Storm Warning 26, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 300121 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON JAN 29 2007

CORRECTED ZONE 140

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-301500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IN THE WEST WILL MOVE ONSHORE
ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST MON EVENING. OTHERWISE SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE GULF THROUGH WED. 

$$

PKZ120-301500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-301500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST MON JAN 29 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-301500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-301500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST MON JAN 29 2007

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-301500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING S WIND 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-301500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-301500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-301500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-301500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST MON JAN 29 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST SUN JAN 28 2007

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODEL ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT BUT I THINK THE THE GFS IS A
LITTLE TOO DEEP ON THE LOW APPROACHING THE ALEUTIANS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

UPPER AIR...
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER WESTERN CANADA WILL PERSIST AND WILL BUILD
WESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND AND MAINLAND ALASKA TUESDAY. THE
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN CHAIN EXTENDS SOUTHWARD
INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THIS PATTERN WILL TRACKS THE STORMS OVER
THE NORTH PACIFIC NORTH AND NORTHWEST INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND INTO SOUTHERN BERING SEA OVER THE NEXT TWO TO THREE
DAYS. A SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC, GULF OF ALASKA AND
MAINLAND ALASKA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT WARM MOIST
AIR OVER MOST OF THE STATE.

AT SURFACE...
EAST DOMAIN...A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA AND NORTHERN
GULF WILL MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST BY LATE AFTERNOON
AND WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL INTERIOR THIS EVENING. RAIN
AND SNOW OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL
SLOWLY END FROM THE SOUTH TODAY. SNOW OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY WILL
DIMINISH THIS EVENING. OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN THIS EVENING.

ANOTHER WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO GULF MONDAY MORNING AND WILL
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST EARLY MONDAY EVENING. THE RAIN-SNOW
LINE WILL MOVE FURTHER NORTH BY THE TIME THE FRONT HITS THE COAST, SO
PRECIPITATION WILL BE RAIN ALONG THE COAST, KENAI PENINSULA, SOUTHERN
SUSITNA VALLEY AND PARTS OF THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. A COMBINATION OF
RAIN AND SNOW WILL FALL OVER THE NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY AND COPPER
RIVER BASIN.

A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD ALONG THE GULF COAST BEHIND THE SECOND
FRONT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AND WILL INTENSIFY THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUTH AND THE KENAI PENINSULA. GUSTY
WINDS WILL DEVELOP ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM AND OTHER CHANNELED TERRAIN
LATE MONDAY.

WEST DOMAIN...
A SERIES OF STRONG STORMS WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OUT OF THE CENTRAL
NORTH PACIFIC AND INTO THE BERING SEA. THE FIRST STORM IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MONDAY EVENING THEN DISSIPATE SOUTH
OF THE PRIBILOFS MONDAY NIGHT. A SECOND STORM WILL TRACK A LITTLE
FURTHER WEST AND WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TUESDAY
NIGHT. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL STORM FORCE GUSTS WILL ACCOMPANY BOTH OF
THE STORMS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FLOOD WARNING ZONE 121
MARINE...STORM 130 138
         GALE 120 125 132 140 150 155 160 165 172 176 180 185
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

NM JAN 07