Small Craft Advisory 144, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST MON FEB 14 2005

.DISCUSSION...

THE GFS IS THE PREFERRED MODEL THIS MORNING.  IT INITIALIZED BETTER
WITH THE LOW CROSSING THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND INTO SOUTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON.

THE MAJOR UPPER LOW COMPLEX IS STILL HANGING TIGHT OVER THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY.  TUESDAY
A LONG WAVE ROTATES INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEAS WITH A CLOSED LOW
DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BY TUESDAY NIGHT.  THIS WILL
SUPPORT A 960 MB LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WHICH ALSO MOVES NEAR THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TUESDAY NIGHT AS 965 MB. THE UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES BUILD INTO THE SOUTHEAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THE LOW MOVING NEAR BETHEL THIS AFTERNOON IN COMBINATION WITH THE
BUILDING HIGH TO THE EAST WILL BRING WARNING LEVEL WINDS TO THE
ANCHORAGE AREA LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT. STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA TO WEST OF KODIAK TODAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING...101.
MARINE...FREEZING SPARY WARNING...14.
         STORM WARNING...5A 5B.
         GALE WARNING...2B 2B1 2C 3A 3B 6A 6B 12A 12B 13A.

FEB 05