Gale Warning 792, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 201435 CCA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
635 AM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

CORRECTED ZONE 121

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 998 MB LOW 600 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND AND STRENGTHEN TO 986 MB EARLY SAT MORNING. THE LOW
WILL MOVE TO NEAR VALDEZ SAT AFTERNOON THEN MOVE NORTH AND DISSIPATE
SAT NIGHT. A 992 MB LOW WILL APPROACH 85 NM NORTH OF CHIGNIK BY LATE
SAT NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-210200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO NE 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
$$

PKZ121-210200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-210200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-210200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-210200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-210200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-210200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
$$

PKZ140-210200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-210200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 202357
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 998 MB LOW 450 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL STRENGTHEN TO 
987 MB AS IT MOVES TO 50 NM NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND LATE SAT
MORNING. THE LOW WILL THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER EASTERN
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SAT AFTERNOON. A 992 MB LOW OVER BRISTOL BAY 
SAT EVENING WILL MOVE TO NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND SUN AFTERNOON AT 
996 MB. 
$$

PKZ120-211400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE WIND 30 KT THIS
EVENING...INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO
16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-211400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-211400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE WIND 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 40 KT IN BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN
BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-211400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W WIND AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-211400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. EAST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. EAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING
VARIABLE WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. EAST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-211400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-211400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-211400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
TO 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND...NW WIND 15
KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-211400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 210430 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
830 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

UPDATE TO ZONE 120

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 998 MB LOW 450 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL STRENGTHEN TO 
987 MB AS IT MOVES TO 50 NM NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND LATE SAT
MORNING. THE LOW WILL THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER EASTERN
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SAT AFTERNOON. A 992 MB LOW OVER BRISTOL BAY 
SAT EVENING WILL MOVE TO NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND SUN AFTERNOON AT 
996 MB. 
$$

PKZ120-211400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
830 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E TO NE WINDS INCREASING TO 50 KT...STRONGEST WINDS CAPE
CLEARE AND EAST. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS SUBSIDING TO
16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-211400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-211400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE WIND 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 40 KT IN BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN
BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-211400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W WIND AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-211400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. EAST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. EAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING
VARIABLE WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. EAST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-211400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-211400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-211400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
TO 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND...NW WIND 15
KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-211400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 20 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 211156
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 21 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 MB LOW NEAR 58N 145W WILL MOVE TO 60N 146W THIS AFTERNOON AND
THEN MOVE INLAND AND DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A 988 MB LOW NEAR 56N 157W
THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 58N 153W AT 993 MB EARLY SUN MORNING.
THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO 59N 146W SUN AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATE SUN NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-220200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 21 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING W BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-220200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 21 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-220200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 21 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-220200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 21 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-220200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 21 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-220200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 21 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
$$

PKZ138-220200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 21 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-220200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 21 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-220200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT SAT OCT 21 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO W 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT THU OCT 19 2006

.DISCUSSION...

ANALYSIS...A LARGE AREA OF CYCLONIC CIRCULATION DOMINATES THE BERING
SEA. A MATURE OCCLUDED 986 MB SURFACE LOW SITS NORTHWEST OF THE
PRIBILOFS WITH A WEAKENING FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE LOW CENTER ACROSS
THE NORTHERN BERING AND SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA. COLD
AIR ADVECTION ALOFT COMBINED WITH THE WARM BERING SEA WATERS HAS
PRODUCED A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE (AS CONFIRMED BY THE 12 UTC
COLD BAY SOUNDING) AND WIDESPREAD SHOWERS....SOME LIKELY CONTAINING
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AS WELL AS GUSTY WINDS. THERE IS A VERY TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE 986 MB LOW AND A 1031 HIGH
CENTERED DOWN AROUND 40N 174E. GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN BERING/CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS/AND AKPEN WITH
OCCASIONAL STORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING. SHIP REPORTS ALONG THE
SOUTHERN AKPEN INDICATE GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 KT THROUGH CHANNELED
AREAS. THE LONG WESTERLY FETCH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING HAS BUILT
SEAS UP TO AROUND 20 FEET. AN UPPER SHORT-WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN THE
WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND WILL PLAY A ROLE IN
AMPLIFICATION OF THE CURRENT PATTERN. A SHORT-WAVE RIDGE SITS OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL THIS MORNING WITH LOTS OF LOW CLOUDS AND SOME AREAS OF
DRIZZLE AND FOG. CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION HAVE BEEN SLOWLY
IMPROVING THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...BUT MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH
FRONT OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA IS ON THE WAY. FINALLY...AN ELONGATED
LOW IS NEARLY STATIONARY AT AROUND 35N 159W WITH MOISTURE EXTENDING
WELL NORTH OF THE LOW.

