Flash Flood Warning 43, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WGUS73 KICT 251534
FFSICT

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1033 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

KSC001-133-205-207-252030-
WOODSON KS-ALLEN KS-WILSON KS-NEOSHO KS-
1033 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALLEN...NEOSHO...WILSON AND
WOODSON COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 1022 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUING TO MOVE ACROSS THE 
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF WOODDSON AND ALLEN COUNTIES. ANOTHER ONE HALF 
TO ONE INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS DURING THE NEXT HOUR 
OR SO. 

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL OVERNIGHT TOOK PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PARTS 
OF WOODSON AND ALLEN COUNTIES AND THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF NEOSHO 
AND WILSON COUNTIES. MOST OF THE RAIN HAD ENDED ACROSS THIS REGION 
WITH LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED THIS MORNING. 

LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT IN THESE COUNTIES STILL REPORTED SEVERAL ROADS 
CLOSURES WITH EVEN A COUPLE OF RESCUES TAKING PLACE IN SOUTHERN 
WOODSON COUNTY.  

SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE
WARNED AREA. RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING TO OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING
INCLUDE...CHANUTE...IOLA...YATES CENTER...ALTOONA...BRONSON...
BUFFALO...ERIE...FREDONIA...GALESBURG...GAS...HUMBOLDT AND LA HARPE.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

LAT...LON 3804 9596 3738 9597 3738 9506 3803 9506

$$

COX

000 
WGUS73 KICT 251900
FFSICT

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
200 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

KSC001-133-205-207-251910-
WOODSON KS-ALLEN KS-WILSON KS-NEOSHO KS-
200 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR ALLEN...NEOSHO...
WILSON AND WOODSON COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

THE RAINFALL HAD ENDED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA, BUT EXCESS RUNOFF HAS 
CAUSED STREAMS AND CREEKS TO GO OUTSIDE THEIR BANKS. LOCAL LAW 
ENFORCEMENT REPORTED THE WATER WAS BEGINNING TO RECEDE, BUT THERE 
ARE STILL SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER. 

A FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY TO REPLACE THE FLASH FLOOD 
WARNING.

LAT...LON 3804 9596 3738 9597 3738 9506 3803 9506

$$

COX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
318 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS REMAIN POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL/SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

TODAY:
WILL EXTEND CURRENT FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND MUCH OF
SOUTHEAST KS UNTIL 17Z TODAY. ONGOING MCS FROM EASTERN KS INTO
NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI HAS BEEN SHOWING SIGNS OF BACKBUILDING INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL KS. SOUTHWESTERLY 35 KT LOW-LEVEL JET IS FEEDING
MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN EXTENT OF THIS MCS. IN
ADDITION, UPPER DIVERGENCE OCCURRING OVER EASTERN KS IN RIGHT REAR
QUAD OF UPPER JET EXTENDING FROM EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO IOWA.
PRECIPITABLE WATER ABOUT AS HIGH AS IT GETS AT 2 INCHES. AS A RESULT
OF THE BACKBUILDING MCS, WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO SEE STORMS TRAINING
ACROSS SOME OF THE SAME AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KS. THE
HILLY TERRAIN OF THE FLINT HILLS COULD EASILY EXACERBATE THE
FLOODING POTENTIAL. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR REMAIN
POSSIBLE AT LEAST EARLY THIS MORNING. OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN REPORTED
AT CNU ASOS RECENTLY. THE 00Z ETA AND GFS SUGGESTED THE UPPER JETSTREAK
SHIFTING SLOWLY EASTWARD THIS MORNING, AND THE HEAVIEST CONVECTION
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT OUT OF SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST KS BY
15Z. LATER THIS AFTERNOON, THE ETA (AND EVEN GFS) HINT THAT A
REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WILL RESIDE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
KS. IF THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER VIA DECREASING CLOUDS, STRONG
INSTABILITY WOULD DEVELOP AS DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 70S POOL ALONG THE
BOUNDARY. SO WILL RETAIN A LOW (20-30%) CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
EASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA FOR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.

TONIGHT:
NEXT STRONGLY ADVERTISED COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING CENTRAL KS
TOWARD 12Z FRIDAY PER 00Z GFS/ETA. IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THAT
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER WESTERN NEBRASKA/NORTHWEST KS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING WILL PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO OUR CENTRAL
KS COUNTIES OVERNIGHT. HIGHEST POPS (40%) SLATED THERE.

