Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 6

January 5, 200720 counties in Florida; 19 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 5, 2007, 2:49 PM EST for 20 counties in Florida; 19 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 5, 2007, 2:49 PM EST (19:49 UTC)
Expired
Jan 5, 2007, 9:50 PM EST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 39 counties

Alachua County, FL, Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Clay County, FL, Columbia County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Duval County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Levy County, FL, Madison County, FL, Marion County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Union County, FL, Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Camden County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Cook County, GA, Echols County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 5, 4:11 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXCoffee34 min
Jan 5, 4:37 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXBacon, Jeff Davis38 min
Jan 5, 4:56 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXWare34 min
Jan 5, 5:03 PM ESTTornado WarningJAXWare27 min
Jan 5, 5:58 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXBrantley32 min
Jan 5, 6:12 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXHamilton, Suwannee48 min
Jan 5, 6:44 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXColumbia46 min
Jan 5, 7:28 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXUnion32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2007-01-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 501 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2007-01-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 196 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
501 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
468 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
185 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 051954
SEL6  
SPC WW 051954
FLZ000-GAZ000-CWZ000-060400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 6
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM EST FRI JAN 5 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHERN FLORIDA
       SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
BRUNSWICK GEORGIA TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CROSS CITY FLORIDA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 4...WW 5...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SPREAD NEWD ACROSS
PARTS OF SRN GA AND NRN FL THROUGH THIS EVENING AS 70 KT MID LEVEL
JET AND EJECTING SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL FUEL STRONG UPDRAFTS WHILE LOW LEVEL SHEAR
AND HELICITY SUPPORT CELL ROTATION AND PERSISTENCE. BOWING LINE
SEGMENTS AND ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WILL POSE A THREAT OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.


...CARBIN/IMY

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 5, 1:47 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBay, Calhoun, Escambia, Gulf, Holmes, Jackson and 4 more28 min
Jan 5, 2:15 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBay, Calhoun, Escambia, Gulf, Holmes, Jackson and 4 more6 hr
Jan 5, 4:13 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBay, Calhoun, Escambia, Gulf, Holmes, Jackson and 5 more62 min
Jan 5, 6:46 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBay, Calhoun, Escambia, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf and 11 more59 min
Jan 5, 8:21 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBay, Calhoun, Escambia, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf and 10 more8 hr
Jan 5, 10:02 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBay, Calhoun, Escambia, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf and 10 more118 min
Jan 5, 12:31 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBay, Calhoun, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Jackson and 4 more119 min
Jan 5, 2:16 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Dixie and 17 more119 min
Jan 5, 6:35 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Duval and 4 more85 min
Jan 5, 12:06 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanks, Elbert, Forsyth, Franklin, Habersham, Hall and 6 more
Jan 5, 12:41 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBurke, Columbia, Elbert, Franklin, Habersham, Hart and 5 more8 hr
Jan 5, 3:04 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurke, Columbia, Glascock, Jefferson, Lincoln, McDuffie and 3 more86 min
Jan 5, 4:26 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Bryan, Bulloch, Candler, Chatham, Effingham and 13 more34 min
Jan 5, 4:35 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBryan, Bulloch, Candler, Chatham, Effingham, Emanuel and 11 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Florida, 2007Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.