Severe Thunderstorm Warning 100, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 010816
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
316 AM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

OKC113-117-143-147-010915-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0100.000000T0000Z-070601T0915Z/
WASHINGTON OK-OSAGE OK-TULSA OK-PAWNEE OK-
316 AM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN PAWNEE...NORTHERN TULSA...OSAGE AND WASHINGTON
COUNTIES...

AT 315 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY
SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM OSAGE TO BARNSDALL TO HULAH...MOVING EAST
AT 45 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...WOLCO...COPAN...
BARTLESVILLE...DEWEY...OCHELATA...WESTPORT...AVANT...RAMONA...
SKIATOOK...VERA...SPERRY...COLLINSVILLE AND OWASSO.

TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. TAKE COVER
ON THE LOWEST FLOOR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM THAT HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING 
WINDS...WITH 65 MPH WINDS MEASURED AT FORAKER. SEEK SHELTER 
IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3619 9584 3621 9681 3628 9680 3656 9666
      3699 9662 3700 9582 3700 9582

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 010847
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
347 AM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

OKC113-117-143-147-010915-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0100.000000T0000Z-070601T0915Z/
WASHINGTON OK-OSAGE OK-TULSA OK-PAWNEE OK-
347 AM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN PAWNEE...NORTHERN TULSA...SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE AND
WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 344 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY
SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES EAST OF WESTPORT TO 10 MILES
EAST OF RAMONA TO 13 MILES EAST OF COPAN...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...SPERRY...
COLLINSVILLE AND OWASSO.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM THAT HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS. SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3619 9584 3621 9681 3627 9663 3700 9599
      3699 9662 3700 9582 3700 9582

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 010913
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
412 AM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

OKC113-117-143-147-010922-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0100.000000T0000Z-070601T0915Z/
WASHINGTON OK-OSAGE OK-TULSA OK-PAWNEE OK-
412 AM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN PAWNEE...NORTHERN
TULSA...SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 415 AM
CDT...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
STORMS WHICH CONTINUE FROM BARTLESVILLE...TO TULSA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM.

LAT...LON 3619 9584 3621 9681 3627 9663 3700 9599
      3699 9662 3700 9582 3700 9582

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
234 AM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
SEVERE MCS HAS ENTERED OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES WITH THE MOST
INTENSE PORTION LOCATED ALONG THE BORDER BETWEEN THE TWO
COUNTIES...JUST WEST OF RALSTON...WHERE WINDS NEAR 70 MPH ARE
LIKELY.

MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS SUGGEST ABUNDANT INSTABILITY AND
WEAK INHIBITION REMAIN FOR AREAS WEST OF HIGHWAY 75. CAP STRENGTH
ACTUALLY WEAKENED DURING THE PAST HOUR AS OBSERVED TEMPERATURES
DOWNSTREAM ROSE A FEW DEGREES AHEAD OF THE COMPLEX.
OTHERWISE...THE INSTABILITY HAS YET TO SHOW SIGNIFICANT EASTWARD
ADVANCE...BOTH IN THE TOTAL COLUMN VALUES AND CAPE VALUES TO
700MB. THIS TREND WILL BE CLOSELY FOLLOWED AS A POTENTIAL SIGN FOR
A WEAKENING WITH THE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED DANGEROUS WIND
POTENTIAL.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 AM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 AM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...AFTER 200 AM CDT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.

DISCUSSION...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
   OVERNIGHT...

A STRONG TO SEVERE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM WAS MOVING RAPIDLY
ACROSS SECTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING.  THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES IN
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AROUND 200 AM CDT. THE STRONGER BOW SEGMENTS
WILL LIKELY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS TO 65 MPH AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.

ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE MAIN
CONVECTIVE LINE ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...ALONG THE
OKLAHOMA...KANSAS STATE LINE. IN ADDITION...STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS
COUPLED WITH LOW LCL HEIGHTS AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL POSE A
LIMITED TORNADO THREAT. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS THE MAIN CONVECTIVE LINE MOVES
SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 44 AND WEAKENS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION IS LIKELY NEEDED IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. ENSURE AN OVERNIGHT MEANS OF WEATHER ALERT AND
INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE...SUCH AS NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX THAT WILL AFFECT NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING WILL WEAKEN BY LATE MORNING. OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
FROM THE MORNING STORMS MAY PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS MAY
DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON ALONG A COLD FRONT ACROSS KANSAS AND MOVE
INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. WEAK SHEAR OVER THE
REGION WILL PROHIBIT WIDESPREAD ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER.
HOWEVER...STRONG INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT SO THAT SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH STRONG WINDS AND
HAIL THE PRIMARY THREATS. WITH UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES AND A
BOUNDARY NEARBY...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FOR
INFORMATION ON THE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1119 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2007

OKZ054-010445-
OSAGE OK-
1119 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN OSAGE

AT 1119 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
GRAINOLA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...GRAINOLA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH.

LAT...LON 3688 9677 3687 9666 3701 9644 3701 9673

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
252 AM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 AM     HAIL             BURBANK                 36.69N 96.73W
06/01/2007  E0.88 INCH       OSAGE              OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0240 AM     TSTM WND GST     BURBANK                 36.69N 96.73W
06/01/2007  E65.00 MPH       OSAGE              OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

NMK