Alert archive / Wisconsin / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 76

March 25, 20075 counties in Michigan; 22 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 25, 2007, 5:19 PM CDT for 5 counties in Michigan; 22 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 25, 2007, 5:19 PM CDT (22:19 UTC)
Expired
Mar 25, 2007, 9:43 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 27 counties

Dickinson County, MI, Gogebic County, MI, Iron County, MI, Menominee County, MI, Ontonagon County, MI, Brown County, WI, Calumet County, WI, Door County, WI, Florence County, WI, Forest County, WI, Kewaunee County, WI, Langlade County, WI, Lincoln County, WI, Manitowoc County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marinette County, WI, Menominee County, WI, Oconto County, WI, Oneida County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Portage County, WI, Shawano County, WI, Vilas County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 176 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 25, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBPortage, Wood57 min
Mar 25, 7:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBLanglade, Menominee, Shawano29 min
Mar 25, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBWaupaca37 min
Mar 25, 7:43 PM CDTTornado WarningGRBLanglade, Menominee32 min
Mar 25, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBShawano36 min
Mar 25, 8:06 PM CDTTornado WarningGRBOconto24 min
Mar 25, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBOconto25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 178 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2007-03-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2007-03-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 252 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
572 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
252 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
343 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 252219
SEL6  
SPC WW 252219
MIZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-260500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 76
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
520 PM CDT SUN MAR 25 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN
       NORTHERN AND CENTRAL WISCONSIN
       LAKE MICHIGAN

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM 520 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF IRONWOOD
MICHIGAN TO 20 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF OSHKOSH WISCONSIN.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 75...

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN WI AND WESTERN LOWER MI THIS EVENING...AHEAD OF
STRONG UPPER TROUGH.  INITIAL STORMS MAY BE SUPERCELLULAR WITH A
RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES.  HOWEVER...ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO
ORGANIZE INTO A SQUALL LINE DURING THE NIGHT WITH AN ENHANCED RISK
OF DAMAGING WINDS TOWARD MIDNIGHT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 25, 5:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGogebic, Iron59 min
Mar 25, 1:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarron, Buffalo, Burnett, Chippewa, Clark, Dunn and 12 more87 min
Mar 25, 2:54 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Ashland, Barron, Bayfield, Buffalo, Burnett and 23 more6 hr
Mar 25, 5:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChippewa, Clark, Eau Claire, Jackson, Pepin, Taylor63 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2007Tornado Watches in Michigan, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.