Gale Warning 437, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 072045 AAC
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1245 PM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

UPDATED ZONE 140

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-080200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND DISSIPATES SUN EVENING. A RIDGE 
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST MON MORNING
THROUGH MON NIGHT. AN ALEUTIAN LOW WEAKENS TO 1000 MB AS IT MOVES TO
50 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK MON NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-080200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-080200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-080200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-080200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-080200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
650 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-080200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
650 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-080200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
530 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND 
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-080200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
1245 PM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.  
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-080200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 072342
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-081400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 999 MB LOW 75 NM SOUTHEAST IF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE SUN
NIGHT. A 997 MB LOW 125 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT MON AFTERNOON WILL
MOVE TO 215 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY AT 1003 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-081400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-081400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-081400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-081400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-081400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.

.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-081400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-081400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-081400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-081400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT SUN MAY 7 2006

.DISCUSSION...

COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PERSISTS OVER THE BERING STRAIT THIS MORNING
WITH WEAK LOBES OVER THE GULF AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...AND A CUT-OFF
LOW NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND. A RIDGE LIES ACROSS THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA
AND NEAR ZONAL FLOW BETWEEN 40 AND 50 N CROSSES THE PACIFIC INTO THE
WEST COAST OF THE LOWER 48.

AT THE SURFACE...A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM THE
ALEUTIANS ACROSS MOST OF THE STATE WITH WEAK LOW CENTERS OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF AND SOUTH OF ADAK.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THE GULF LOW WILL BE REABSORBED INTO
THE MAINLAND LOW THIS EVENING...BRINGING SOME PRECIPITATION INLAND
THROUGH TONIGHT. RIDGING BUILDS IN ALONG THE COAST MON WITH MORE
TURNAGAIN ARM WIND. THIS CUTS OFF AS THE ADAK LOW MOVES TO THE AK PEN
MON NIGHT. THIS MOVEMENT WILL BRING SNOW AND SOME RAIN TO THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS MON...AND THEN TO THE AKPEN MON NIGHT THROUGH
WED AS THE LOW BECOMES STATIONARY SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK AND WEAKENS.
THE POSITION OF THE WEAKENING LOW ASSURES ONSHORE FLOW INTO THE NORTH
GULF COAST DURING THE SAME PERIOD WITH PRECIP ONCE AGAIN LIMITED
MAINLY TO WINDWARD SIDES OF MOUNTAIN RANGES. ONLY A FEW SHOWERS WILL
HOP THE RIDGELINE TOWARD THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND MATANUSKA VALLY. BY
THE END OF THE WEEK THE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE STATE WEAKENS WITH ONLY
SOME CLOUDS REMAINING.

OUT WEST...PASSAGE OF THE ADAK LOW TO THE EAST ONCE AGAIN SETS UP
SNOW SHOWERS ON PERSISTENT NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE BERING. THIS
ENDS FROM THE WEST BEGINNING ON TUE AS A RIDGE CROSSES THE WESTERN
ISLANDS AND REACHES BRISTOL BAY ON FRI. THE RIDGE WILL BE FOLLOWED BY
A WEATHER FRONT THAT WILL BEGIN TO BRING SOME WARMER AIR...WITH SNOW
CHANGING TO RAIN...TO THE WESTERN BERING BEGINNING THU AND LASTING
INTO THE WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 138
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

DS MAY 06