Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2007

Small Craft Advisory 948, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 11, 2007

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 11, 2007, 10:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 25 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Nov 11, 2007, 10:00 AM AKST (19:00 UTC)
Expired: Nov 12, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST
In force: 25 hr
Issued by: NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 120000
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AST SUN NOV 11 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 984 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD WILL DRIFT EAST TO 90 NM SOUTHWEST
OF YAKUTAT AS A 988 MB LOW MON AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING INLAND NEAR
GUSTAVUS MON NIGHT. A 982 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF PORT HEIDEN MONDAY
NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 65 NM NORTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY AS A 986 MB LOW TUE
AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ120-121500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
300 PM AST SUN NOV 11 2007

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.

.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-121500-
RESURRECTION BAY
300 PM AST SUN NOV 11 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-121500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
300 PM AST SUN NOV 11 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-121500-
PASSAGE CANAL
300 PM AST SUN NOV 11 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DECREASING TO VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-121500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
300 PM AST SUN NOV 11 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-121500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
300 PM AST SUN NOV 11 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-121500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
300 PM AST SUN NOV 11 2007

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-121500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
300 PM AST SUN NOV 11 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-121500-
KACHEMAK BAY
300 PM AST SUN NOV 11 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

4 follow-up statements

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 121257
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 987 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE EAST AND
DISSIPATE BY THIS AFTERNOON. A 980 MB LOW NEAR PORT HEIDEN TUE
MORNING WILL MOVE TO NEAR KING SALMON BY TUE AFTERNOON THEN TO 70 NM
SOUTHEAST OF BETHEL AT 985 MB BY LATE TUE NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-130300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-130300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-130300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-130300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-130300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-130300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-130300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-130300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-130300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 121721 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
820 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

UPDATED ZONES 125 129 130 132.

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 987 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE EAST AND
DISSIPATE BY THIS AFTERNOON. A 980 MB LOW NEAR PORT HEIDEN TUE
MORNING WILL MOVE TO NEAR KING SALMON BY TUE AFTERNOON THEN TO 70 NM
SOUTHEAST OF BETHEL AT 985 MB BY LATE TUE NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-130300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-130300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-130300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
820 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-130300-
PASSAGE CANAL
820 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-130300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
820 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 
FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-130300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
820 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-130300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-130300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-130300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 121855 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
820 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

CORRECTED ZONE 130.

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 987 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE EAST AND
DISSIPATE BY THIS AFTERNOON. A 980 MB LOW NEAR PORT HEIDEN TUE
MORNING WILL MOVE TO NEAR KING SALMON BY TUE AFTERNOON THEN TO 70 NM
SOUTHEAST OF BETHEL AT 985 MB BY LATE TUE NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-130300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-130300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-130300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
820 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-130300-
PASSAGE CANAL
820 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-130300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
820 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 
FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-130300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
820 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-130300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-130300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-130300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST MON NOV 12 2007

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 130101
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON NOV 12 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA MONDAY
NIGHT AND INTO THE EASTERN GULF TUESDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ120-131500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-131500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST MON NOV 12 2007

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-131500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-131500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST MON NOV 12 2007

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT LATE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ130-131500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-131500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-131500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-131500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-131500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST MON NOV 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 11, 12:00 AM AKST, 10 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 11, 12:00 AM AKST, 10 hours before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST SUN NOV 11 2007

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
GFS HAS BEEN RESONABLY CONSISTENT OUT TO AT LEAST 84 HOURS AND WAS
GENERALLY FOLLOWED FOR THE FORECAST. THE MAJOR GLOBAL MODELS AND GFS
ENSEMBLES ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 120 HOURS...AND THIS
GIVES A DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE TO THE FORECAST.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM IS WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA. A
WEAKENING LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST IS BARELY MOVING. A
BROAD WEAK RIDGE IS OVER THE BERING SEA WITH A DEEP POLAR LOW OVER
NORTHEAST SIBERIA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE GULF LOW WILL LINGER TODAY
FOR CONSIDERABLE AREAS OF CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS. AS THE SIBERIAN
LOW DROPS INTO THE BERING SEA ON MONDAY THE LOW WILL KICK OUT TO
THE EAST FOR A BRIEF BREAK IN SHOWERS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL...BUT
INCREASING RAIN AND SNOW OVER THE BERING SEA AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA.
AS THE LOW CONTINUES EAST ON TUESDAY CYCLONIC FLOW WILL ONCE AGAIN
DOMINATE THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE STATE FOR A MORE WARM...SHOWERY...
AND CLOUDY WEATHER.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE BERING SEA LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST SETTING UP WHAT
LOOKS LIKE A MAJOR GULF STORM LATER IN THE WEEK. THE UPPER LOW WILL
PULL COLD AIR OFF OF SIBERIA IN THE POLAR JET. THIS WILL CONSOLIDATE
WITH THE SUBTROPICAL JET...WHICH CURRENTLY HAS A STRONG TROPICAL
CONNECTION. INDEED...WHAT IS AT LEAST A TROPICAL STORM (POSSIBLY A
TYPHOON...I HAVE NOT HAD TIME TO EXPLORE THIS MORE FULLY) WILL GO
EXTRA-TROPICAL AND MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA AND UNDERGO
EXPLOSIVE CYCLOGENESIS AS IT INHALES THE SIBERIAN AIR. MANY ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS SHOW A SURFACE LOW IN THE 940S BY 18Z THURSDAY...AND THE 00Z
RUN OF THE GFS DROPS THE SURFACE LOW TO 937 MB. WITH THIS SORT OF
STRENGTH AND DEVELOPMENT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WOULD BE LIKELY.
EXACT TIMING AND LOCATION ARE STILL IN QUESTION OF COURSE...BUT A
MAJOR EVENT IS SHAPING UP FOR LATER IN THE WEEK SOMEWHERE IN THE
GULF.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 155 170 172 175 176 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

LUDWIG NOV 07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Nov 10, 5:06 PM AKST	Dense Fog Advisory	AFC	12 hr
Nov 10, 11:00 PM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	48 hr
Nov 10, 11:00 PM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	48 hr
Nov 10, 11:00 PM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	4 days
Nov 10, 11:00 PM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	12 hr
Nov 11, 11:00 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	12 hr
Nov 11, 11:00 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	48 hr
Nov 11, 11:00 AM AKST	Storm Warning	AFC	12 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2007 Every small craft advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.