Severe Thunderstorm Warning 9, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 010838
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
238 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

OKC135-010915-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-070301T0915Z/
SEQUOYAH OK-
238 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM CST
FOR SEQUOYAH COUNTY...

AT 237 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL
AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BOX...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...MARBLE CITY AND
BRUSHY.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...YOU SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3551 9510 3545 9498 3563 9451 3567 9496

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 010854
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
254 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

OKC135-010904-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-070301T0915Z/
SEQUOYAH OK-
254 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SEQUOYAH COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA AND WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3551 9510 3545 9498 3563 9451 3567 9496

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
159 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
LIFT NORTHEASTWARD TODAY...WITH ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY
IN THE PROCESS OF DEEPENING AND ACCELERATING AWAY FROM THE
FORECAST AREA. STORMS ONGOING ALONG THE FAST MOVING COLD FRONT WILL
CONTINUE THE PACE EASTWARD AND CLEAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY MID
MORNING. WIND PROFILES IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT WILL SUPPORT
TORNADIC POTENTIAL WITH THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ENDING UPON
FRONTAL PASSAGE. NOTICEABLY COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW THE
FRONT WITH LATE DAY CLEARING AND DOWNSLOPING WINDS AIDING ANY
AFTERNOON WARMING.

PATTERN ALOFT TRANSITIONS TO AN AMPLIFIED WESTERN U.S. RIDGE WHICH
DEVELOPS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THROUGH MUCH OF THE PLAINS.
WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS AND FULL SUN WILL ALLOW FRIDAY TO WARM
NICELY...WITH A SHOT OF COLDER TEMPERATURES ARRIVING FOR SATURDAY.
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN SCARCE SO NO PRECIP EXPECTED WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE.

PATTERN EXPECTED TO REMAIN RELATIVELY QUIET THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK AS WESTERN RIDGE SLOWLY DEAMPLIFIES TRANSITIONING TO MORE
ZONAL FLOW. GFS MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH SOUTHWARD PUSH OF COLD FRONTS
NEXT WEEK...AND SIDED MORE TOWARD THE WARMER ECMWF/DGEX SOLUTIONS.
SHOULD THESE FRONTS REMAIN TO OUR NORTH THAN TEMPERATURES BY MID
TO LATE NEXT WEEK WILL BE WARMER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...AND
PRECIP CHANCES WILL LIKELY RETURN AS SOUTHERLY FLOW BECOMES MORE
PERSISTENT PROVIDING INCREASING MOISTURE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   54  36  58  30 /  10   0   0   0
FSM   58  34  62  31 /  20   0   0   0
MLC   57  32  61  31 /  10   0   0   0
BVO   53  32  60  28 /  10   0   0   0
FYV   53  30  55  26 /  20   0   0   0
BYV   54  31  54  27 /  30   0   0   0
MKO   53  31  59  30 /  10   0   0   0
MIO   50  32  53  26 /  10   0   0   0
F10   54  33  60  31 /  10   0   0   0
HHW   59  36  64  36 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1253 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1253 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

...SEVERE WEATHER TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS (NON THUNDERSTORM).
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...LIMITED
        AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP ALONG A
COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER
SOUTHEAST KANSAS TO NEAR STILLWATER OKLAHOMA AND BACK OFF
TO THE SOUTHWEST. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT AS THE AIRMASS OVER THE AREA REMAINS
UNSTABLE. LARGE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH WILL BE
THE MAIN THREAT AS THESE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OFF TO THE EAST.
HOWEVER...TORNADOES CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN AS THE WIND PROFILES
REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL END BY MID-
MORNING THURSDAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE AREA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE FIRE DANGER WILL BE VERY HIGH ON FRIDAY AS WESTERLY WINDS 15
TO 25 MPH AND AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 30 PERCENT
PREVAIL IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
113 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

OKZ055-010745-
WASHINGTON OK-
113 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 145 AM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WASHINGTON

AT 113 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF COPAN TO 13 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF RAMONA...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...BARTLESVILLE...VERA...RAMONA...
OCHELATA...DEWEY AND COPAN.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
125 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

OKZ056-057-061-010830-
CRAIG OK-NOWATA OK-ROGERS OK-
125 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 230 AM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     ROGERS...CRAIG AND NOWATA

AT 125 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF WANN TO 12 MILES WEST OF
OOLOGAH TO 28 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VERDIGRIS...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

A LARGE PORTION OF ROGERS...CRAIG AND NOWATA COUNTIES WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS THROUGH 230 AM CST.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
147 AM CST THU MAR 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0146 AM     HAIL             JENKS                   36.02N 95.97W
03/01/2007  E0.75 INCH       TULSA              OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SFP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
153 AM CST THU MAR 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0151 AM     HAIL             TULSA                   36.13N 95.92W
03/01/2007  E0.88 INCH       TULSA              OK   STORM CHASER

            51ST AND MEMORIAL

&&

NMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
204 AM CST THU MAR 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0204 AM     HAIL             CLAREMORE               36.31N 95.62W
03/01/2007  E0.88 INCH       ROGERS             OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SFP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
204 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

OKZ061-062-067-010845-
MAYES OK-ROGERS OK-WAGONER OK-
204 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 245 AM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WAGONER...ROGERS AND MAYES

AT 204 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF CLAREMORE TO 19 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF ONETA...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

A LARGE PORTION OF WAGONER...ROGERS AND MAYES COUNTIES WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS THROUGH 245 AM CST.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.