Severe Thunderstorm Warning 221, NWS Indianapolis, IN

000 
WWUS53 KIND 192017
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
417 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

INC005-192030-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0221.000000T0000Z-060619T2030Z/
BARTHOLOMEW-
417 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM EDT
FOR WESTERN BARTHOLOMEW COUNTY...

AT 414 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF 
CLIFFORD...OR ABOUT 19 MILES EAST OF COLUMBUS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 
25 MPH.

.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3927 8589 3912 8602 3908 8582 3933 8582

$$

JK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
220 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

.DISCUSSION...UPPR TROF CURRENTLY OVR THE GRTLKS XPCTD TO SWING SEWD
THRU THE LOCAL AREA THIS EVEN. AFTER THAT...RDGG WL BLD THRU THE TN
VLY...LEAVING AREA ALONG THE SRN EDGE OF THE WESTERLIES AND PRONE TO
PERIODIC TSTM COMPLEXES. MODELS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT OVERALL.
FCST FOCUS CENTERS ON POPS.

IN THE NR TERM...OTHER THAN TSTM CLUSTER OVR THE CENTRAL PARTS OF
THE CWA...NOT MUCH GOING ON ELSEWHERE YET. TSTMS STILL APPEAR
ELEVATED SO FAR...BUT CONVECTIVE TEMPS SOUTH OF PRESENT ACTVTY JUST
ABOUT REACHED...SO ADDITIONAL SFC DVLPMNT LIKELY SOON. BASED ON
VARIOUS PARAMETERS...APPEARS BEST THREAT OF SVR SHOULD BE
ALONG/SOUTH OF CURRENT ACTVTY AS DEWPTS ARE FALLING OFF OVR THE NWRN
CWA. ADDITIONAL ACTVTY PSBL ALONG UPPR TROF AXIS CURRENTLY DROPPING
SEWD THRU SRN WI/NW IL AS WELL. ALL IN ALL...UPPR TROF PUSHES SEWD
OF THE AREA BY ABOUT 200300Z OR SO...SO PCPN THREAT SHOULD END BY
THAT TIME. WS510 IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE CWA TIL 200000Z.

IN THE LTR PDS...SFC FNT SETTLES SWD INTO THE AREA ON TUES...AND
MEANDERS AROUND IN ONE FORM OR ANOTHER FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
INSTABILITY PROGGED TO BE QUITE HIGH BY TUES AFT...ESPECIALLY OVR
THE SW ZONES...ALONG WITH STEEP MID LVL LAPSE RATES ABV. WL BRING IN
CHC POPS BY THE AFT HRS ALL AREAS...WITH THE HIGHEST POPS SW. WL
BROADBRUSH CHC POPS ALL AREAS INTO WED AS WELL AS OVERALL PTN POINTS
TO POTENTIAL TSTM COMPLEXES NEARBY FM TIME TO TIME.

LO LVL THICKNESSES AND TRAJECTORIES SUGGEST THE NGM MOS GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO BE TOO COOL...ESPECIALLY WITH THE HIGHS IN THR LTR PDS.
WL BUMP UP THE NUMBERS IN THOSE PDS.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR 191800Z TAFS...MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM WILL BE
THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THE FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL INDIANA THIS EVENING. OUTSIDE OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR
WAS OVER INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON. MVFR WITH ISOLATED IFR CONDITIONS
IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 00Z. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
MAY HAVE WIND GUSTS OVER 50 KTS AND 3/4 INCH HAIL. MORE STABLE
CONDITIONS WILL MOVE IN AFTER FROPA AND WITH SUNSET THIS EVENING.
DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN LIMITING FOG FORMATION TO MVFR LEVELS AROUND
SUNRISE.

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

AVIATION...HAINES
PUBLIC...JAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
445 AM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

...CORRECT TYPO IN SPOTTER STATEMENT...

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-200845-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
345 AM CDT MON JUN 19 2006 /445 AM EDT MON JUN 19 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE WILL BE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL
INDIANA. STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE THIS MORNING.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FIRST ACROSS NORTHERN INDIANA THIS
AFTERNOON AND MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL INDIANA LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING. STORMS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. THE
BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE AFTER 4 PM EDT (3 PM CDT)
THIS AFTERNOON.

PRIMARY THREATS FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WILL BE DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL IN ADDITION TO
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A VERY ACTIVE PATTERN FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK.
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EVERY DAY FROM TUESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. WHILE IT REMAINS TOO EARLY TO KNOW MANY
DETAILS ON THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...WEDNESDAY APPEARS TO
BE THE DAY THAT STORMS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY TO REACH SEVERE LIMITS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AFTER 4 PM EDT (3 PM CDT) THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

LJ/PG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
255 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0241 PM     HAIL             9 NW SPENCER            39.38N 86.89W
06/19/2006  E0.75 INCH       OWEN               IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            EST. WIND GUST 50MPH

&&

SMITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
256 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0252 PM     HAIL             9 N SPENCER             39.42N 86.77W
06/19/2006  E0.75 INCH       OWEN               IN   PUBLIC

&&

SMITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
304 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0258 PM     HAIL             3 W GOSPORT             39.35N 86.72W
06/19/2006  E1.00 INCH       OWEN               IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SMITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
312 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0257 PM     HAIL             10 SW CLOVERDALE        39.42N 86.93W
06/19/2006  E2.00 INCH       OWEN               IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            EST. WIND GUST 65 MPH

&&

SMITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
317 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     HAIL             GOSPORT                 39.35N 86.67W
06/19/2006  E1.75 INCH       OWEN               IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0309 PM     HAIL             MARTINSVILLE            39.42N 86.42W
06/19/2006  E0.75 INCH       MORGAN             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0312 PM     HAIL             MARTINSVILLE            39.42N 86.42W
06/19/2006  E1.00 INCH       MORGAN             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0311 PM     HAIL             6 N SPENCER             39.37N 86.77W
06/19/2006  E1.00 INCH       OWEN               IN   CO-OP OBSERVER

0200 PM     TSTM WND DMG     10 NW SHELBYVILLE       39.63N 85.91W
06/19/2006                   SHELBY             IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MANY TREES DOWN

&&

SMITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
349 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 PM     HAIL             ELLETTSVILLE            39.23N 86.62W
06/19/2006  E1.25 INCH       MONROE             IN   AMATEUR RADIO

0313 PM     TSTM WND DMG     9 WSW SHELBYVILLE       39.47N 85.93W
06/19/2006                   SHELBY             IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN MANILLA AND HOMER

0313 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 S SHELBYVILLE         39.41N 85.78W
06/19/2006                   SHELBY             IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN MILROY

&&

SMITH