Flash Flood Warning 84, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WGUS74 KMAF 142232
FFSMAF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
526 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

TXC443-150000-
TERRELL-
526 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR
TERRELL COUNTY...

AT 525 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING 
IN THE WARNED AREA. THIS WOULD INCLUDE AREAS ALONG AND ADJACENT TO
FARM TO MARKET ROAD 2400 IN WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE COUNTY...WHERE
RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES HAD OCCURRED SINCE 2 PM CDT.

FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS... STREETS AND UNDERPASSES...LOW
WATER CROSSINGS... AND LOW LYING FARMLAND IS LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE
ACROSS FLOODED ROADS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. MOST FLOODING DEATHS ARE PREVENTABLE. TURN
AROUND... DONT DROWN.

TO REPORT FLOODING OR SEVERE WEATHER ONLY... CALL THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIDLAND AT 1 800 597 3220.

LAT...LON 3001 10241 2990 10217 2989 10182 3039 10180
      3061 10177 3056 10231 3027 10236 3018 10255

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
207 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

.SHORT TERM...
WIDESPREAD STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE NIGHT TIME HOURS WITH THIS
DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION AS STORMS TRAIN ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
RAINFALL IS TROPICAL IN NATURE AND VERY HEAVY WITH RADAR UNDER
ESTIMATING TOTALS.  WILL CONTINUE WITH LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS
TONIGHT WITH FF WATCH RUNNING THROUGH SHORT TERM.  HAVE TO KEEP
DISCUSSION SHORT.

.LONG TERM...
GFS CONSISTENT IN EJECTING MORE SHORTWAVE ENERGY FROM THE OLD MEXICO
UPPER LOW MONDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WEST...NUMEROUS EAST
SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEM DEVELOPING IN A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS.
WILL EXTEND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MUCH OF THE AREA MONDAY DUE
TO SATURATED GROUNDS AND ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT ANTICIPATED.
ANOTHER SHEAR AXIS/SHORTWAVE TO IMPACT THE AREA AGAIN ON TUESDAY...
WILL KEEP THE CHANCE POPS GOING IN MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS.

A  DRYING TREND WILL COMMENCE WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY AS THE
UPPER HIGH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES STRENGTHENS AND
BUILDS WESTWARD. WAS RELUCTANT TO DROP 10-20 POPS AS A SURFACE TO
700 MILLIBAR TROUGH WILL BE IN PLACE WITH AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS. IN
ADDITION ANOTHER NORTHERN STREAM COLD FRONT MAY APPROACH THE
REGION FRIDAY AND OR SATURDAY. MODELS HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT WITH
THIS FEATURE.

LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH WET GROUNDS ABUNDANT
CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              68  78  67  88 /  90  60  40  30
CARLSBAD NM                67  78  63  91 /  60  50  30  30
DRYDEN TX                  70  80  69  91 /  80  50  40  30
FORT STOCKTON TX           68  78  68  89 /  90  50  40  30
GUADALUPE PASS TX          63  73  62  82 /  60  50  30  30
HOBBS NM                   66  76  64  89 /  50  50  30  30
MARFA TX                   61  72  58  81 /  70  50  30  40
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    68  77  67  88 /  90  50  40  30
ODESSA TX                  69  80  68  89 /  90  50  40  30
WINK TX                    70  82  69  95 /  90  50  30  40

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM MDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     CENTRAL LEA COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY PLAINS...GUADALUPE
     MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA COUNTY...AND
     SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM CDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ANDREWS...BIG BEND AREA...BORDEN...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE
     MOUNTAINS AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...HOWARD...
     LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...PECOS...
     PRESIDIO VALLEY...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS
     PECOS...SCURRY...TERRELL...UPTON...WARD...AND WINKLER.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...AND VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

&&

72/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
234 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-142145-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
234 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005 /134 PM MDT SUN AUG 14 2005/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO TONIGHT WITH A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD
SITUATION.  ALL UNNECESSARY TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA IS DISCOURAGED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ON MONDAY FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA.  NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ACROSS THE AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEND IN ANY REPORTS OF
FLOODING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
346 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

TXZ082-142115-
TERRELL-
346 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR NORTHERN TERRELL COUNTY.

AT 350 PM CDT A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER FARM TO MARKET
ROAD 2400...15 MILES NORTH OF SANDERSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH...SMALL HAIL...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING WIIL OCCUR. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE.