Flash Flood Warning 22, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 310819
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
418 AM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

NCC179-310930-
UNION NC-
418 AM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 AM EDT FOR
EASTERN UNION COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...

AT 415 AM EDT...THUNDERSTORMS HAD MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA AND 
WERE AFFECTING THE WESTERN PART OF THE COUNTY. LIGHT TO MODERATE 
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTH ACROSS THE EASTERN PART 
OF UNION COUNTY THROUGH 5 AM. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP 
AT ANY TIME.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO 
MONROE...WINGATE...AND NEW SALEM.

RADAR ESTIMATED THAT NEARLY 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN FELL ACROSS THE 
DRAINAGE OF RICHARDSON CREEK IN THE AREA NEAR AND BETWEEN MONROE AND 
WINGATE.  AS THE RUNOFF FROM THIS HEAVY RAINFALL MOVES DOWN 
RICHARDSON CREEK...IT WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND 
STREAMS THAT FEED INTO RICHARDSON CREEK...COUNTRY ROADS THAT CROSS 
IT...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODING. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE YOUR CAR ACROSS A 
BRIDGE OR LOW SPOT WHERE WATER IS MOVING ACROSS THE ROAD. IT ONLY 
TAKES SIX INCHES OF MOVING WATER TO SWEEP A VEHICLE OFF THE ROAD.

IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND 
TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING 
WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 3517 8052 3490 8059 3486 8032 3518 8028

$$

MOORE

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 310927
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
524 AM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

NCC179-310934-
UNION NC-
524 AM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 530 AM EDT FOR EASTERN
UNION COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...

RAIN HAS ENDED FOR THE TIME BEING ACROSS THE EASTERN PART OF UNION 
COUNTY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE LEVELS IN CREEKS AND STREAMS TO GO 
DOWN BEFORE THE NEXT ROUND OF RAINFALL ARRIVES...PROBABLY AROUND 
SUNRISE. 

THE WATER LEVEL IN RICHARDSON CREEK...AND STREAMS THAT FLOW INTO 
IT...WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THE MORNING. 

IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN MOVES INTO UNION COUNTY...FLOODING COULD 
DEVELOP RAPIDLY AS WATER RUNS OFF THE SATURATED SOIL. 

LAT...LON 3517 8052 3490 8059 3486 8032 3518 8028

$$

MOORE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1000 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006

.SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/...
STRONG CONVECTION DIMINISHED EARLIER THIS EVE BUT STILL EXPECT
LIKELY POPS OVERNIGHT WITH DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND INCREASING
UPSLOPE FLOW. TWEAKED TEMP...WIND AND POP GRIDS TO REFLECT LATEST
OBSERVED AND FORECAST TRENDS. LITTLE CHANGE TO ZONE FORECAST BUT
WILL UPDATE AREA AND POINT FORECAST MATRICES SHOWING HOURLY ADJUSTMENTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
 /ISSUED 714 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006/

SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/...
WILL DO A QUICK ZONE FORECAST UPDATE DUE TO CANCELLATION OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH 759.

PREV DISCUSSION...
 /ISSUED 251 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS YESTERDAY...SKIES CLEARED AND STRONG HEATING DEVELOPED PUSHING
CAPES INTO THE 3000 J/KG RANGE. EVEN WITH THE MOIST ATMOSPHERE
DOWNDRAFT CAPES HAVE INCREASED TO AROUND 800 J/KG. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALREADY IN PLACE. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR
SHORT TERM FLOODING AS WELL.

LIKELY COVERAGE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT...WITH WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OVER THE BLUE RIDGE AND
NORTHERN TIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. COULD BE SOME POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN
LATE TONIGHT AS ERNESTO APPROACHES. HOWEVER...BEST RAIN HOLDS OFF
UNTIL LATER. SHOULD BE ANOTHER VERY WARM NIGHT WITH PRECIP...CLOUDS
AND DEW POINTS HELPING TO KEEP TEMPS UP.