FRIDAY-SATURDAY:
STRONG UPPER TROF/LOW WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS WILL ALLOW THE COLD FRONT TO GRADUALLY PUSH
SOUTHWARD THROUGH OUR FORECAST AREA. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AS THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH MUCH OF THE AREA DURING PEAK HEATING HOURS. STRONGLY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 30 KTS WILL BE
SUPPORTIVE OF SCATTERED STRONG-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING. LATER FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, THE COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD OUT OF SOUTHERN KANSAS, WITH PRECIPITATION
CHANCES GREATLY DIMINISHING OR ENDING.

SUNDAY-WEDNESDAY:
00Z GFS HAS SHOWN SOME CHANGES IN HOW IT DEVELOPS/EVOLVES NEXT UPPER
TROF OVER THE NORTHWEST DURING THIS PERIOD, AS IT EJECTS SOME
INITIAL ENERGY OUT OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS ON TUESDAY. THE 00Z UKMET DOES NOT SHOW THIS SCENARIO,
MAINTAINING ONE LONGWAVE UPPER TROF FROM WESTERN CANADA INTO THE
NORTHWEST CONUS. PREFER NOT TO MAKE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO CURRENT
FORECAST THIS MORNING. STILL CALLING FOR TEMPERATURES RISING TO
ABOVE NORMAL WITH THE NEXT CHANCE OF STORMS TOWARD MIDWEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    93  72  93  68 /  60  20  30  30
HUTCHINSON      93  71  92  68 /  50  20  30  20
NEWTON          92  72  92  68 /  60  20  30  20
ELDORADO        92  73  92  68 /  70  30  30  30
WINFIELD-KWLD   95  74  94  69 /  50  20  30  30
RUSSELL         94  69  89  65 /  10  30  30  20
GREAT BEND      95  70  91  67 /  10  30  30  20
SALINA          94  71  91  67 /  60  40  30  20
MCPHERSON       93  71  91  68 /  60  30  30  20
COFFEYVILLE     94  72  94  69 /  60  20  30  30
CHANUTE         90  71  92  69 /  80  30  30  30
IOLA            90  71  92  68 /  80  30  30  30

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON THURSDAY FOR KSZ050-KSZ051-KSZ052-KSZ053-
KSZ067-KSZ068-KSZ069-KSZ070-KSZ071-KSZ072-KSZ082-KSZ083-KSZ091-
KSZ092-KSZ093-KSZ094-KSZ095-KSZ096-KSZ098.

&&

CARUSO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
640 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-261200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
640 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS THIS MORNING, ESPECIALLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY
400 AND EAST OF K-15 HIGHWAY. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER
HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THIS AREA WITH STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO
4 TO 9 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE EXTREME RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE
EXTREME FLASH FLOODING AND THIS IS A DANGEROUS, LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION. REFER TO LATEST FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR DETAILS. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD MOVE NORTHEAST OUT OF THE
AREA BY MIDDAY.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. IF STORMS DEVELOP, THEY COULD BE
SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS, LARGE HAIL, AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT IN CENTRAL KANSAS
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM NEBRASKA. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE SEVERE
WEATHER, WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREATS.

A FEW STORMS MAY LINGER IN EXTREME SOUTHERN KANSAS ON SATURDAY.
THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
HOWEVER, CALLS FROM LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT ARE ENCOURAGED TO ASSESS
POTENTIAL HIGH WATER PROBLEMS AND FLOODING.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE AREAWIDE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWOICT.HTM

JMC

KSZ051>053-067>072-083-094>096-098>100-250735-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
206 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 743 HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE
FOR ALL AREAS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. HOWEVER, HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL REMAIN A CONCERN, ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE
TURNPIKE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.

KLEINSASSER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
226 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0133 AM     FLOOD            PEABODY                 38.17N 97.11W
08/25/2005                   MARION             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MINOR STREET FLOODING.

&&

KED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
227 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0133 AM     FLOOD            FLORENCE                38.24N 96.93W
08/25/2005                   MARION             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MINOR STREET FLOODING.

&&

KED

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
238 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

KSZ067-068-250815-
HARVEY-RENO-
238 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN HARVEY AND EASTERN RENO COUNTIES...

AT 235 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT
THUNDERSTORMS WERE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING 6 MILES NORTH OF HAVEN...OR 9
MILES SOUTHEAST OF HUTCHINSON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

HOWERTON