MODEL ANALYSIS...FAIR INITIALIZATION BY ALL MODELS WITH REGARD TO
SYNOPTIC FEATURES. NAM CONTINUES TO BE A STEP OFF FROM THE GFS/UKMET
WITH THE SPEED OF THE LOWS IN THE SHORT-TERM. GFS SHOWS FAIR
RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY. LOW TRACKING INTO GULF IS 9 MB DEEPER THAN
THE LAST RUN WHICH IS DEEPER THAN THE OTHER MODELS. WITH COLD AIR
FEEDING INTO THE SYSTEM...AN AMPLIFYING TROUGH...AND SOME UPPER JET
SUPPORT...AGREE WITH A DEEPER SOLUTION...BUT NOT READY TO MAKE THAT
BIG OF A JUMP. WILL TREND SIGNIFICANTLY TOWARD THE STRONGER SOLUTION.

OUT WEST ALSO PREFER GFS WHICH SHOWS VERY GOOD RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY
WITH NEXT LOW MOVING INTO SOUTHERN BERING.

SOUTHCENTRAL FORECAST...SHORT-WAVE RIDGE WILL SLIDE INTO CANADA THIS
EVENING AND FLOW WILL BECOME CYCLONIC WITH COLD ADVECTION SHOWERS
OVERSPREADING THE REGION TONIGHT. FREEZING LEVELS WILL DROP TO
AROUND 2000 TO 2500 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING RESULTING IN SOME SNOW
SHOWERS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. DO NOT EXPECT ANY SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATION. SHORT-WAVE MOVING ACROSS WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL HELP
AMPLIFY UPPER TROUGH AND PICK UP PACIFIC LOW. WITH COLD AIR FEEDING
INTO SYSTEM IT WILL DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS TO PRINCE WILLIAMS SOUND
SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK IN THE PRECIP FOR MOST AREAS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO EVENING AS RIDGING OCCURS AHEAD OF LOW...BUT
MOISTURE WILL OVERSPREAD SOUTHCENTRAL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
AT THIS POINT WILL FORECAST GALES FOR GULF COASTAL WATERS...BUT THERE
IS POTENTIAL FOR STORMS. COLD AIR ON THE BACK SIDE OF LOW WILL CREATE
POTENTIAL FOR THE FIRST SNOWFALL FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE COOK
INLET CORRIDOR (INCLUDING ANCHORAGE) SATURDAY NIGHT. STILL NEED TO
GET A BETTER HANDLE ON LOW TRACK AND DEPTH BEFORE DECIDING IF THIS
WILL OCCUR.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS/SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST...AS LOW CENTER MOVES
NORTHWARD THIS EVENING SHORT-WAVE WILL ROTATE SOUTHWARD ACROSS
CENTRAL BERING TOWARD PRIBILOFS ISLAND FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE LIFTING
NORTHWARD FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL MAINTAIN GUSTY WINDS AND
MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIP OVER THIS REGION THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
LONG WESTERLY FETCH WILL PRODUCE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE KUSKOKWIM COAST. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED TO ADVISE OF THIS. AIR ALOFT IS COLD ENOUGH THAT RAIN MAY MIX
WITH FROZEN PRECIP AT TIMES. AS WINDS AND SHOWERS DIMINISH LATE
FRIDAY THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND THEN
TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING SATURDAY BRINGING MORE
RAIN AND WIND. NEAR ZONAL JET MEANS LOW WILL MOVE ALONG QUICKLY AND
OTHERS WILL BE ON ITS TAIL.

EXTENDED FORECAST...THERE APPEARS TO BE A CHANGE IN PATTERN AS WE
HEAD INTO THE EXTENDED PERIOD. RIDGE ALONG WEST COAST OF U.S. AND
CANADA IS BROKEN DOWN...AT LEAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS. A NEAR ZONAL JET
MAINTAINS AN ACTIVE FAST-MOVING STORM PATTERN. THIS ALSO ALLOWS
COLDER AIR TO WORKS IT WAY EASTWARD INTO SOUTHCENTRAL MEANING A
BETTER CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS SNOW.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH SURF ADVISORY ZONE 155.
MARINE...GALES 120 130 132 160 170 171 172 175 176 179 AND 180.

SEB OCT 06