Storm Warning 23, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 230332 CCA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
630 PM AST SUN JAN 22 2006

CORRECTED AREA 138

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 987 MB LOW OVER WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND MOVES TO 130 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SITKA AND WEAKENS TO 1013 MB TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ120-231500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SUN JAN 22 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-231500-
RESURRECTION BAY
410 PM AST SUN JAN 22 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-231500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
410 PM AST SUN JAN 22 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
40 KT IN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-231500-
PASSAGE CANAL
410 PM AST SUN JAN 22 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-231500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
410 PM AST SUN JAN 22 2006

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-231500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
410 PM AST SUN JAN 22 2006

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
28 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-231500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
630 PM AST SUN JAN 22 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-231500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SUN JAN 22 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND...NW WIND 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 8
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE ...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-231500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SUN JAN 22 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 231304
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST MON JAN 23 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1008 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 200 NM SOUTH OF
CORDOVA MONDAY NIGHT AND DISSIPATE.
$$

PKZ120-240300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON JAN 23 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-240300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST MON JAN 23 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-240300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON JAN 23 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-240300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON JAN 23 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-240300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST MON JAN 23 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-240300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON JAN 23 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-240300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON JAN 23 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-240300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON JAN 23 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT EXTREME SOUTHERN COOK INLET. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY EXTREME SOUTHERN COOK INLET.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-240300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST MON JAN 23 2006

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST SUN JAN 22 2006

.DISCUSSION...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND HAVE REASONABLE FORECAST
TRENDS IN THE EASTERN DOMAIN. MODELS DIFFER SOMEWHAT ON HANDLING OF
SERIES OF INTENSE LOWS NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. GFS WILL BE USED
IN FORECAST PACKAGES.

.EAST...LOW CENTER WHICH BROUGHT SNOW TO MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL/NORTH
GULF OVERNIGHT HAS NOW MOVED TO NEAR MONTAGUE ISLAND AND IS
WEAKENING. EXPECT CENTER TO MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA MON
NIGHT. STRONG COLD ADVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN INLET AND INTO
KACHEMAK BAY IS PRODUCING BRISK WINDS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOWS OVER
KACHEMAK BAY. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN BLOWING SNOW OVER KACHEMAK BAY
WILL SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AS WINDS DIMINISH. SNOW OVER REMAINDER OF
SOUTHCENTRAL WILL TAPER OFF TONIGHT WITH PASSAGE OF UPPER CENTER.
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL CONTINUE INTO MON
MORNING. N/S DEVELOPING PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
WILL PRODUCE STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS MON AND TUES.

.WEST...RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA...AK PEN...AND SW
ALASKA TUE MORNING. SERIES OF INTENSE LOWS MOVE NEAR THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS AND SPREAD ALTERNATE PERIODS OF STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS OVER
THE REGION. EASTERN MOST CENTER MOVES OVER SHEMYA TUE MORNING.
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL TROUGH SPREADS STRONG SE WINDS TO EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND PRIBILOFS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING ZONE 121. HIGH WIND WARNING ZONE 191.
         NUMEROUS ADVISORIES.
MARINE...NUMEROUS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAYS...STORMS...AND GALES. SEE
LATEST PACKAGES FOR DETAILS.

RMC JAN 06