Flash Flood Warning 85, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS53 KSGF 110357
FFWSGF
MOC011-111100-
/X.EXT.KSGF.FF.W.0085.000000T0000Z-070611T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1055 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  BARTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 600 AM CDT MONDAY.

* AT 1054 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE      
  WARNED AREA. RADAR HAS ESTIMATED THAT PORTIONS OF THE WARNED AREA  
  HAS RECEIVED UP TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER THE AREA THIS         
  EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 0.50 TO 1 INCH WILL BE     
  POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
  LAMAR...VERDELLA...GOLDEN CITY AND LIBERAL.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO 
NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO 
ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN 
WATER BEGINS RISING.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
SPRINGFIELD.

LAT...LON 3764 9458 3763 9410 3737 9409 3733 9461

$$

WISE

000 
WGUS53 KSGF 111049
FFWSGF
MOC011-111700-
/X.EXT.KSGF.FF.W.0085.000000T0000Z-070611T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
547 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  BARTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL NOON CDT.

* AT 540 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
  WARNED AREA. SINCE SUNDAY EVENING...RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE EXCEEDED 
  SIX INCHES ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE 
  INCHES IS LIKELY THIS MORNING WITH RAINFALL RATES OF ONE INCH PER 
  HOUR. 

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
  LAMAR...VERDELLA...GOLDEN CITY AND LIBERAL.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF 
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN 
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3764 9458 3763 9410 3737 9409 3733 9461

$$

JLT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
245 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE PRECIPITATION AND CHANCES FOR STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING
THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

.CURRENTLY...ATMOSPHERE WORKED OVER FROM THIS MORNINGS CONVECTION
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENTLY ALL CONVECTION ON RADAR IS OFF TO SOUTH
AND SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWING WEAK CAP AT 18Z
AT AROUND 3500 FEET. WITH AFTERNOON HEATING...THIS CAP SHOULD BREAK
HERE SHORTLY. WRF KEEPS LOW LEVEL CINS AROUND 100 J/KG ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH 21Z BEFORE WIPING OUT
ALTOGETHER AFTER THAT TIME ALLOWING FOR FREE CONVECTION TO BEGIN.
HAD AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THIS MORNINGS CONVECTION ACTUALLY
SWITCHED OUR WINDS TO THE NORTHEAST BOTH HERE AND OUT JOPLIN FOR
SEVERAL HOURS. ATMOSPHERE REALLY JUICED UP DOWN OVER SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS WITH DEWPOINTS AT 19Z IN THE LOW TO
MID 70S JUST ACROSS THE MISSOURI BORDER IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. NOT MUCH BY WAY OF LLVL JET THIS AFTERNOON. AS
BOTH NDSK AND CNWN 850MB WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 15KTS. DO NOT THINK
TORNADIC ACTIVITY WILL BE AN ISSUE TODAY...HOWEVER...SLOW MOVEMENT
OF STORMS WILL LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. WBZ HEIGHT FAVORABLE AS WELL
FOR SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL.

TONIGHT...UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST TO PUSH INTO
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTERACT WITH MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR
OVERNIGHT. GENERALLY WENT WITH HPC QPFS SHOWING WELL OVER AN INCH 6
HOURLY QPF THROUGH THE NIGHT. TROUGH PUSHES INTO EAST CENTRAL
MISSOURI OVERNIGHT WITH HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED. WILL ISSUE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH ACROSS OUR WESTERN ZONES FOR THIS EVENING AND THEN A
SEPARATE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR OUR EAST CENTRAL ZONES MONDAY
MORNING.

MONDAY...UPPER SYSTEM PUSHES OFF TO OUR EAST AND WE GENERALLY SEE
EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW MONDAY AFTERNOON. GENERALLY CUT OFF POPS
AFTER THAT TIME.

GCC

LONG RANGE...(WED - NEXT WEEKEND)

BLOCKY UPPER PATTERN TO REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD WITH
NORTH SOUTH ORIENTATED UPPER RIDGE THE DOMINANT FEATURE.  PACIFIC
SHORTWAVE TO BRIEFLY CLOSE OFF AS IT ENTERS WESTERN HIGH PLAINS
WEDNESDAY THEN STALL AND WEAKEN.  PWS TO REMAIN BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2
INCHES SO A FEW DAILY STORMS POSSIBLE...THOUGH H8 THETA E AXIS
REMAINS WEST OF SGF FORECAST AREA WITH CORFIDI VECTORS SHOWING
LITTLE EXPECT EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF ANY COMPLEXES...SO HAVE REDUCED
POPS TO 30S OVER THE WEST TO 20S EAST WED-THU MORNING AND 20 POPS OR
LESS THERE AFTER AS SYSTEM FAILS TO PUNCH ITS WAY INTO THE RIDGE.

MID WEEK TEMPERATURES WILL FIND THEMSELVES IN A SOMEWHAT RARE
SITUATION IN WHICH READINGS WILL BE COOLER TO THE WEST DUE TO CLOUDS
AND POSSIBLE TSRA...THEN CLIMATOLOGICALLY WARM REGION WIDE LATE IN
THE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEK END.

RUNNELS

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE...MAY SEE A BREAK IN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS BEFORE CONVECTION BEGINS
AGAIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON FOR BOTH AIRFIELDS. HEAVIER RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE THIS EVENING THAT WILL DROP CONDITIONS
TO MVFR THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

CLAYCOMB

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
445 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-111815-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
112 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  ISOLATED TORNADOES...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70
  MPH...LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM WARSAW TO MARSHFIELD TO BRANSON
  THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

  DISCUSSION:

  DAYTIME HEATING HAS BROKEN THE THERMAL CAP AND FREE CONVECTION IS
  ONGOING. THIS AIRMASS WILL BECOME EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AND SEVERE
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY. THE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH THESE STORMS
  WILL BE DAMAGING DOWN BURST WINDS...HOWEVER...A FEW OF THE MORE
  SEVERE STORMS MAY HAVE LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALLS. AN ISOLATED
  TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
  HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

 THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON AN AFTERNOON BASIS THROUGH NEXT
 SATURDAY. A RATHER STAGNANT WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
 MUCH OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP THE UNSTABLE AND HUMID AIRMASS
 ACROSS THE REGION. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SCATTERED IN
 NATURE...AND BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. A FEW
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING DOWN BURST WIND GUSTS CAN NOT BE
 RULED OUT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS
 AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI BY 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND FOR MUCH OF THE
 REST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY 6 PM THIS EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

CLAYCOMB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
229 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

MOZ102-103-102030-
STONE MO-BARRY MO-
229 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR BARRY AND STONE COUNTIES UNTIL 330
PM CDT...

AT 225 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES EAST OF CASSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH.  PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM...WITH LARGER HAIL POSSIBLE SHOULD THIS STORM CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY.

ADDITIONAL STRONG STORMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER BARRY AND STONE
COUNTIES.

RESIDENTS ACROSS BARRY AND STONE COUNTIES SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
STORM DEVELOPMENT AND SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AS THE STORMS APPROACH.

RUNNELS