AN UPPER LOW SOUTH OF LAKE MICHIGAN AND A RIDGE IN THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC WILL DIRECT FLOW ALOFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS THROUGH SATURDAY. TROPICAL SYSTEM ERNESTO IS FORECAST
BY THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE CENTRAL
SOUTH CAROLINA COAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON. EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE AN UPSLOPE COMPONENT THURSDAY
ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA BLUE RIDGE ESCARPMENT...WHILE PRONOUNCES
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE WILL MAKE ITS WAY NORTH ALONG THE INTERSTATE
77 CORRIDOR. BY THURSDAY NIGHT DOWNSLOPE FLOW ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA...
SPREADING ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTION BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE BEST
CHANCES OF RAIN WILL BE ALONG INTERSTATE 77 AND THE NORTH CAROLINA
BLUE RIDGE...WHERE THE HIGHEST QPF WILL BE CARRIED AS WELL. BY
FRIDAY ONLY CHANCE POPS WILL BE CARRIED...WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS IN A NORTHWEST
FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF ERNESTO. THIS FLOW CONTINUES INTO
SATURDAY...BUT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE...POPS AND QPF WILL BE RATHER
LOW.

AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT QPF WILL BE A BIT LOWER THAN EARLIER
ESTIMATES DUE TO THE TRACK OF ERNESTO BEING A BIT FARTHER EAST THAN
YESTERDAY. EVEN SO...TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN IS A GOOD BET EAST
OF INTERSTATE 77...AND AN OUTLOOK STATEMENT WILL BE REISSUED THIS
AFTERNOON STATING SUCH.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CLOSE OFF OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS SATURDAY
NIGHT...THEN MOVES SLOWLY SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH TUESDAY...BEFORE
OPENING UP AND LIFTING OUT TO THE NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY. A PAIR OF
WEAKENING SURFACE FRONTS WILL AFFECT THE AREA DURING THE EXTENDED
FOREACST...ONE THAT MOVES TO THE COAST PLAIN BEFORE UNDERGOING
FRONTOLYSIS AS IT REACHES THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. ALTHOUGH
SURFACE MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO DECREASE IN THE WAKE OF THESE
SYSTEMS...WITH SOUTHWEST UPPER LOW OVER THRE AREA ON THE EAST SIDE
OF THE MIDWEST LOW...AND LOW LEVEL CONVEGENCE NEAR THE BOUNDARIES...
LOW CHANCE POPS ARE JUSTIFIED ROUND THE CLOCK FOR MUCH OF PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES WILL MEANDER EITHER SIDE OF NORMAL AS THE FRONTS MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA.

AVIATION...
AS YESTERDAY...RAPID CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ONGOING. HAVE VCTS AND
LOW VFR CIGS AT ALL SITES AND WILL AMEND AS NECESSARY. WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED TO SEE CELLS AFFECT ALL SITES THIS AFTERNOON. STRENGTH OF
CONVECTION SHOULD DIMINISH WITH LOSS OF HEATING. HOWEVER...COVERAGE
WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE NIGHT. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO BEGIN TO
DETERIORATE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS FLOW BECOMES NORTHEASTERLY AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT INCREASES AHEAD ERNESTO. ALL LOCATIONS HAVE A PERIOD
OF IFR AROUND SUNRISE...THEN IMPROVING TO MVFR BY LATE MORNING. THE
EXCEPTION IS KAVL WHERE IFR CIGS LINGER. BEST WINDS DEVELOP OUTSIDE
OF THE 18Z TAF TIME WITH RESTRICTIONS LIKELY TO CONTINUE.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...RB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
540 AM EDT WED AUG 30 2006

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-310945-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-
CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
540 AM EDT WED AUG 30 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY. THE COVERAGE OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INCREASE TONIGHT. A FEW OF STORMS MAY RESULT IN A QUICK INCH OR
MORE OF RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND REMAIN THROUGH THE
DAYTIME ON THURSDAY. BY FRIDAY MORNING...RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY
RANGE FROM 2 INCHES OVER THE EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TO 2-3 INCHES AND AREAS OF 4 INCHES ALONG AND
EAST OF INTERSTATE 77. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK (ESFGSP)
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER REPORTS OF FLOODING OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DAMAGE WOULD
BE APPRECIATE. ALSO...PLEASE REPORT ANY RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER
THAN 3 INCHES.

NED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1002 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ABBEVILLE               34.18N 82.38W
08/30/2006                   ABBEVILLE          SC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            COUNTY COMMS REPORTED TREES AND LIMBS DOWN ON POWER LINES
            ON HARRISBURG STREET

&&

LANE