Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 135, NWS Springfield, MO

June 10, 2007Jasper County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 10, 2007, 6:15 PM CDT for Jasper County, Missouri. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 10, 2007, 6:15 PM CDT (23:15 UTC)
Expired: Jun 10, 2007, 6:44 PM CDT
In force: 29 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Jasper County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 10, 4:33 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1180 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -66 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1117 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 25 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KSGF 102318
SVRSGF
MOC097-110015-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0135.070610T2315Z-070611T0015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
615 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  JASPER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT.

* AT 613 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DUDENVILLE TO   
CARTHAGE TO WEBB CITY...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THESE STORMS ARE 
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN   
EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  SPOTTERS HAVE REPORTED PERIODIC ROTATION WITH 
THESE STORMS.  

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  CARTERVILLE BY 620 PM CDT.
  CARTHAGE BY 635 PM CDT.
  DUENWEG BY 645 PM CDT.
  SARCOXIE BY 715 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF BROOKLYN HEIGHTS...LAKESIDE...OAKLAND PARK...
DUDENVILLE...MAPLE GROVE...ATLAS...AVILLA AND REEDS ARE ALSO IN THE
PATH OF THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THIS ALSO INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44
BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 15 AND 31.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME ROTATION WITH THESE STORMS. WHILE 
NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS
SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY 
STRUCTURE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3735 9433 3724 9445 3709 9465 3706 9407
      3714 9407 3733 9407

$$

RUNNELS

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 102344
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
643 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

MOC097-102353-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0135.000000T0000Z-070611T0015Z/
JASPER MO-
643 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR JASPER COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND WERE NO LONGER
SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT MONDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3735 9433 3724 9445 3709 9465 3706 9407
      3714 9407 3733 9407

$$

CRAMER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 10, 6:15 PM CDT, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 10, 6:15 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
615 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE PRECIPITATION AND CHANCES FOR STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING
THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

.CURRENTLY...ATMOSPHERE WORKED OVER FROM THIS MORNINGS CONVECTION
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENTLY ALL CONVECTION ON RADAR IS OFF TO SOUTH
AND SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWING WEAK CAP AT 18Z
AT AROUND 3500 FEET. WITH AFTERNOON HEATING...THIS CAP SHOULD BREAK
HERE SHORTLY. WRF KEEPS LOW LEVEL CINS AROUND 100 J/KG ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH 21Z BEFORE WIPING OUT
ALTOGETHER AFTER THAT TIME ALLOWING FOR FREE CONVECTION TO BEGIN.
HAD AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THIS MORNINGS CONVECTION ACTUALLY
SWITCHED OUR WINDS TO THE NORTHEAST BOTH HERE AND OUT JOPLIN FOR
SEVERAL HOURS. ATMOSPHERE REALLY JUICED UP DOWN OVER SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS WITH DEWPOINTS AT 19Z IN THE LOW TO
MID 70S JUST ACROSS THE MISSOURI BORDER IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. NOT MUCH BY WAY OF LLVL JET THIS AFTERNOON. AS
BOTH NDSK AND CNWN 850MB WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 15KTS. DO NOT THINK
TORNADIC ACTIVITY WILL BE AN ISSUE TODAY...HOWEVER...SLOW MOVEMENT
OF STORMS WILL LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. WBZ HEIGHT FAVORABLE AS WELL
FOR SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL.

TONIGHT...UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST TO PUSH INTO
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTERACT WITH MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR
OVERNIGHT. GENERALLY WENT WITH HPC QPFS SHOWING WELL OVER AN INCH 6
HOURLY QPF THROUGH THE NIGHT. TROUGH PUSHES INTO EAST CENTRAL
MISSOURI OVERNIGHT WITH HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED. WILL ISSUE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH ACROSS OUR WESTERN ZONES FOR THIS EVENING AND THEN A
SEPARATE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR OUR EAST CENTRAL ZONES MONDAY
MORNING.

MONDAY...UPPER SYSTEM PUSHES OFF TO OUR EAST AND WE GENERALLY SEE
EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW MONDAY AFTERNOON. GENERALLY CUT OFF POPS
AFTER THAT TIME.

