Flash Flood Warning 69, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WGUS74 KMAF 140148
FFSMAF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
845 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2005

TXC043-140345-
BREWSTER-
845 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN BREWSTER COUNTY...

AT 840 PM CDT...THE ALPINE POLICE DEPARTMENT REPORTED THAT 8TH 
STREET IN ALPINE IS CLOSED. IN ADDITION...THE PUBLIC REPORTED AT 
LEAST 4 INCHES OF WATER WAS RUNNING OVER HOLLAND STREET. AT 845 PM 
CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE  
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL MOVING OVER ALPINE...WITH 
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALPINE AND 
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. 

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING 
INCLUDE...ALPINE AND RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN BREWSTER COUNTY.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODING. ACT QUICKLY IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED. MOVE TO 
HIGHER GROUND.

TO REPORT FLOODING OR SEVERE WEATHER ONLY... CALL THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIDLAND AT 1 800 597 3220.

LAT...LON 3026 10377 3037 10307 3053 10330 3064 10344
      3040 10377

$$

000 
WGUS74 KMAF 140202
FFSMAF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
900 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2005

TXC043-140345-
BREWSTER-
900 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN BREWSTER COUNTY...

AT 850 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED THAT MORE THAN 3.5 
INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS FALLEN IN ALPINE. LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS 
REPORT THAT CITY STREETS ARE BEING CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY IN ALPINE AS RUNOFF OCCURS 
THROUGH BROWN CREEK AND ALPINE CREEK FROM VERY HEAVY RAINFALL JUST 
WEST OF ALPINE. 

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. ACT QUICKLY IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3026 10377 3037 10307 3053 10330 3064 10344
      3040 10377

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
241 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2005

.SHORT TERM...
POSSIBILITY OF PRECIPITATION IS HIGH FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS DAYTIME HEATING... ABUNDANT MOISTURE... AND
REMAINING BOUNDARIES FROM LAST NIGHTS STORMS INTERACT TO INITIATE
STORMS.  LOOK FOR LOW LEVEL WINDS TO CONTINUE TO BRING UP GULF
MOISTURE WHILE MID TO UPPER LEVEL WINDS BRING UP PACIFIC MOISTURE.
KMAF 12Z PRECIPITABLE WATER THIS MORNING WAS 1.56 INCHES. COMBINING
THE MOISTURE AND EXPECTED LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA HAVE KEPT PREVIOUS FORECASTS LIKELY POPS IN THE NORTH
DECREASING TO CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL CWA.  NORTHERN ZONES
ARE FAVORED AS FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA... CONVECTION WILL LIKELY
OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT.  HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE GIVEN ABOVE
AVERAGE KMAF MORNING AND AREA MODEL SOUNDING PWAT VALUES OF GREATER
THAN 1.5 INCHES.

PORTIONS OF LEA... ANDREWS... AND SCURRY COUNTIES RECEIVED HEAVY
RAIN OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.  IF STORMS DEVELOP OVER THESE AREAS
WILL BE CONCERNED WITH FLASH FLOODING... BELIEVE MAIN HEAVY RAIN
THREAT WILL BE SUNDAY SO WILL ONLY HIGHLIGHT POTENTIAL TONIGHT IN
HWO.

.LONG TERM...
LIKE THE GFS HANDLING OF THE FRONT BRINGING IT THROUGH QUICKER
SUNDAY AS WIDESPREAD CONVECTION SHOULD AID ITS PROGRESS AND GFS
HAS PERFORMED BETTER THE LAST FEW FRONTS. THE COMBINATION OF
A DECENT LOW LEVEL FOCUS AND POTENT SHORTWAVES MAKE HEAVY RAINFALL
A CONCERN SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE COUNTY WARNING AREA. WILL
THEREFORE ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT AREAWIDE.
BUMPED POPS INTO THE LIKELY CATEGORY MANY AREAS SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHT.

ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE MID LEVEL FLOW WILL INTERACT WITH
AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND RESULT IN CHANCE POPS MONDAY. BY TUESDAY
THE UPPER RIDGE TO THE EAST BEGINS TO BUILD WESTWARD A BIT BUT
A SHEAR AXIS/COL REGION WILL EXIST AND INTERACT WITH AN UNSTABLE
AIR MASS. WILL CONTINUE CHANCE POPS TUESDAY.

BY WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THE POPS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA AS THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO
BUILD WESTWARD. WENT WITH SLIGHT POPS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN
AND ADJACENT PLAINS IN THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE MAXIMUM.

THE LATER HALF OF NEXT WEEK WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED FOR THE NEXT
NORTHERN STREAM COLD FRONT.

COOLED HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND MONDAY DUE TO SIGNIFICANT CLOUD
COVER AND PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. BEEFED UP QPF GRIDS SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT. WENT WITH THE MAV SURFACE WINDS THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              68  84  68  86 /  50  70  70  50
CARLSBAD NM                67  83  67  87 /  50  70  50  40
DRYDEN TX                  71  89  70  88 /  30  40  70  50
FORT STOCKTON TX           70  86  68  86 /  40  70  70  50
GUADALUPE PASS TX          65  77  63  82 /  50  70  50  40
HOBBS NM                   68  81  66  86 /  50  70  50  40
MARFA TX                   60  80  59  82 /  30  70  60  50
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    69  84  68  87 /  50  70  70  50
ODESSA TX                  70  86  69  90 /  50  70  70  50
WINK TX                    71  91  70  92 /  50  70  60  50

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 AM MDT SUNDAY TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CENTRAL LEA COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY
     PLAINS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA
     COUNTY...AND SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 AM CDT SUNDAY TO 7 AM CDT MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: ANDREWS...BIG BEND
     AREA...BORDEN...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
     AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE
     MOUNTAINS...HOWARD...LOVING...MARFA
     PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...PECOS...PRESIDIO
     VALLEY...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS
     PECOS...SCURRY...TERRELL...UPTON...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54
     CORRIDOR...WARD...AND WINKLER.

&&

72/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
250 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2005

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-132200-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
250 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2005 /150 PM MDT SAT AUG 13 2005/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.
THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY ALSO BECOME SEVERE WITH HAIL
TO QUARTER SIZE AND 60 MPH WIND. THE GREATEST THREAT OF FLASH
FLOODING TONIGHT WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE
NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE AREAWIDE ON SUNDAY.
THE POSSIBILITY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE PECOS RIVER.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
433 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2005

TXZ062-132230-
MIDLAND-
433 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR NORTHEASTERN MIDLAND COUNTY.

A DEVELOPING STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
VALLEY VIEW AT 433 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THIS STORM
MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN MIDLAND COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF
MIDLAND...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR
WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
531 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2005

TXZ063-132330-
GLASSCOCK-
531 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN GLASSCOCK COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER ST. LAWRENCE AT 531 PM CDT...
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHEASTERN GLASSCOCK COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
533 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2005

TXZ061-132330-
ECTOR-
533 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR NORTHEASTERN ECTOR COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF NORTH COWDEN
AT 533 PM CDT...OR 14 MILES NORTH OF ODESSA NEAR U.S. HIGHWAY 385.
THIS STORM WAS MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP
RAPIDLY. EXPECT SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 55
MPH WITH THIS STORM. MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...AND BE
PREPARED TO ACT SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN OR IF WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
628 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2005

NMZ028-140030-
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
528 PM MDT SAT AUG 13 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR EAST CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER LOVING AT 528 PM MDT...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.