Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 147

April 15, 200735 counties in North Carolina; 23 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 15, 2007, 8:08 AM EDT for 35 counties in North Carolina; 23 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2007, 8:08 AM EDT (12:08 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2007, 3:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 58 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Nash County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pender County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Allendale County, SC, Bamberg County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Beaufort County, SC, Berkeley County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Charleston County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Colleton County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Dorchester County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Hampton County, SC, Horry County, SC, Jasper County, SC, Lee County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC, Sumter County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC

The radar

The Columbia radar (KCAE), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 8:10 AM EDTTornado WarningCAEBamberg35 min
Apr 15, 8:16 AM EDTTornado WarningCAESumter29 min
Apr 15, 8:31 AM EDTTornado WarningCAEOrangeburg29 min
Apr 15, 8:42 AM EDTTornado WarningCAELee, Sumter33 min
Apr 15, 9:08 AM EDTTornado WarningCAEOrangeburg37 min
Apr 15, 9:38 AM EDTTornado WarningCHSColleton39 min
Apr 15, 9:49 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEClarendon, Orangeburg26 min
Apr 15, 10:03 AM EDTTornado WarningCHSDorchester27 min
Apr 15, 10:07 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEClarendon23 min
Apr 15, 10:21 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCHSBerkeley39 min
Apr 15, 10:35 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCHSColleton, Dorchester40 min
Apr 15, 10:59 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHoke31 min
Apr 15, 10:59 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCHSBerkeley, Charleston91 min
Apr 15, 11:14 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCHSColleton, Dorchester37 min
Apr 15, 12:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMHorry65 min
Apr 15, 12:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMBrunswick64 min
Apr 15, 1:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMNew Hanover, Pender61 min
Apr 15, 1:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXOnslow38 min
Apr 15, 2:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHarnett45 min
Apr 15, 2:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHWake43 min
Apr 15, 2:06 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHHarnett24 min
Apr 15, 2:28 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHHarnett15 min
Apr 15, 2:36 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHJohnston, Wake24 min
Apr 15, 2:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin50 min
Apr 15, 2:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHWake37 min
Apr 15, 2:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHJohnston31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 12:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2007-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 948 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2007-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 291 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
948 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
589 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
291 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
339 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.9
Supercell composite
6.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 151210
SEL7  
SPC WW 151210
NCZ000-SCZ000-CWZ000-151900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 147
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
810 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 810 AM UNTIL 300
PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
ORANGEBURG SOUTH CAROLINA TO 55 MILES NORTH OF NEW BERN NORTH
CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 145...WW 146...

DISCUSSION...BROKEN PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO SPREAD EWD/NEWD ACROSS SC/NC THROUGH MIDDAY AS A SURFACE LOW
DEEPENS AND MOVES NEWD FROM THE PIEDMONT...AND A COLD FRONT SWEEPS
EWD ACROSS GA/SC.  THOUGH INSTABILITY REMAINS RATHER WEAK IN THE
WARM SECTOR...BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE MID-UPPER 60S AND
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND
AN ASSOCIATED TORNADO THREAT WITHIN THE LARGER CONVECTIVE BAND. 
INITIALLY...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL BE FOCUSED IN SC...WITH AN
INCREASING THREAT EXPECTED BY MID-LATE MORNING ACROSS ERN NC.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 8:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Baker, Baldwin, Ben Hill and 93 more2 hr
Apr 14, 10:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurke, Columbia, Jenkins, Lincoln, Richmond, Screven95 min
Apr 14, 11:45 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien and 57 more6 hr
Apr 15, 2:01 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBurke7 hr
Apr 15, 3:57 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Ben Hill, Berrien, Bleckley and 39 more93 min
Apr 15, 5:57 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Bryan, Bulloch, Candler and 14 more5 hr
Apr 15, 10:20 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChatham55 min
Apr 15, 3:33 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Cabarrus, Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson and 21 more87 min
Apr 15, 7:39 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Chatham, Columbus, Craven and 26 more66 min
Apr 15, 11:15 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 37 more2 hr
Apr 15, 12:19 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell, Catawba and 29 more86 min
Apr 15, 12:42 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Alexander, Anson, Bertie, Burke, Cabarrus and 44 more7 hr
Apr 15, 2:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven and 19 more65 min
Apr 15, 2:50 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Carteret, Craven, Cumberland, Dare, Duplin and 14 more5 hr
Apr 15, 4:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Beaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chatham and 41 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2007Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.