Storm Warning 62, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 150029
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-151500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN GULF TUESDAY
MORNING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
$$

PKZ120-151500-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-151500-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-151500-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-151500-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-151500-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS 
SOUTHEAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-151500-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ138-151500-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ140-151500-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-151500-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 14 2005

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST MON FEB 14 2005

.DISCUSSION...

THE GFS IS THE PREFERRED MODEL THIS MORNING.  IT INITIALIZED BETTER
WITH THE LOW CROSSING THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND INTO SOUTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON.

THE MAJOR UPPER LOW COMPLEX IS STILL HANGING TIGHT OVER THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY.  TUESDAY
A LONG WAVE ROTATES INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEAS WITH A CLOSED LOW
DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BY TUESDAY NIGHT.  THIS WILL
SUPPORT A 960 MB LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WHICH ALSO MOVES NEAR THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TUESDAY NIGHT AS 965 MB. THE UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES BUILD INTO THE SOUTHEAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THE LOW MOVING NEAR BETHEL THIS AFTERNOON IN COMBINATION WITH THE
BUILDING HIGH TO THE EAST WILL BRING WARNING LEVEL WINDS TO THE
ANCHORAGE AREA LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT. STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA TO WEST OF KODIAK TODAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING...101.
MARINE...FREEZING SPARY WARNING...14.
         STORM WARNING...5A 5B.
         GALE WARNING...2B 2B1 2C 3A 3B 6A 6B 12A 12B 13A.

FEB 05