Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 355, NWS Tulsa, OK

July 10, 2006Mayes County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 10, 2006, 5:44 PM CDT for Mayes County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 31 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 10, 2006, 5:44 PM CDT (22:44 UTC)
Expired: Jul 10, 2006, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 31 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Mayes County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 388 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -85 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1028 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 171 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 267 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 4.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KTSA 102244
SVRTSA
OKC097-102315-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0355.060710T2244Z-060710T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
544 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 540 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CHOUTEAU...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...PRYOR.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3630 9545 3615 9543 3625 9513 3643 9528

$$

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 102307
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
607 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

OKC097-102317-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0355.000000T0000Z-060710T2315Z/
MAYES OK-
607 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MAYES COUNTY EXPIRES AT 615 PM
CDT...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3630 9545 3615 9543 3625 9513 3643 9528

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 10, 2:56 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 2:56 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
256 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HEATING AND A MOIST ATMOSPERE HAS RESULTED IN SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN AND THE POSSIBILITY OF WET MICROBURSTS LASTING INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. WENT WITH AREAL WORDING FOR THIS EVENING.

APPRARENTLY ONCE AGAIN THE GFS BLOWS SOMETHING UP FOR TONIGHT. DO
NOT QUITE BELIEVE IT BUT HAVE KEPT POPS GOING FOR THE REMAINDER
TONIGHT IN CASE SOMETHING DOES HAPPEN. THE WRF DOES HINT AT SOME
SORT OF MCS ACROSS THE NORTH. IT DOES THAT AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT BUT
THE TREND IN THE DATA IS FOR IT TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE
AREA. THUS...HAVE ONLY GONE WITH LOW POPS.

A BOUNDARY WHICH WILL LIKELY BE NEAR THE KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA
BORDER MAY FOCUS ACTIVITY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AGAIN
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE WITH NO RELIEF IN SIGHT.
ANY SIGNIFICANT RAIN CHANCES WILL END WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR
EVENING. COULD BE ISOLATED AFTERNOON CONVECTION AFTER THAT BUT
CHANCES ARE SLIM ENOUGH TO LEAVE OUT OF THE FORECAST. ALL THE
SIGNIFANCT FLOW IN THE ATMOSPHERE RETREATS TO CANADA MAKING
ORGANIZED STORMS UNLIKELY AND MAKING ABOVE NORMAL TEMEPRATURES
LIKELY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   79  95  78  95 /  50  30  30  20
FSM   74  94  74  95 /  50  30  20  10
MLC   77  95  75  97 /  50  20  10  10
BVO   74  95  70  95 /  50  40  40  20
FYV   73  89  71  91 /  50  40  20  20
BYV   72  89  71  91 /  50  40  30  20
MKO   74  92  74  94 /  50  30  20  20
MIO   74  92  74  92 /  50  40  40  20
F10   76  94  76  96 /  50  20  20  20
HHW   78  96  76  97 /  50  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM FORECASTER ID= 18
LONG TERM FORECASTER ID= 17

ABBAS

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 10, 1:17 PM CDT, 4 hours 27 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
117 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-111000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1253 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON. LASTING INTO EARLY EVENING.

        AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON. LASTING INTO THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON A BOUNDARY WAS NEAR THE NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
KANSAS STATE LINE. TROPICAL MOISTURE AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S
OVER ALL OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
REGION WIDE. DAMAGING WET MICROBURST WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR AREAS
IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO OCCUR IN THE TROPICAL AIRMASS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN ISOLATED AREAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST INTO MID WEEK IN OUR
UNUSUALLY MOIST ENVIRONMENT. AN UPPER RIDGE AND CONTINUED
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PROVIDE TEMPERATURE IN THE UPPER 90S
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 10, 4:21 PM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
421 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 PM     HAIL             5 S BRISTOW             35.76N 96.39W
07/10/2006  E0.88 INCH       CREEK              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

NMK

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 4:31 PM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
431 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

OKZ065-102230-
OKFUSKEE OK-
431 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     OKFUSKEE

AT 431 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF BOLEY...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. A LARGE PORTION OF
OKFUSKEE COUNTY WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS THROUGH 530 PM CDT.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 5:13 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
513 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

OKZ054-055-059-102300-
OSAGE OK-PAWNEE OK-WASHINGTON OK-
513 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     OSAGE...WASHINGTON AND NORTHERN PAWNEE

AT 513 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RALSTON TO 4 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF AVANT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...PAWHUSKA...HOMINY...AVANT...
WYNONA...WOLCO...FAIRFAX...BARNSDALL...PERSHING...TALLANT...
NELAGONEY...OKESA...RAMONA...OCHELATA AND RALSTON.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

Local storm report, Jul 10, 5:25 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
525 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0431 PM     TSTM WND GST     BEGGS                   35.74N 96.07W
07/10/2006  E60 MPH          OKMULGEE           OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

NMK

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 5:30 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
530 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

OKZ061-062-102315-
MAYES OK-ROGERS OK-
530 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     ROGERS AND MAYES

AT 530 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES
NORTH OF INOLA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL
BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...INOLA...TIAWAH...PRYOR...SALINA
AND ADAIR.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 5:35 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
535 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

OKZ067-070-102300-
MUSKOGEE OK-WAGONER OK-
535 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WAGONER

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     MUSKOGEE

AT 535 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BOYNTON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CHOSKA...TULLAHASSEE...
PORTER...OKAY...REDBIRD...MUSKOGEE...WAINWRIGHT...BOYNTON...
JAMESVILLE...TAFT AND HASKELL.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 10, 12:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Ottawa	33 min
Jul 10, 2:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Nowata	29 min
Jul 10, 4:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek	30 min
Jul 10, 4:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Tulsa	24 min
Jul 10, 4:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage	56 min
Jul 10, 4:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okmulgee	27 min
Jul 10, 4:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okfuskee	46 min
Jul 10, 4:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okmulgee	65 min
Jul 10, 5:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage	53 min
Jul 10, 6:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee	41 min
Jul 10, 6:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair	36 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.