Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2005

Small Craft Advisory 973, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 22, 2005

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 22, 2005, 6:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Nov 22, 2005, 6:00 PM AKST (03:00 UTC)
Expired: Nov 22, 2005, 11:00 PM AKST
In force: 5 hr
Issued by: NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 230756 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1100 PM AST TUE NOV 22 2005

UPDATED ZONE 121 AND 132

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 966 MB STORM FORCE LOW WELL SOUTH WILL WEAKEN TO 968 MB AS IT MAKES
LANDFALL NEAR CAPE SUCKLING EARLY WED MORNING. A SECOND LOW WILL
DEVELOP TO AROUND 972 MB 100 NM SW OF SITKA BY EARLY THU MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-231500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST TUE NOV 22 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-231500-
RESURRECTION BAY
1100 PM AST TUE NOV 22 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-231500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST TUE NOV 22 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-231500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST TUE NOV 22 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-231500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST TUE NOV 22 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY BARREN ISLANDS WESTWARD. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-231500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
1100 PM AST TUE NOV 22 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-231500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST TUE NOV 22 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...WINDS BECOMING SW 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-231500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST TUE NOV 22 2005

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. W WIND 35 KT SOUTH OF ANCHOR POINT. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-231500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST TUE NOV 22 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU THROUGH THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

1 follow-up statement

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 231248
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST WED NOV 23 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 968 MB LOW OVER MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AND MOVE
INLAND NEAR VALDEZ WED MORNING. A NORTH PACIFIC 980 MB LOW WILL MOVE
T0 120 NM S OF YAKUTAT THU MORNING AND CONTINUE INLAND NEAR YAKUTAT
THU AFTERNOON. A SECONDARY LOW OF 988 MB WILL FORM OVER PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND THU NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-240300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST WED NOV 23 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-240300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST WED NOV 23 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-240300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST WED NOV 23 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-240300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST WED NOV 23 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-240300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST WED NOV 23 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-240300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST WED NOV 23 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-240300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST WED NOV 23 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-240300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST WED NOV 23 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-240300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST WED NOV 23 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 22, 12:00 PM AKST, 6 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 22, 12:00 PM AKST, 6 hours before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST TUE NOV 22 2005

.DISCUSSION...
NCEP SHOWS A 969 MB LOW NEAR 46N 148W AT 12Z WITH A WARM FRONT
EXTENDING NE TO NEAR CAPE SPENCER. SATELLITE PIX APPEAR TO CONFIRM
THIS ANALYSIS AND WE ARE VERY PLEASED TO REPORT THAT ALL THE MODELS
SEEM TO BE INITIALIZED WELL ON THIS SYSTEM. IT IS INTERESTING THAT
THE GFS MERGES TWO CENTERS AND MOVES THE LOW NORTHWARD MORE RAPIDLY
...BUT THEN ALL MODELS CATCH UP BY 12Z WED WITH THE LOW MOVING
ONSHORE NEAR CAPE SUCKLING BY 12Z WED. EVEN THE GFS ENSEMBLE PACKAGE
CONFIRMS THIS FORECAST. WITH A VERY PERSISTENT S TO SW FLOW ALOFT
THIS STILL GIVES SOME CHANCE OF SNOW FOR SOUTH CENTRAL BUT IT WILL BE
CONCENTRATED FROM PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND EASTWARD. THE NEXT LOW TO
FOLLOW WILL TRACK EVEN FURTHER EAST. OUT WEST PERSISTENCE STILL
RULES. THE HIGH CELL WEST OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST AS PER ALL
MODELS SO THAT PERSISTENCE IS A PRETTY GOOD FORECAST FOR ALL WESTERN
ZONES AND MARINES.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 120 130. HVY FRZ SPRAY 160 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JC NOV 05

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Nov 22, 6:00 PM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC
Nov 22, 6:00 PM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	12 hr
Nov 22, 11:00 PM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	48 hr
Nov 22, 11:00 PM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	4 days
Nov 22, 11:00 PM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	60 hr
Nov 22, 11:00 PM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	12 hr
Nov 22, 11:00 PM AKST	Heavy Freezing Spray Warning	AFC	12 hr
Nov 22, 11:35 PM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	47 hr
Nov 23, 6:20 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	5 hr
Nov 23, 11:00 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	12 hr
Nov 23, 11:00 AM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	24 hr
Nov 23, 11:00 AM AKST	Heavy Freezing Spray Warning	AFC	24 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2005 Every small craft advisory in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.