Storm Warning 134, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 141203 CCA
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

CORRECT ZONE 165

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-150200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 988 MB LOW 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR EARLY THU MORNING WILL
MOVE TO 60 NM NORTHWEST OF COLD BAY THU NIGHT AT 989 MB AND REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH FRI NIGHT. A 992 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 360 NM
SOUTH OF CHIGNIK FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-150200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-150200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-150200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 MPH ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST IN
THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-150200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-150200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-150200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE THIS MORNING. SEAS BUILDING
TO 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-150200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE THIS MORNING. SEAS 8 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-150200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-150200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-150200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-150200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-150200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT
BUILDING TO 28 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 141528 CCB
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

CORRECT ZONE 160

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-150200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 988 MB LOW 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR EARLY THU MORNING WILL
MOVE TO 60 NM NORTHWEST OF COLD BAY THU NIGHT AT 989 MB AND REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH FRI NIGHT. A 992 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 360 NM
SOUTH OF CHIGNIK FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-150200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-150200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-150200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST IN
THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-150200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-150200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-150200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE THIS MORNING. SEAS BUILDING
TO 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-150200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE THIS MORNING. SEAS 8 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-150200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-150200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-150200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-150200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-150200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT
BUILDING TO 28 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 142338
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-151400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 990 MB LOW 130 NM NORTH OF COLD BAY WILL STRENGTHEN TO 987 MB AND
MOVE TO 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF BETHEL TOMORROW MORNING. THE LOW WILL
REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKEN TO 994 MB BY SATURDAY EVENING.
$$

PKZ150-151400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-151400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-151400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-151400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-151400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. S OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 
7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. S OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 
9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-151400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO W 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-151400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-151400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-151400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-151400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-151400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-151400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT THU SEP 14 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT WED SEP 13 2006

.DISCUSSION...
ANALYSIS...
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ANCHORED OVER THE THE SIBERIAN ARCTIC EXTENDS
SOUTH TO THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SOUTH OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WHILE A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO HOLD
OVER THE MAINLAND FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA.

SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THE MAIN ISSUE TODAY IS THE CONTINUED INCONSISTENCY OF THE MODEL
OUTPUT BEGINNING LATE FRI NIGHT. THERE REMAINS A HIGH LEVEL OF
UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE POSITIONING AND STRENGTH OF THE STORM NOW
APPROACHING THE ALASKA PENINSULA FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC. WE EXPECT
THE APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND FROM THE WESTERN BERING SEA TO
MOVE OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA FRI MORNING AS THE SUPPORTING UPPER
LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTH PACIFIC STORM MERGES INTO THIS TROUGH. THE
ISSUE IS THE NEWEST MODEL SOLUTION IS CLOSING THIS LOW ALOFT AND AS A
RESULT THIS HOLDS THE SURFACE SYSTEM MUCH FURTHER SOUTH THAN
PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED AND MORE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE NAM. THE
BLOCKING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE GULF OVER THE MAINLAND
SHOULD HOLD BACK THE EASTWARD ADVANCEMENT OF THIS STORM. THIS SHOULD
ALSO RESULT IN A NORTHERLY STORM TRACK AND MOST LIKELY RESULT IN THE
LOW MOVING FURTHER NORTH INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA AS FORECASTED BY
THE PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS. THE MAIN CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PACKAGE FOR
THIS AFTERNOON WILL REVOLVE AROUND TRENDING THE NEW FORECASTS TO THE
NEW MODEL OUTPUT. WE ARE RELUCTANT TO SELL OUT ON THE NEW OUTPUT DUE
TO THE INCONSISTENCY IN THE MODEL RUNS.

THE TIGHTENING GRADIENT OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL REGION IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE A TYPICAL TURNAGAIN ARM WIND ALONG WITH THE STRONG CROSS
BARRIER FLOW AND RESULTANT DOWN SLOPE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE KENAI
MOUNTAINS. . WE DO NOT SEE A GOOD INDICATION OF A RAPIDLY BUILDING
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE GULF COAST REGION AND THEREFORE WILL
LEAVE THE FORECASTED WIND FOR SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AS IS.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD THE RAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL REGION AND

THE EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND COPPER RIVER BASIN ZONES THROUGH
FRI. THE TROPICALLY CONNECTED SOUTHERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE
NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL STEER MOISTURE INTO KODIAK AND THE WEST SIDE
COOK INLET TO THE WEST SIDE OF THE SUSITNA VALLEY ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE UPSLOPE REGIONS OF THE ALASKA RANGE.

LONGER TERM FORECAST...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE INCONSISTENT RUN TO RUN IN THE LONGER TERM.
AS SUCH WE WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENT FORECAST WITH VERY MINOR
TRENDING TOWARD THE NEW SOLUTION UNTIL THE MODELS BECOME MORE STABLE
AND CONSISTENT FROM RUN TO RUN. THE LAST COUPLE FO RUNS ARE SETTLING
ON A LOW SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF ALASKA ALONG WITH A STORM CENTERED
SOUTH OF ADAK AND WEAK HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM CANADA INTO THE
NORTHERN INTERIOR.

HYDROLOGY...
THE FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE NELCHINA RIVER HAS BEEN CANCELED SINCE
WATER LEVELS HAVE CRESTED BELOW FLOW STAGE AND THE GLACIER DAM LAKE
THAT RELEASED CAUSING THE HIGH WATER IS NOW EMPTY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 130 132 150 155 160 165 170 350.
FIRE WEATHER...DONE.

SAM SEP 06