Gale Warning 140, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 290658 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1000 PM AST SUN JAN 28 2007

UPDATED ZONES 120 AND 125

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-291500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 958 MB LOW OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC WILL MOVE NEAR DUTCH
HARBOR AND WEAKEN TO 974 MB MON EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA SUN NIGHT AND
WILL MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST MON EVENING. SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE GULF.

$$

PKZ120-291500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
1000 PM AST SUN JAN 28 2007

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-291500-
RESURRECTION BAY
930 PM AST SUN JAN 28 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E WIND 25 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT
SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SEAS 3 FT EXCEPT 7 FT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E WIND 30 KT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SEAS 4
FT EXCEPT 10 FT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-291500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SUN JAN 28 2007

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-291500-
PASSAGE CANAL
930 PM AST SUN JAN 28 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-291500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
930 PM AST SUN JAN 28 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...
    WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 50 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 17 FT. 
    EAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-291500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SUN JAN 28 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-291500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SUN JAN 28 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS SUBSIDING
TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-291500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
930 PM AST SUN JAN 28 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TONIGHT... 
    SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. RAIN.
    NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT IN ICE FREE
WATERS. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 15 KT NORTH OF KALGIN
ISLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. RAIN.
.TUE...E 20 KT INCREASING TO NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT IN
ICE FREE WATERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ141-291500-
KACHEMAK BAY
930 PM AST SUN JAN 28 2007

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 291247
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST MON JAN 29 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-300300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IN THE WEST WILL MOVE ONSHORE
ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST MON EVENING. SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL PERSIST
OVER THE GULF THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-300300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-300300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-300300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-300300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT TOWARD MORNING. RAIN. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-300300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-300300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-300300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-300300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.

.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-300300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST SUN JAN 28 2007

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODEL ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT BUT I THINK THE THE GFS IS A
LITTLE TOO DEEP ON THE LOW APPROACHING THE ALEUTIANS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

UPPER AIR...
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER WESTERN CANADA WILL PERSIST AND WILL BUILD
WESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND AND MAINLAND ALASKA TUESDAY. THE
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN CHAIN EXTENDS SOUTHWARD
INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THIS PATTERN WILL TRACKS THE STORMS OVER
THE NORTH PACIFIC NORTH AND NORTHWEST INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND INTO SOUTHERN BERING SEA OVER THE NEXT TWO TO THREE
DAYS. A SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC, GULF OF ALASKA AND
MAINLAND ALASKA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT WARM MOIST
AIR OVER MOST OF THE STATE.

AT SURFACE...
EAST DOMAIN...A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA AND NORTHERN
GULF WILL MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST BY LATE AFTERNOON
AND WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL INTERIOR THIS EVENING. RAIN
AND SNOW OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL
SLOWLY END FROM THE SOUTH TODAY. SNOW OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY WILL
DIMINISH THIS EVENING. OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN THIS EVENING.

ANOTHER WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO GULF MONDAY MORNING AND WILL
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST EARLY MONDAY EVENING. THE RAIN-SNOW
LINE WILL MOVE FURTHER NORTH BY THE TIME THE FRONT HITS THE COAST, SO
PRECIPITATION WILL BE RAIN ALONG THE COAST, KENAI PENINSULA, SOUTHERN
SUSITNA VALLEY AND PARTS OF THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. A COMBINATION OF
RAIN AND SNOW WILL FALL OVER THE NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY AND COPPER
RIVER BASIN.

A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD ALONG THE GULF COAST BEHIND THE SECOND
FRONT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AND WILL INTENSIFY THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUTH AND THE KENAI PENINSULA. GUSTY
WINDS WILL DEVELOP ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM AND OTHER CHANNELED TERRAIN
LATE MONDAY.

WEST DOMAIN...
A SERIES OF STRONG STORMS WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OUT OF THE CENTRAL
NORTH PACIFIC AND INTO THE BERING SEA. THE FIRST STORM IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MONDAY EVENING THEN DISSIPATE SOUTH
OF THE PRIBILOFS MONDAY NIGHT. A SECOND STORM WILL TRACK A LITTLE
FURTHER WEST AND WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TUESDAY
NIGHT. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL STORM FORCE GUSTS WILL ACCOMPANY BOTH OF
THE STORMS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FLOOD WARNING ZONE 121
MARINE...STORM 130 138
         GALE 120 125 132 140 150 155 160 165 172 176 180 185
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

NM JAN 07