Alert archive / Wisconsin / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 75

March 25, 200716 counties in Iowa; 22 counties in Minnesota; 29 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 25, 2007, 2:54 PM CDT for 16 counties in Iowa; 22 counties in Minnesota; 29 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 25, 2007, 2:54 PM CDT (19:54 UTC)
Expired
Mar 25, 2007, 8:44 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 67 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Howard County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Anoka County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Houston County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Pine County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Winona County, MN, Adams County, WI, Ashland County, WI, Barron County, WI, Bayfield County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Burnett County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Clark County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Grant County, WI, Iron County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Price County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Sawyer County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Washburn County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 25, 4:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Goodhue, Rice, Steele44 min
Mar 25, 4:25 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXDakota, Washington50 min
Mar 25, 4:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHBayfield32 min
Mar 25, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXGoodhue47 min
Mar 25, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXJackson, Monroe31 min
Mar 25, 5:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXMonroe29 min
Mar 25, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDunn, Pepin51 min
Mar 25, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChippewa, Eau Claire54 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 119 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2007-03-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 33 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2007-03-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 232 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
33 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-72 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
645 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
232 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
272 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 252001
SEL5  
SPC WW 252001
IAZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-260300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 75
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 PM CDT SUN MAR 25 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHEAST IOWA
       EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
       WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES NORTH OF EAU CLAIRE
WISCONSIN TO 60 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MASON CITY IOWA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...A MID LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD OVER W/SW
MN...WHILE SURFACE HEATING/DESTABILIZATION HAS PROGRESSED THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON IN THE WARM SECTOR IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM.  IT
APPEARS THAT CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS WEAKENING AND THUNDERSTORM
INITIATION IS EXPECTED BY 21-22Z ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS NRN
IA INTO SRN MN.  SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID-UPPER 70S AND
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID-UPPER 50S ARE CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE VALUES
APPROACHING 1000 J/KG...AND LOCAL PROFILERS/VWPS SHOW FAVORABLE
VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS.  THE INITIAL CONVECTION SHOULD TAKE
THE FORM OF DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...THOUGH CONVECTION MAY GROW INTO A MORE LINEAR MCS
BY LATE EVENING INTO WI.  RELATIVELY LARGE TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT
SPREADS COULD TEMPER THE TORNADO THREAT SOMEWHAT INITIALLY...BUT THE
ENVIRONMENT STILL APPEARS SUPPORTIVE OF A FEW TORNADOES NEAR AND E
OF THE MS RIVER LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 25, 1:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw and 10 more87 min
Mar 25, 5:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Calumet, Florence, Fond du Lac, Forest, Green Lake and 15 more59 min
Mar 25, 5:19 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBrown, Calumet, Door, Florence, Forest, Kewaunee and 16 more4 hr
Mar 25, 5:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChippewa, Clark, Eau Claire, Jackson, Pepin, Taylor63 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2007Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2007Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.