Severe Thunderstorm Warning 227, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WWUS53 KICT 250206
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
906 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

KSC155-250245-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0227.000000T0000Z-050825T0245Z/
RENO KS-
906 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR RENO COUNTY UNTIL 945 
PM CDT...

AT 901 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS TO AROUND 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR ARLINGTON...OR 16 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HUTCHINSON...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  NEAR SOUTH HUTCHINSON BY  930 PM CDT.
  NEAR HUTCHINSON BY  935 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF YODER AND HUTCHINSON AIRPORT ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF
THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3815 9827 3775 9824 3775 9771 3816 9772

$$

JAKUB

000 
WWUS53 KICT 250239
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
938 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

KSC155-250248-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0227.000000T0000Z-050825T0245Z/
RENO KS-
938 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN RENO COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

AT 936 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND NO 
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE RISK TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3815 9827 3775 9824 3775 9771 3816 9772

$$

JAKUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
819 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

.DISCUSSION...
MESO TRENDS/OVERNIGHT FORECAST...

SUDDENLY VERY BUSY THIS EVENING, AS SEVERE CONVECTION DEVELOPED
RAPIDLY NORTH FROM OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. ALTHOUGH
PERHAPS INITIALLY TOO FAR NORTH WITH DEVELOPMENT, THE MESOETA MAY
HAVE BEST HANDLE ON FURTHER EVOLUTION OF LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT CONVECTIVE TRENDS. LATEST SATELLITE AND RADAR SHOWED
CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS DEVELOPING ALONG TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME FROM
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTHERN KANSAS. THE MESOETA SUGGESTS THIS
ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO BLOSSOM THRU THE LATE EVENING, WITH AT
LEAST SCATTERED, TO AT TIMES NUMEROUS, STORMS AFFECTING MUCH OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS TO THE SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 56. THEREFORE
HAVE EXPANDED FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS AREA, LESS A FEW COUNTIES IN
THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA.

UPDATED GRIDS TEXT PRODUCTS COMING OUT TO REFLECT LATEST AND
EXPECTED TRENDS...

KED

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005/

DISCUSSION...

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE LOCATION OF HEAVIEST PRECIP FOR
TONIGHT THROUGH FRI AS ACTIVE LATE SUMMER PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE.

TONIGHT-THU:
WILL GO AHEAD AND CANCEL THE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH FOR CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL KS AND ISSUE ANOTHER ONE FOR ONLY THREE COUNTIES IN SE
KS. WILL GO WITH A WATCH FOR COORDINATION PURPOSES AND ALSO THIS
WOULD BE THE MOST LIKELY COUNTIES TO BE AFFECTED. MOST OF CWA WILL
BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER JET FROM
00-06Z. IT APPEARS AFTER 06Z THE BETTER ISENTROPIC LIFT AND 850MB
CONVERGENCE SHIFTS EAST OVER EXTREME EAST KS AND MO. SO FEEL THE
BEST SHOT AT SOME FLOODING TONIGHT WOULD BE BETWEEN 00-06Z TONIGHT.
THE GFS AND UK KEEP THE HEAVIER PRECIP NORTH AND EAST OF THE AREA
WITH ETA A BIT FURTHER SOUTH. WITH THIS DISCREPANCY, WILL ONLY GO
WITH THOSE THREE COUNTIES FOR WATCH TONIGHT. HOWEVER, CURRENTLY
MONITORING WEST-CENTER OK ALONG WITH WEST KS FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IF EITHER OR BOTH OF THESE
AREAS CAN ORGANIZE AN MCS, EVENING SHIFT MAY WANT TO EXPAND FLOOD
WATCH. THE PRECIP SHOULD CONTINUE SHIFTING EAST THROUGH THE DAY THU
WITH MOST OF THE AREA PRECIP FREE BY THU AFTERNOON. FEEL THE MAIN
AREAS OF PRECIP THU WILL BE OVER THE HIGH PLAINS AND EAST OF
FORECAST AREA.

JUST AS THE LAST FEW DAYS MAX TEMPS WILL BE HELD DOWN BY VERY MOIST
GROUNDS AND IT SEEMS THE GFS/MAV NUMBERS ARE WAY OVERDONE.

THU NIGHT-SAT:
STRONG UPPER WAVE WILL DIP SOUTH OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON THU
NIGHT. THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A CYCLONICLLY CURVED JET WILL
BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN NE AND SW
IOWA. CORFIDI VECTORS WOULD TRACK ANYTHING THAT DEVELOP UP THERE
SOUTH AND MAY AFFECT THE NE PERIPHERY OF FORECAST AREA THU NIGHT.
WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY SHOULD SINK SOUTH BEHIND THIS STRONG WAVE
THROUGH THE DAY FRI AND SHOULD BE THE FOCUS FOR MORE SHOWERS AND
STORMS. THE BEST SHOT FOR PRECIP SAT AND SAT NIGHT LOOKS TO BE OVER
THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF FORECAST AREA CLOSER TO WHERE THE FRONT
SHOULD BE SITUATED. JUST HAS BEEN THE CASE THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS
SHOULD BE PLENTY OF MOISTURE TO WORK WITH THESE DAYS AS FRONT REALLY
DOES NOT SLAM THOUGH SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER AIR.

