3684 9571 3698 9565 3699 9582