Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 41
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 1, 2007, 1:32 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 1, 2007, 1:32 AM CST (07:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 1, 2007, 8:00 AM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 64 counties
Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Newton County, AR, Polk County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Polk County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
48 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2:05 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Rogers, Wagoner | 24 min |
| Mar 1, 2:09 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Pittsburg | 36 min |
| Mar 1, 2:15 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Mayes | 60 min |
| Mar 1, 2:24 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Sequoyah | 30 min |
| Mar 1, 2:30 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton | 41 min |
| Mar 1, 2:42 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barton, Jasper | 63 min |
| Mar 1, 2:43 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Wagoner | 32 min |
| Mar 1, 2:47 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Delaware | 58 min |
| Mar 1, 2:57 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell | 28 min |
| Mar 1, 2:59 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | LeFlore | 61 min |
| Mar 1, 3:00 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Washington | 45 min |
| Mar 1, 3:04 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barton | 30 min |
| Mar 1, 3:11 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Benton, Hickory | 25 min |
| Mar 1, 3:16 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Sequoyah | 44 min |
| Mar 1, 3:17 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Cedar, Vernon | 43 min |
| Mar 1, 3:18 AM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | LeFlore, Sequoyah | 27 min |
| Mar 1, 3:27 AM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Crawford, Sebastian | 48 min |
| Mar 1, 3:39 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barton | 36 min |
| Mar 1, 3:40 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton | 80 min |
| Mar 1, 3:43 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Lawrence | 62 min |
| Mar 1, 3:46 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | St. Clair | 59 min |
| Mar 1, 3:47 AM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Franklin | 58 min |
| Mar 1, 3:49 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barton, Cedar, Dade | 56 min |
| Mar 1, 3:50 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair | 13 min |
| Mar 1, 3:53 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Dade, Lawrence | 20 min |
| Mar 1, 4:01 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Greene, Polk | 59 min |
| Mar 1, 4:03 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll, Madison | 57 min |
| Mar 1, 4:05 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Benton, Hickory | 55 min |
| Mar 1, 4:08 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Sebastian | 24 min |
| Mar 1, 4:13 AM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Carroll | 28 min |
| Mar 1, 4:20 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Christian, Greene | 40 min |
| Mar 1, 4:22 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Polk | 32 min |
| Mar 1, 4:24 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry | 36 min |
| Mar 1, 4:25 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Newton | 50 min |
| Mar 1, 4:28 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Stone, Taney | 62 min |
| Mar 1, 4:34 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Boone | 18 min |
| Mar 1, 4:35 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Dallas | 39 min |
| Mar 1, 4:41 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Webster | 64 min |
| Mar 1, 4:44 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Washington | 21 min |
| Mar 1, 4:50 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Franklin | 36 min |
| Mar 1, 4:51 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Laclede | 54 min |
| Mar 1, 4:57 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Stone | 33 min |
| Mar 1, 5:07 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian | 38 min |
| Mar 1, 5:10 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Newton | 50 min |
| Mar 1, 5:15 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Christian | 15 min |
| Mar 1, 5:32 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Webster | 43 min |
| Mar 1, 5:42 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Laclede, Pulaski | 48 min |
| Mar 1, 5:58 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Pope | 32 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 63 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 283 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -105 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1189 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 148 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 243 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 0.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 010734
SEL1
SPC WW 010734
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-011400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 41
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
EASTERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING FROM 135 AM UNTIL 800 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES NORTH OF SPRINGFIELD
MISSOURI TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MCALESTER OKLAHOMA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 36...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 38. WATCH NUMBER 36 38
WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 135 AM CST. CONTINUE...WW 37...WW
39...WW 40...
DISCUSSION...POWERFUL UPPER TROUGH AND STRENGTHENING COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE EAST INTO INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR FROM THE
RED RIVER NEWD ACROSS THE OZARKS THIS MORNING. IN ADDITION TO
INTENSIFYING FORCING FOR LARGE SCALE UPWARD MOTION...LOW THROUGH MID
LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL STRENGTHEN CONSIDERABLY THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING. THUS...ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME CONDUCIVE TO SUPERCELLS AND
LINE SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...HIGH WINDS...AND A COUPLE OF
TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
...CARBIN/HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 12:12 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Bradley, Chicot, Clay and 36 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 1, 3:35 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Cross and 18 more | 55 min |
| Mar 1, 3:58 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Baxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Faulkner and 18 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 1, 5:23 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 19 more | 97 min |
| Mar 1, 6:17 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 22 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 1, 6:54 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Phillips, St. Francis | 66 min |
| Mar 1, 7:28 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, Phillips, St. Francis | 12 hr |
| Feb 28, 6:11 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Wyandotte | 94 min |
| Feb 28, 6:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson and 5 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 28, 6:50 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Linn, Miami | 85 min |
| Feb 28, 7:10 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bourbon, Linn, Miami | 7 hr |
| Feb 28, 7:46 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Cowley | 89 min |
| Feb 28, 9:48 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Crawford, Douglas, Franklin and 3 more | 87 min |
| Feb 28, 10:57 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk | 93 min |
| Feb 28, 10:30 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audrain, Clark, Knox, Lewis, Marion, Monroe and 3 more | 90 min |
| Feb 28, 11:48 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audrain, Lewis, Lincoln, Marion, Monroe, Montgomery and 3 more | 57 min |
| Mar 1, 12:16 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Knox, Lewis, Lincoln and 7 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 1, 2:28 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Knox, Lewis and 8 more | 92 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2007Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.