Severe Thunderstorm Warning 58, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 250421
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1020 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

OKC021-145-250515-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0058.000000T0000Z-050325T0515Z/
CHEROKEE OK-WAGONER OK-
1020 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1115 PM CST FOR
WAGONER AND CHEROKEE COUNTIES...

AT 1018 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY 
SIZE HAIL WAS LOCATED NEAR ONETA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...ONETA...
STONEBLUFF...COWETA...REDBIRD...PORTER...TULLAHASSEE...WAGONER...
OKAY...LOST CITY...HULBERT...ELDON AND TAHLEQUAH.


LAT...LON 3616 9572 3586 9575 3577 9535 3582 9521
      3583 9479 3600 9481

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 250433
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1033 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

OKC021-145-250515-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0058.000000T0000Z-050325T0515Z/
CHEROKEE OK-WAGONER OK-
1031 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1115 PM CST FOR
WAGONER AND CHEROKEE COUNTIES...

AT 1030 PM CST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE 
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS 
STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES EAST OF ONETA...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. IN 
ADDITION...A LINE OF STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL 
EXTENDED FROM NEAR PEGGS TO OKAY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...WAGONER...
OKAY...HULBERT...LOST CITY...TAHLEQUAH AND ELDON.

MOVE INDOORS AS THESE STORMS APPROACH.

LAT...LON 3616 9572 3586 9575 3577 9535 3582 9521
      3583 9479 3600 9481

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 250452
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1050 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

OKC145-250458-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0058.000000T0000Z-050325T0515Z/
WAGONER OK-
1050 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WAGONER COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FRIDAY
MORNING FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN
ARKANSAS AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3605 9507 3585 9524 3583 9526 3582 9521
      3583 9480 3600 9481

$$

OKC021-250515-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0058.000000T0000Z-050325T0515Z/
CHEROKEE OK-
1050 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1115 PM CST FOR
CHEROKEE COUNTY...

AT 1048 PM CST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL NEAR FORT 
GIBSON...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM 
INCLUDE...HULBERT...TAHLEQUAH...PETTIT AND ELDON.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FRIDAY
MORNING FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN
ARKANSAS AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3605 9507 3585 9524 3583 9526 3582 9521
      3583 9480 3600 9481

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 250518
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1118 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

OKC021-250528-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0058.000000T0000Z-050325T0515Z/
CHEROKEE OK-
1118 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CHEROKEE COUNTY EXPIRES AT
1115 PM CST...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

GUSTY WINDS...PEA SIZE HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE 
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN CHEROKEE COUNTY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FRIDAY
MORNING FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN
ARKANSAS AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3605 9507 3585 9524 3583 9526 3582 9521
      3583 9480 3600 9481

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1010 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
SMALL BOW SEGMENT MOVING THROUGH WAGONER COUNTY IS SHOWING SOME 30
TO 40 KNOT WINDS AT 1100 FEET AGL.  AN EXPERIMENTAL GUST CALCULATION
SUGGESTS PEAK WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...SO STRONG GUSTS ARE
LIKELY...BUT FOR NOW WE ARE STILL FOCUSED ON THE HAIL POTENTIAL
UNLESS SOMETHING CHANGES.  THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS TO REACH THE
GROUND SHOULD BE LESS AS THE STORMS GET FURTHER EAST.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 77 IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA UNTIL 1 AM.
AR...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 78 IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS UNTIL 4 AM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
905 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
905 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
 	AREA...ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
		ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING...ENDING AROUND 3AM.

DISCUSSION...
A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS MUCH OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT.  ELEVATED INSTABILITY
OF 500 TO 1000 J/KG IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA.  THE STORMS ARE
ORGANIZING ON A COLD FRONT IN MODERATE TO STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR.
HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THE STORMS.  THE ACTIVITY WILL
BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND OR EXIT THE AREA AROUND 3AM.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS ACTIVATE PER YOUR LOCAL PLANS WHEN
UNDER A WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
IT NOW APPEARS THAT THE FRONT WILL BE SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY...
KEEPING THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA. AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA OVER THE
WEEKEND...CAUSING WIDESPREAD RAIN TO DEVELOP SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. SUFFICIENT ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT FOR A FEW
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM
WILL MOVE TOWARD THE AREA BY MID WEEK...BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
942 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

OKZ070-250430-
MUSKOGEE OK-
942 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1030 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     MUSKOGEE

AT 942 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 32 MILES NORTH OF HASKELL TO TAFT MOVING EAST AT
30 MILES AN HOUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE
STORMS INCLUDE...PUMPKIN CENTER...MUSKOGEE...JAMESVILLE...TAFT...
FORT GIBSON AND HASKELL.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE HALF INCH HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT
IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
944 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

ARZ019-250415-
CRAWFORD AR-
944 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1015 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     CRAWFORD

AT 944 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES
SOUTH OF VAN BUREN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...PLEASANT HILL...CONCORD...
BIDVILLE...MULBERRY...MOUNTAINBURG...VAN BUREN...ALMA...CHESTER...
KIBLER...SHIBLEY...FURRY...DYER...FIGURE FIVE...RUDY...LOCKE AND MT
GAYLER.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN
CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
948 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

OKZ060-064-250445-
CREEK OK-TULSA OK-
948 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1045 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     TULSA AND CREEK

AT 948 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES
NORTHWEST OF KELLYVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS
THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...GRAY...TULSA...SAND
SPRINGS...JENKS...BROKEN ARROW...KELLYVILLE AND SAPULPA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE HALF INCH HAIL.
MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
953 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

OKZ057-250430-
CRAIG OK-
953 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1030 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CRAIG

AT 953 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES
NORTHEAST OF CENTRAILIA...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...HOLLOW...PYRAMID CORNERS...
BLUEJACKET...CENTRAILIA AND WELCH.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
955 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0943 PM     HAIL             3 NE VAN BUREN          35.47N 94.31W
03/24/2005  0.75 INCH        CRAWFORD           AR   STORM CHASER

&&

NMK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1002 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

ARZ011-019-020-250500-
CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-MADISON AR-
1002 PM CST THU MAR 24 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1100 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     MADISON AND CRAWFORD

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
     FRANKLIN

AT 1002 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING THROUGH MADISON CRAWFORD AND FRANKLIN COUNTY.  THESE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE HALF INCH HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MILES AN HOUR.