Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 337, NWS Raleigh, NC

July 19, 2006Warren County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 19, 2006, 4:09 PM EDT for Warren County, North Carolina. It was in force for 51 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 19, 2006, 4:09 PM EDT (20:09 UTC)
Expired: Jul 19, 2006, 5:00 PM EDT
In force: 51 min
Issued by: NWS Raleigh, NC
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Warren County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 153 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 662 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -89 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1045 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -12 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 19, 2:51 PM EDT, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 2:51 PM EDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
251 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2006

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...

STRONG STORMS POPPED UP IN THE WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CWFA. WILL BE UPPING POPS THROUGH THE EVENING. LINGERING
NOISE IN MODEL OUTPUT PRODUCE SPURRIOUS BULLSEYES OVER CENTRAL CWFA
OVERNIGHT...BUT WITH CONVECTION BEING DIURNALLY DRIVEN...WILL HOLD
OFF ON POPS UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND EAST
ACROSS THE AREA...DEFLECTING SHORT WAVE ENERGY NORTH OF THE
AREA...BUT CONTINUING THE WARM TREND. MEANWHILE...THE BERMUDA HIGH
REASSERTS ITSELF WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW BEING REESTABLISHED AHEAD OF
THE APPROACHING FRONT. DIURNAL POP CHANCE FOR TSRA AGAIN FRIDAY AND
CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND. TEMPS 90 TO 95 BOTH THU AND FRI.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

UPPER TROUGH SLIDING OVER EASTERN CONUS OVER THE WEEKEND. MODELS
DIFFER ON AMPLIFICATION OF EAST COAST TROUGH...GFS MORE AMPLIFIED
THAN NAM. OTHER MEDIUM RANGE MODELS LEAN TOWARD GFS CAMP. AT THE
SURFACE...COLD FRONT MOVES INTO SOUTHEAST MID ATLC LATE SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY. THUS SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE BEST CHANCE FOR CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY. HAVE MODIFIED HPC GUIDANCE AND KEPT IN THE CHANCE
CATEGORY. THINK GFS MAY BE TOO FAST ON MOVING FRONT THROUGH ON
SUNDAY. CONTINUE MENTION OF MAINLY DIURNAL CONVECTION THROUGH THE
FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES AROUND OR COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...EXCEPT SLIGHTLY BELOW SUNDAY WITH MORE CLOUDS AND BETTER
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...

SCATTERED CU FIELD INCREASING AS AFTERNOON PROGRESSES ESPECIALLY
EAST/SOUTHEAST SECTIONS. SCT LAYERS 5-6KFT. VSBYS GENERALLY
UNRESTRICTED EXCEPT VSBYS 4-6 MI HAZE FAY VICINITY. ISOLATED
SHOWERS...POSSIBLY THUNDER DEVELOPING BRIEFLY LOWERING CIGS 4-5KFT.
WILL MENTION CB AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH 00Z. PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING
ALL SITES 09Z THROUGH 13Z...OCNLY LOWERING VSBYS 3-5 MILES EXCEPT
POTENTIAL IFR CONDITIONS RWI/FAY SITES. SCATTERED CU AROUND 5KFT
DEVELOPING ALL TAF SITES BY END OF TAF PERIOD.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...MLM
LONG TERM...RA
AVIATION...RA

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 19, 5:55 AM EDT, 10 hours 14 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
555 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2006

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-201000-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
555 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

BERYL IS NOT A PLAYER IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA WEATHER. A FEW
EASTERN LOCATIONS WILL SEE HEAT INDICES OF 100 TO 103 FOR A FEW
HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 19, 2:21 PM EDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
221 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     TSTM WND DMG     STEM                    36.20N 78.72W
07/19/2006                   GRANVILLE          NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            DEPARTMENT OF HIGHWAYS REPORTED TREES DOWN AND BLOCKING
            ROADS IN STEM AND CORNWALL.

&&

REU

Local storm report, Jul 19, 2:49 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jul 19, 3:30 PM EDT, 39 minutes before

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</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
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        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
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Local storm report, Jul 19, 3:36 PM EDT, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
336 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BUTNER                  36.14N 78.77W
07/19/2006                   GRANVILLE          NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ON SR 56.

&&

MWS

Local storm report, Jul 19, 3:44 PM EDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
344 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0338 PM     HAIL             6 SE BETHEL HILL        36.44N 78.80W
07/19/2006  E0.75 INCH       PERSON             NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED ON SR 49 NEAR MAYO LAKE.

&&

MWS

Local storm report, Jul 19, 3:46 PM EDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
346 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ROBBINS                 35.43N 79.58W
07/19/2006                   MOORE              NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN IN ROBBINS.

&&

MWS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 19, 1:54 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Granville	51 min
Jul 19, 2:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Durham, Wake	61 min
Jul 19, 2:34 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Richmond	41 min
Jul 19, 2:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Moore	60 min
Jul 19, 3:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Granville, Person	52 min
Jul 19, 3:24 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Anson	51 min
Jul 19, 3:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Chatham	48 min
Jul 19, 3:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Vance	49 min
Jul 19, 4:07 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett	38 min
Jul 19, 4:17 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Chatham	23 min
Jul 19, 4:32 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Richmond	43 min
Jul 19, 5:01 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Hoke	44 min
Jul 19, 5:05 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Halifax	40 min
Jul 19, 5:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Nash	50 min
Jul 19, 5:33 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Moore	27 min
Jul 19, 5:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Hoke	30 min
Jul 19, 5:52 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Guilford	38 min
Jul 19, 5:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Nash	32 min
Jul 19, 6:31 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Guilford	32 min
Jul 19, 6:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Johnston	34 min
Jul 19, 7:15 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Johnston	26 min
Jul 19, 7:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Forsyth	40 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.