GCC

LONG RANGE...(WED - NEXT WEEKEND)

BLOCKY UPPER PATTERN TO REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD WITH
NORTH SOUTH ORIENTATED UPPER RIDGE THE DOMINANT FEATURE.  PACIFIC
SHORTWAVE TO BRIEFLY CLOSE OFF AS IT ENTERS WESTERN HIGH PLAINS
WEDNESDAY THEN STALL AND WEAKEN.  PWS TO REMAIN BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2
INCHES SO A FEW DAILY STORMS POSSIBLE...THOUGH H8 THETA E AXIS
REMAINS WEST OF SGF FORECAST AREA WITH CORFIDI VECTORS SHOWING
LITTLE EXPECT EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF ANY COMPLEXES...SO HAVE REDUCED
POPS TO 30S OVER THE WEST TO 20S EAST WED-THU MORNING AND 20 POPS OR
LESS THERE AFTER AS SYSTEM FAILS TO PUNCH ITS WAY INTO THE RIDGE.

MID WEEK TEMPERATURES WILL FIND THEMSELVES IN A SOMEWHAT RARE
SITUATION IN WHICH READINGS WILL BE COOLER TO THE WEST DUE TO CLOUDS
AND POSSIBLE TSRA...THEN CLIMATOLOGICALLY WARM REGION WIDE LATE IN
THE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEK END.

RUNNELS

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 00Z TAF PACKAGE...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS WESTERN
MISSOURI WILL BE MOVING INTO THE JOPLIN AIRPORT THE NEXT COUPLE
MINUTES AND WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. SHOULD SEE IFR
CONDITIONS AND STRONG WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 40KTS AT JLN. HEAVY RAIN
STILL ON TAP LATE THIS EVENING THAT WILL DROP CONDITIONS TO LOW MVFR
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

CLAYCOMB

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT THROUGH NOON FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST
AND CENTRAL MISSOURI.
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH NOON MONDAY.

WFO SGF

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 10, 4:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
445 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-111815-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
112 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  ISOLATED TORNADOES...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70
  MPH...LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM WARSAW TO MARSHFIELD TO BRANSON
  THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

  DISCUSSION:

  DAYTIME HEATING HAS BROKEN THE THERMAL CAP AND FREE CONVECTION IS
  ONGOING. THIS AIRMASS WILL BECOME EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AND SEVERE
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY. THE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH THESE STORMS
  WILL BE DAMAGING DOWN BURST WINDS...HOWEVER...A FEW OF THE MORE
  SEVERE STORMS MAY HAVE LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALLS. AN ISOLATED
  TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
  HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

 THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON AN AFTERNOON BASIS THROUGH NEXT
 SATURDAY. A RATHER STAGNANT WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
 MUCH OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP THE UNSTABLE AND HUMID AIRMASS
 ACROSS THE REGION. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SCATTERED IN
 NATURE...AND BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. A FEW
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING DOWN BURST WIND GUSTS CAN NOT BE
 RULED OUT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS
 AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI BY 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND FOR MUCH OF THE
 REST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY 6 PM THIS EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

CLAYCOMB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 10, 4:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
455 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     8 NW LAMAR              37.58N 94.38W
06/10/2007                   BARTON             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GCLAYCOM

Local storm report, Jun 10, 4:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
456 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 W LIBERAL             37.56N 94.57W
06/10/2007                   BARTON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            K HIGHWAY WEST OF LIBERAL UNDER WATER

&&

GCLAYCOM

Local storm report, Jun 10, 5:09 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
509 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             AVILLA                  37.20N 94.13W
06/10/2007  E1.00 INCH       JASPER             MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

GCLAYCOM

Local storm report, Jun 10, 5:27 PM CDT, 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
527 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 PM     TORNADO          2 NE ASBURY             37.29N 94.58W
06/10/2007                   JASPER             MO   PUBLIC

            TORNADO REPORTED AT PINE ROAD AND 290 ABOUT 2 MILES
            NORTHEAST OF ASBURY

&&

GAGAN

Local storm report, Jun 10, 5:28 PM CDT, 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
528 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     HAIL             NASHVILLE               37.37N 94.49W
06/10/2007  E2.75 INCH       BARTON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

GCLAYCOM

Local storm report, Jun 10, 5:40 PM CDT, 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
540 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PITTSBURG               37.41N 94.70W
06/10/2007                   CRAWFORD           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING IN CITY

&&

GCLAYCOM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 10, 6:14 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Morgan	6 hr
Jun 10, 7:58 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Vernon	6 hr
Jun 10, 1:36 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Ozark, Taney	6 hr
Jun 10, 3:46 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	SGF	Barry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 24 more	21 hr
Jun 10, 4:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Vernon	42 min
Jun 10, 4:08 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Barton, Vernon	67 min
Jun 10, 4:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Jasper	54 min
Jun 10, 4:49 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Barton	19 hr
Jun 10, 5:28 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Jasper	47 min
Jun 10, 5:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barton, Dade	61 min
Jun 10, 5:56 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Jasper	6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2007 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.