WILL WARM MAX TEMPS FOR FRI AND SAT CLOSER TO NORMAL VALUES BUT AM
HESITANT TO GO TOO HIGH WITH CONTINUED MOIST GROUNDS.

SUN-WED:
LEFT SUN THROUGH TUE DRY FOR NOW AS THERE SHOULD BE SOME SUBSIDENCE
BETWEEN THE WAVE THAT LIFTS NORTH OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES AND
OUR NEXT STRONG WAVE DIGGING OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. WILL START
TO INTRODUCE SHOWERS AND STORMS AGAIN ON WED AS THIS NEXT POWERFUL
UPPER WAVE STARTS TO DIG OVER THE ROCKIES PLACING MOST OF FORECAST
AREA IN FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE SW FLOW ALOFT. AT THIS TIME THE GFS
SEEMS TO BE DIGGING THIS SYSTEM DEEPER AND A BIT SLOWER THAN THE ECM
WHICH GOES NEGATIVE TILT WITH IT OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
NEVERTHELESS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK SHOULD BE ACTIVE ACROSS THE
PLAINS.

WARMED MAXS UP FOR MON AND TUE AS WARM 850MB TEMPS START TO SPREAD
NORTH AHEAD OF APPROACHING WAVE. HOWEVER, STILL A BIT HESITANT TO GO
TOO MUCH ABOVE CLIMO WITH SOME RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE POSSIBLE.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    70  92  71  91 /  50  30  20  30
HUTCHINSON      70  92  70  91 /  40  20  20  30
NEWTON          70  91  71  91 /  60  30  20  30
ELDORADO        70  91  72  91 /  60  40  20  30
WINFIELD-KWLD   71  93  73  92 /  50  30  20  30
RUSSELL         68  93  68  89 /  30  10  30  30
GREAT BEND      69  94  69  90 /  30  10  30  30
SALINA          69  93  70  91 /  40  30  40  40
MCPHERSON       69  92  70  91 /  50  30  30  30
COFFEYVILLE     71  90  73  92 /  60  50  20  30
CHANUTE         71  89  72  92 /  60  50  20  40
IOLA            71  89  71  91 /  60  50  30  40

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 AM THURSDAY FOR KSZ050-KSZ051-KSZ052-KSZ053-
KSZ067-KSZ068-KSZ069-KSZ070-KSZ071-KSZ072-KSZ082-KSZ083-KSZ091-
KSZ092-KSZ093-KSZ094-KSZ095-KSZ096-KSZ098.

&&

DARMOFAL/LAWSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
833 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-251200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
833 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS TO 75 MPH
WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE RISK ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL. HOWEVER
AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE OF INCREASING CONCERN
OVERNIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS, TO
TO THE SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 56. THIS MAY RESULT IN RENEWED
FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF LINGERING THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY MORNING IN
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN
WITH THESE STORMS.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE KANSAS REGION.
THERE IS A CHANCE THAT A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY ACCOMPANY THIS
FRONT, PARTICULARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. JUST AS THE LAST
FEW DAYS, ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
SOME FLOODING. LATER OUTLOOKS WILL BE ABLE TO DEFINE THE MAIN
THREATS FROM THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWOICT.HTM

KED/LAWSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
803 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0801 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SW WICHITA            37.66N 97.38W
08/24/2005                   SEDGWICK           KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LARGE FLAG POLL BLOWN OVER AT PAWNEE AND MAIZE RD.
            ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH.

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
813 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0812 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 NW WICHITA            37.73N 97.39W
08/24/2005  52 MPH           SEDGWICK           KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            KSN WEATHER LAB AT NORTHWEST HIGH SCHOOL REPORTED 52 MPH
            WIND.

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
816 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 N DERBY               37.54N 97.27W
08/24/2005  65 MPH           SEDGWICK           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
828 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0811 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 W WICHITA             37.69N 97.40W
08/24/2005                   SEDGWICK           KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            KSN HAS REPORTED THAT AT LEAST A DOZEN HOMES ROOFS HAD
            BEEN DAMAGED WITH A FEW TREES DOWN.

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
833 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0832 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     11 E ARLINGTON          37.88N 97.98W
08/24/2005                   RENO               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BRW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
834 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0832 PM     TSTM WND GST     11 E ARLINGTON          37.88N 97.98W
08/24/2005  65 MPH           RENO               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BRW